day 2 reread notes (skip if you want)MiX's #556 is interesting, and gives more evidence toward him being the traitor. Glooble suggests that ADK is the scum kill and Eddie is the neighborhood kill, and MiX says it's obvious it's the other way around.
#576 is pubby's seventh post of the game and guess what he does? if you guessed "votes for me and doesn't meaningfully contribute", you get 1000 obvious points
a lot of day 2 so far is neighborhood claiming discussion and it's not particularly enlightening. I am townreading ash and Swan pretty hard, which makes me feel good about things.
e pops in at #627 to express a townread on MiX, who had been getting a lot of heat from me and ash. could be partner-y.
pubby's seventh and eighth posts of the game are a nice break from the pattern. pubby expresses some suspicion on MiX. doesn't vote though. then answers a question posed to him directly.
#645 Swan starts the mcmc wagon. Not particularly scummy, seems like legitimately stumped town defaulting to a lurker, but worth noting.
#655 don't like e's vote for me. seems opportunistic and insincere. As does gkrieg jumping on it 3 posts later. And gkrieg's #659 (would lynch pubby, wouldn't lynch MiX) scans with my reads.
#685 is pubby's ninth post of the game, asking if anyone else finds ash and pps suspicious. I really think pubby's town.
As of #687, his 10th post of the game, he is starting to actually play mafia. So I'm going to stop noting every pubby post.
This is weird:
Good, now scum thinks I'm traitor which means I live another day. Or at least they don't know who the real traitor is, which means they can't protect them. But seriously I don't think there's a way for third-party traitor to signal.
Like, why specify third-party traitor there? Kind of a nonsequitor. MiX could be really pushing his luck here with his joke-claim/real-claim.
Ok, if MiX WAS claiming traitor, PPS's #703 could be a "message received"
Unvote
The whole traitor thing leaves a pretty towny impression on MiX. I think I am going to get a solid chance to reread and post up tomorrow since I can play the father’s day leave me alone for a while card.
MiX at #714 is the first person post-claim to express the idea that the hood is all town.
Is it possible scum killed silverspawn because they're scared of a mass claim? He was the big advocate for one... gkrieg at least came out strongly anti-claim.
there's an ash-silver fight that gets pretty heated, but feels town v town. I'm getting sleepy.
e's #868 could also be "message received"
Swan's #882 has an interesting omission. He presents two counterfactuals (EFHW is Town and EFHW is Scum) in the process of discussing why she might out the neighborhood. But leaves out "EFHW is Survivor". Why? Because he's the survivor?
Remember this case?
If mafia thinks the 5 v. 7 scenario is likely, then the "EFHW claims neighbor and tries to get ash or Swan lynched" theory makes a lot of sense. Because they need to ensure a mislynch, which means limiting the lynch candidates to a group that they know doesn't include the traitor. It also has the side effect of preventing the lynch from outing a power role, but if you think you can concievably win that night, who cares?
This was smart and is still possible. And EFHW's response to it is pretty scummy.
gkrieg's #1003 is yet another opportunistic scummy jump onto a town mislynch close to deadline. Honestly we should be lynching gkreig just based on his voting record.