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Author Topic: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Game Over!  (Read 209821 times)

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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1125 on: March 26, 2020, 09:35:47 pm »

How do we know they had daychat?

Also, and people already probably noticed that Mail-mi is the one who "hammered" Raptor. Would partners do that on D1? (i.e. does this mean they were different factions?)

They were in the same neighbor. And yes partners would do that for towncred and/or pressure from faust to hammer.

Oh, right, duh.

I'll have to go back and look but didn't the pressure from faust come *after* Mail-mi said he was going to hammer?

Yeah, it was probably a mistake to go after raptor and not me. Definitely backfired, so in hindsight of course it was, but there's not much you can do as mail-mi there, either push me or bus, and if I flip town both of them look bad.
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1126 on: March 26, 2020, 09:39:17 pm »

I am a Motion Detector, but I can see who targeted and whom targeted my target. Just a bunch of names, I don't really know whether my target targeted or they were.

What's your item?

My understanding of a Motion Detector is that you just get a binary result. According to the wiki: "The Motion Detector learns if any actions were performed by or on a player, but not what they were, or who else was involved."

Have we seen this role used differently to this before?

that's actually what i thought. Then i got the names and i was wtf, i reread and it turned out my role is what i just said.

I am, unsurprisingly, Foxears. With Fox Ears. I actually was sure that we get the names after items so this is a bit confusing

your name is Foxears? that's odd. there's a character, nicknamed Foxface, who wears her hair in 2 braids that are described as "fox ears" so i assumed that was her.
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LaLight

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1127 on: March 26, 2020, 09:40:18 pm »

I am a Motion Detector, but I can see who targeted and whom targeted my target. Just a bunch of names, I don't really know whether my target targeted or they were.

What's your item?

My understanding of a Motion Detector is that you just get a binary result. According to the wiki: "The Motion Detector learns if any actions were performed by or on a player, but not what they were, or who else was involved."

Have we seen this role used differently to this before?

that's actually what i thought. Then i got the names and i was wtf, i reread and it turned out my role is what i just said.

I am, unsurprisingly, Foxears. With Fox Ears. I actually was sure that we get the names after items so this is a bit confusing

your name is Foxears? that's odd. there's a character, nicknamed Foxface, who wears her hair in 2 braids that are described as "fox ears" so i assumed that was her.

I don't know the flavor

my name if Foxears, yeah
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1128 on: March 26, 2020, 09:45:22 pm »

Revised Intra-district reads summary

District 1
shraeye thinks scola is scummy
scola thinks shraeye is scummy

District 2
faust's thoughts are his own
glooble thinks faust is towny

District 3
jimmmmm thinks e is towny
e thinks jimmmmm is towny

District 4
LaLight thinks Ash is towny
Ash thinks LaLight is towny

District 5
WCD thinks ADK is towny
ADK thinks WCD is towny

District 6
Lekkit thinks MiX is towny
MiX thinks Lekkit is towny

District 7
raptor has not expressed an opinion on mail-mi
mail-mi thinks raptor is scummy

District 8
cayvie thinks EFHW is towny
EFHW thinks cayvie is towny

premise A: on average, a townperson's view on their neighbor is more informed and therefore more accurate than their view on another player.
premise B1: a scumster is more likely to express mistrust of their neighbor if they think their neighbor suspects them
premise B2: a scumster is more likely to express mistrust of their neighbor if they think their neighbor will be an easy lynch

with these premises in mind, i'd like to lynch someone in one of the neighborhoods where there's some friction. (also i got a pretty hard townread on MiX when he and I appeared to come to the same conclusion about draft order claiming at the same time. that felt genuine, even if i'm no longer so sure massclaiming draft order is necessary at this time.)

vote: mail-mi

so uh this theory is not lookin' too bad right now.

vote: shraeye

i wanna know why you could promise that #1 in the draft order (apparently WCD) wouldn't be the nightkill target.
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Jimmmmm

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1129 on: March 26, 2020, 09:51:28 pm »

so uh this theory is not lookin' too bad right now.

vote: shraeye

i wanna know why you could promise that #1 in the draft order (apparently WCD) wouldn't be the nightkill target.

To be clear, are you voting for shraeye because there was friction in his district and another district with friction had scum? Or because he's made unexplained statements?
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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1130 on: March 26, 2020, 09:52:04 pm »

so uh this theory is not lookin' too bad right now.

vote: shraeye

i wanna know why you could promise that #1 in the draft order (apparently WCD) wouldn't be the nightkill target.

I don't get it. You think scum's all doing the same thing?

PPE: Yeah that question's great.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1131 on: March 26, 2020, 09:52:31 pm »

I presume someone was protected, and I presume E got the luckiest shot in the world. But let's see how this goes, we should just win now, yes.

Who scumreads Lekkit?

Do you?
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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1132 on: March 26, 2020, 09:53:18 pm »

I presume someone was protected, and I presume E got the luckiest shot in the world. But let's see how this goes, we should just win now, yes.

Who scumreads Lekkit?

Do you?

Slightly, although their claim is towny.
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A Drowned Kernel

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1133 on: March 26, 2020, 09:54:01 pm »

Revised Intra-district reads summary

District 1
shraeye thinks scola is scummy
scola thinks shraeye is scummy

District 2
faust's thoughts are his own
glooble thinks faust is towny

District 3
jimmmmm thinks e is towny
e thinks jimmmmm is towny

District 4
LaLight thinks Ash is towny
Ash thinks LaLight is towny

District 5
WCD thinks ADK is towny
ADK thinks WCD is towny

District 6
Lekkit thinks MiX is towny
MiX thinks Lekkit is towny

District 7
raptor has not expressed an opinion on mail-mi
mail-mi thinks raptor is scummy

District 8
cayvie thinks EFHW is towny
EFHW thinks cayvie is towny

premise A: on average, a townperson's view on their neighbor is more informed and therefore more accurate than their view on another player.
premise B1: a scumster is more likely to express mistrust of their neighbor if they think their neighbor suspects them
premise B2: a scumster is more likely to express mistrust of their neighbor if they think their neighbor will be an easy lynch

with these premises in mind, i'd like to lynch someone in one of the neighborhoods where there's some friction. (also i got a pretty hard townread on MiX when he and I appeared to come to the same conclusion about draft order claiming at the same time. that felt genuine, even if i'm no longer so sure massclaiming draft order is necessary at this time.)

vote: mail-mi

so uh this theory is not lookin' too bad right now.

vote: shraeye

i wanna know why you could promise that #1 in the draft order (apparently WCD) wouldn't be the nightkill target.

I feel this.

vote: shraeye

I wasn't around much at the end of D1 due to RL busyness but I will try to do some catch up in the coming days. But I'm feeling good about where things stand right now
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1134 on: March 26, 2020, 09:54:09 pm »

so uh this theory is not lookin' too bad right now.

vote: shraeye

i wanna know why you could promise that #1 in the draft order (apparently WCD) wouldn't be the nightkill target.

To be clear, are you voting for shraeye because there was friction in his district and another district with friction had scum? Or because he's made unexplained statements?

both reasons!
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1135 on: March 26, 2020, 10:14:37 pm »

oh, also, flavor-wise, Thresh is an odd character to have the Nightlock and be a Poisoner; he's a big strong dude who just beats people to death with rocks and such. I don't recall him having anything to do with nightlock berries in the books? (peeta, katniss, rue, foxface, snow, seneca, even cato probably had more to do with nightlock)

so this is an indication to me that I should take any flavor deductions i've made with a grain of salt.
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1136 on: March 26, 2020, 10:23:38 pm »

also holy crap, we could have been so screwed if we hadn't lynched right and gotten that nightkill right.

mafia with a 1-shot poisoner and a 3-shot reloader? brutal. (assuming they could use the poison kills in addition to the regular mafia nightkill)

actually, if they couldn't use both kills, that could explain why there's not a townie dead tonight; someone might be poisoned.
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scolapasta

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1137 on: March 26, 2020, 10:27:05 pm »

Can a poisoner succeed if killed at night? (let me know when questions get annoying. I can always look up online, but sometimes it's more fun to ask on here / might help get a read depending on how it's answered)
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1138 on: March 26, 2020, 10:28:17 pm »

Can a poisoner succeed if killed at night? (let me know when questions get annoying. I can always look up online, but sometimes it's more fun to ask on here / might help get a read depending on how it's answered)

almost certainly, yes. nightkills almost always resolve after other roles.
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WestCoastDidds

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1139 on: March 26, 2020, 10:41:06 pm »

Wow! Wow! Wow!

How exciting! Good work, team.

And yeah, my question for Shraeye for yesterday is even more present.....why was he convinced #1 wouldn’t be killed??
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EFHW

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1140 on: March 26, 2020, 10:44:44 pm »

Hi, checking in. Will try to type in votes for play by play tomorrow. I'm making masks in my free time.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1141 on: March 26, 2020, 10:57:32 pm »

Can a poisoner succeed if killed at night? (let me know when questions get annoying. I can always look up online, but sometimes it's more fun to ask on here / might help get a read depending on how it's answered)

almost certainly, yes. nightkills almost always resolve after other roles.

More specifically, a player dying generally doesn't stop their action from taking effect
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1142 on: March 26, 2020, 11:13:05 pm »

Cayvie, what does being poisoned mean? Delayed dying?

EFHW, that’s awesome. (You know, awesome because it’s helpful, but actually awful that we need to make masks). I have never before wanted or needed a sewing machine, but I sure wish I had one now.
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1143 on: March 26, 2020, 11:26:30 pm »

Cayvie, what does being poisoned mean? Delayed dying?

EFHW, that’s awesome. (You know, awesome because it’s helpful, but actually awful that we need to make masks). I have never before wanted or needed a sewing machine, but I sure wish I had one now.

yeah, that's usually what poisoners do. in my experience sometimes the victim knows they've been poisoned and sometimes they don't.
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scolapasta

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1144 on: March 26, 2020, 11:37:13 pm »

Cayvie, what does being poisoned mean? Delayed dying?

EFHW, that’s awesome. (You know, awesome because it’s helpful, but actually awful that we need to make masks). I have never before wanted or needed a sewing machine, but I sure wish I had one now.

yeah, that's usually what poisoners do. in my experience sometimes the victim knows they've been poisoned and sometimes they don't.

So one of is is likely poisoned, may or may not know it, and will die in the night?
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1145 on: March 27, 2020, 12:11:23 am »

Cayvie, what does being poisoned mean? Delayed dying?

EFHW, that’s awesome. (You know, awesome because it’s helpful, but actually awful that we need to make masks). I have never before wanted or needed a sewing machine, but I sure wish I had one now.

yeah, that's usually what poisoners do. in my experience sometimes the victim knows they've been poisoned and sometimes they don't.

So one of is is likely poisoned, may or may not know it, and will die in the night?

those are my conclusions.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1146 on: March 27, 2020, 12:18:02 am »

Oh wow, that was an extremely successful D1/N1.

I agree with cayvie that a townie is likely poisoned.

anyway, I was just up for a bit with the baby, headed back to sleep, more when I officially wake up
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1147 on: March 27, 2020, 02:35:33 am »

There is so much to look at with two scum flips where both were primary D1 wagons

- I think MiX is town as the third serious D1 wagon.
- I think faust is town the way he landed on his vote. I almost responded to MiX's reply #1054 calling faust scum with a "let's wait and see the flip"

Those are the two things that immediately popped in my mind after both flips.

Kind of want to iso every player's D1 and just see the mail-mi/raptor interactions. Maybe I will. I mean, what else to do in quarantine
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1148 on: March 27, 2020, 02:53:42 am »

actually, if they couldn't use both kills, that could explain why there's not a townie dead tonight; someone might be poisoned.
I'd strongly doubt that they would use it instead of their NK, that would be more of a debuff rather than a power role.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Day 1
« Reply #1149 on: March 27, 2020, 02:55:43 am »

Oh wow, that was an extremely successful D1/N1.
Do you want to confirm or deny that the mail-mi kill was your doing?
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