Vote: stevanzzo
Need second opinions about my Witherweaver theory.
Could you expand on this? What exactly do you mean by WW 'buddying' you? That he read you as town?
I think the answer is just sheep Faust. And if that doesn't work, then lynch Faust.
He is implicitly reinforcing my older decision, making me feel good without doing something obvious that could be brushed off as a joke. That would lead me to get a better feeling when reading his posts, which I had for the rest of day 1.
Reply 177, 241, 244, 245, 256 all have him read me correctly as town, which is easier if someone is aware that this is my alignment. faust is also a good player, but had my alignment wrong, unlike WW.
I was getting set during the start of the day to reverse my read on SC because I wanted to trust faust was right about something and a lot of SC's day 1 posts could be seen as SCumSC doing just enough to slide past. Also because a WW/SC team was starting to make a whole lot of sense, where SC parks a vote on Seprix and does not want to move to WW.
Until I see this post.
Because this is exactly what you as say as town the first game. If you're scum seeing somebody misread you as town the first game, you think "mwahaha, the poor simpleton!" (probably me this game, so this will be ironic). You DON'T accuse the person who's trying to get your off the chopping block. And if you're town...I totally relate to mistrusting those who trust me, even though it turned out that my instincts were wrong. This could be genius scum play...but I have to think town for now. Though I guess a SC/WW team is still quite possible.
Raptor: I'd normally be afraid of his buddy buddy game with me and making a big show of being against the quickhammer. But I don't think Raptor can go all the way from the 110 play to that plus intentionally misreading setup.
Stevanzzo: It's very laid back posting. I wonder if this is scum not wanting to do anything so as to not attract attention, but #166 gives me pause because it's self-aware and has a little pep to it.
Seprix: I don't think he's teamed with WW because why then would WW be voting for him so long. So why not vote WW? You have to make sure you're not lynched. If Seprix is town...great that you don't think WW is scum, you're still flirting with disaster, you need to give the hatchet. If he's scum...then he doesn't vote because he doesn't want to be part of a mislynch? It was 3-2, he's there a couple hours before the lynch. Does he know there's a scum who will be there by deadline that can help?
Witherweaver: Seprix is right, it really is a lot empty nothing that isn't giving away much. But I have to think he has to know this doesn't fly as scum. Right? It's almost too casual for scum. And at the end of the day, there were 3 votes on him and the vote swung to Seprix. If he's not teamed with Seprix (see above), who does that leave? Stevanzzo, SC, and Awaclus. Lynching WW if he's scum is insanely beneficial because I don't think there's many possibilities left for the partner. But going by probability, it's unlikely he's scum since there's so many teams that can be ruled out. I kind of want to take the Battleship approach here where you only shoot the diagonals (I'm giving away the Battleship secrets!) in order to eliminate squares altogether, by clearing all possible teams. Not enough time for that, so maybe that's incredibly dumb.
DatSwan: Crazy idea that's wrong but am convinced is right in the midst of an "I-know-everything-and-am-about-to-be-humbled": DatSwan-Seprix team? For Swan himself, I am getting more of a sense of that 110 pardner than the 105 Swan who finds ways to write really townie stuff. And he's gone waaaaay under the radar, which I know from experience is a good scum marker. In fact, we should figure out who the most inattention-receiving player is, they're probably scum.
Who am I missing? Oh right. Awaclus. Being nice and helpful and out of character by being sensible. And giving up on the Raptor tunnel.
Vote: AwaclusI do think WW/SC and Seprix/DatSwan teams should be getting some attention. If scum doesn't want to bus D1 and risk getting a mislynch...then they definitely have by now (the first part, that is). And because I really don't think SC is scum and because if he's not, then WW is really unlikely to be scum... then I'd
say conjecture Awaclus/DatSwan/Seprix contains a scum and is where I'd be most willing to vote today. So my overall order now is:
1. Awaclus
2. DatSwan
3. Seprix
---------
4. WW
5. SC
6. Stevanzzo
7. faust
8. Raptor