Alright, I've gotten what I wanted from most people I think, so let's talk.
Going into today, I thought we were definitely lynching DatSwan. Rereading him eroded that confidence a bit (kinda similar to faust's recent reread of him), but I still think he's the best lynch for today, probably. So now what I want to do is look at the alternatives: how likely are the scenarios in which DatSwan is town ?
Putting aside the Eevee scenarios for reasons explained above. It might be presumptuous, and certainly if we lynch scum and Eevee is alive today he should not be considered an IC by any means, but I'll take that chance for today.
faust/Galzria/Space/iguana
Bids:
4/8 (faust/Galzria) => #1, takes Poisoner
16 (Space) => #3, takes Watcher
42 (faust/Galzria) => #4, takes Rolecop/Roleblocker
3 (iguana) => #15, goes for Redirector and fails
The first problem here is that I kinda believe faust did go for Redirector just based on day 1, and I don't see how iguana could be in the Galzria slot because there's really no way to fail here (like, you're not going for 1-Shot Disabler or Last Recruit, in the scenarios in which Arch or Jimmm were é which I don't really believe in anyway) but other than that this is all looks plausible enough.
D1 Candidates voting: Galz votes for me while iguana votes for DatSwan, which, sure, they'd just go with what they think their townselves would do.
Days 1 to 3:
Space's reads at #569 have Galz as null, faust as townie, iguana as kinda scummy but not a lynch because of the claim.
Galz's D1 lynchpool at #636 includes 0 partners in this scenario.
#1096 has Galz citing faust as his third highest scum read after Eevee and LL, null on scum, "would investigate" iguana.
So far, sure. Very little meaningful interaction (no votes at all until D3), but enough here and there that it just looks kinda normal. Galz having no scum on his lynch list on D1 would be a thing, but iguana was out of the lynch pool anyway which makes it easier... really the scummiest interactions here are specifically between Space and Galz, but that's not specific to this scum team.
Day 4:
Galz has the typical approach to the Masons claim one would expect him to have, while faust goes on his little crusade. During which Galz complains no one took Dayvig (presumably because faust made for a very appealing candidate at that point). Pretty well done if it's fake, though I suppose scum!Galz could be frustrated with scum!faust too. Galz is otherwise hedgy on scum during this time. Really his #1562 is a giant hedge on everyone in the game save for the Masons.
#1646: Galz agrees with lynching VTs, which would be {scum!faust, scum!Galz, town!DatSwan, town!RR} here. I guess that'd be pretty ok for scum, though Poisoner is definitely in the lynch pool then.
Follows it up in #1653 by hedging some more on faust and RR, landing on Swan as the best lynch.
#1684: Galz supports the idea of scum going for a big outlier in their bids. Is now looking at RR/DatSwan for poisoner and e for most likely scum. Oh yeah.
#1701: Galz falls on his sword, votes me... I think faust is the poisoner in this scenario.
#1711: Sudden apparition of Space in Galz's lynchpool, essentially replacing LL. Could be that Galz is really thinking O and I are going to get him lynched and he needs to polish interactions ? A little strange really.
#1715: Now straight up calling the team as Swan/iguana/Space/e. Swan being the only one scum!Galz would really want to lynch here. I mean, he'd take e, and Space is better than the Poisoner, but still. Appropriately though, he does say Swan is the likely poisoner and his preferred lynch of the bunch.
#1743: Space thinks faust is not the poisoner (and in this scenario I do think he would be)... doesn't think e is a poisoner, kinda not taking big stances on others.
#1746: Space not opposed to lynching faust though.
#1759: faust finds Space and Galzria's bids (the roles they went for) scummy.
#1773: RR has a {Galz, e, Swan, faust}. Relevant because this probably means this scumteam wants to push DatSwan at this point.
#1838: O wants to lynch Space. Galz immediately follows suit. Not 100% sure why, if scum. The Masons votes were super important yesterday (something Galz quite clearly understood given his reaction to us voting him), so that's a pretty risky move. It works out though, since nothing happens with the Space wagon next (I'm still on Galz), and Galz ends up voting e.
#1855: Space propose a faust/Eevee/e/iguana scumteam, though they don't close the door on DatSwan. Hedges on Galzria when asked in #1861.
#1878: I vote faust, which means two townies are on faust and two townies are on Galz as this point. Things are not looking great for this scumteam there. Galz is still on Space at this point, faust and Space are not voting.
Then Eevee votes RR. An out for them maybe ?
Space comes up with a e scumslip, which Galz immediately sheeps (well, Space did not vote but he did), but then swiftly unvotes because e was tracked N1.
#1903: Space votes faust, and Galz soon follows. O and I had stated an unwillingness to lynch faust though.
#1911: O switches to Space.
Then faust goes for DatSwan, Eevee follows O and so do I. So now it's Space at 3 votes and faust at 4. RR goes on DatSwan, but Space does not follow him, instead going on... Galz. This is where this team kinda stops making sense ? Like, Space has ample reasons to go DatSwan here: O and I have never said anything indicating we wouldn't want to lynch him after all, so we could be swayed maybe. There's already a townie here in RR, so the Masons or e (very willing to lynch Swan)+Eevee is a likely win for scum here. Very possible. Instead she goes for Galz, which means... well, there's the fact that e stated he wouldn't lynch either fo Galz/Space, so it could simply be protecting faust, and hoping e will go on Swan himself and open it up for scum.
Whatever the reason, we then have Eevee switching froone to the other and Qvist voting Space, Eevee coming back and putting Space at L-1, at which point it's basically over. e and DatSwan are still fighting, but scum's accepted the bus, and faust is just absent anyway.
Well. this is a team that makes sense until it doesn't. Full commited partners until they aren't and start bussing like mad. Which... I'm not sure why ? If this is the team, I really don't get why there's not a stronger push on DatSwan at the end. Scum!Galz is aware of how his early D3 looks in this scenario (very very bad), it's not like he can necessarily expect to ride it out till the end. faust can, maybe. I guess that's the plan for them, bus faust knowing full well that O and I aren't going for it so it's safe, and hope that buys enough cred to faust to win ? I don't think they foresse how bad DatSwan looks at the end there, but they can certainly think there's a mislynch there.
So... a possible team with an "all-in on poisoner!faust" plan, I suppose. Not incredibly likely, but can't be dismissed.
Well, that took some time. The others should be a bit quicker, but later.