DominionStrategy Wiki
Burke is interesting to read. But I don't think he is sufficiently aware of the limits of his statistical approaches. Simple example: his win probability calculator ignores timeouts, since that's too tricky to get right. That might be true (I haven't thought about it), but then you should probably be a little bit careful about this before writing an entire column about a 4th-down decision that his WP calculator "proves" wrong.He also has many posts on pass-versus-run decisions that I had my doubts about.
Quote from: theory on October 04, 2012, 11:06:40 amDear zxcvbn2: I am very sorry that immediately after trading you Santonio Holmes, he went down with a season-ending injury. In the meantime I am pleased to report that Larry Fitzgerald seems to have fully recovered from his Week 1 / Week 2 doldrums.Yeah, that was an awful trade. And now I have to find another receiver to play immediately this weekend, since the others have a bye.I just wanted a better RB than Shonne Greene. Is that too much to ask?
Dear zxcvbn2: I am very sorry that immediately after trading you Santonio Holmes, he went down with a season-ending injury. In the meantime I am pleased to report that Larry Fitzgerald seems to have fully recovered from his Week 1 / Week 2 doldrums.
Quote from: cherdano on October 04, 2012, 08:32:35 pmBurke is interesting to read. But I don't think he is sufficiently aware of the limits of his statistical approaches. Simple example: his win probability calculator ignores timeouts, since that's too tricky to get right. That might be true (I haven't thought about it), but then you should probably be a little bit careful about this before writing an entire column about a 4th-down decision that his WP calculator "proves" wrong.He also has many posts on pass-versus-run decisions that I had my doubts about. I think you're right, but that particular example (I assume you're talking about CAR's decision to punt) is egregious. When you have Cam Newton, 4th-and-1, where a conversion is a win, a failed conversion is decent ATL field position, and a punt is slightly worse ATL field position, it makes zero sense at all to punt.
I was projected to win my other league by 16 points. Then Doug Martin happened.
I would have beat every other team this week.I also lost in another league this week and would have beat every other team in that league too.yay.
Pittsburgh RB's = LOLno
Quote from: sparky5856 on November 26, 2012, 03:04:34 amPittsburgh RB's = LOLnoHahahaha... (I've been hanging onto mendenhall in my office league