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Author Topic: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Game Over!  (Read 209713 times)

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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #175 on: March 18, 2020, 11:01:41 am »

Wait, how many items are there?

20 items? Something is afoot.

A massclaim of items (and probably PRs) is most likely incredibly useful, at least if I read the setup correctly, I'll triple check.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #176 on: March 18, 2020, 11:05:05 am »

If at least one scum didn't get first pick, then they know what the missing items are. This seems very likely, but not guaranteed, as you said. Are you willing to gamble that scum doesn't have this information?

Wait, how many items are there?

Cayvie's making a lot of sense to me. MiX, can you explain your scumread on her?

Hmm, I already did? It's not more than what I said before. Her approach to things seems different, not sure I can explain it better.

I think what cayvie's saying (correct me if I'm wrong) is that based on how few items were available in the second round, there weren't many people in the second round, so it's unlikely that scum were in round
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Glooble

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #177 on: March 18, 2020, 11:06:33 am »

It all comes down to how we set the claim order, doesn't it?
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #178 on: March 18, 2020, 11:08:17 am »

Wait, how many items are there?

20 items? Something is afoot.

A massclaim of items (and probably PRs) is most likely incredibly useful, at least if I read the setup correctly, I'll triple check.

But also dangerous...we shouldn't massclaim, the downsides are worse than the benefits. I think...?

If at least one scum didn't get first pick, then they know what the missing items are. This seems very likely, but not guaranteed, as you said. Are you willing to gamble that scum doesn't have this information?

Wait, how many items are there?

Cayvie's making a lot of sense to me. MiX, can you explain your scumread on her?

Hmm, I already did? It's not more than what I said before. Her approach to things seems different, not sure I can explain it better.

I think what cayvie's saying (correct me if I'm wrong) is that based on how few items were available in the second round, there weren't many people in the second round, so it's unlikely that scum were in round

That is also what I thought.

It all comes down to how we set the claim order, doesn't it?

Doesn't it always?
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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #179 on: March 18, 2020, 11:09:10 am »

I suppose cayvie's town.

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #180 on: March 18, 2020, 11:11:54 am »

So, second rounders have some subset of information that first rounders don't have.  Depending on what district partners have discussed already, that information may have been shared.

If all scum got their items in the first round, they would not know what items were available in the second, and therefore what went in the first, unless they are told.

I think the most useful piece of information we can get right now is a round claim.
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #181 on: March 18, 2020, 11:12:13 am »


Vote: cayvie, this is either a lie or a misplay, and town!cayvie does neither.


I think both parts of this sentence are wrong

well, the second part of the sentence is definitely wrong. it might have been a misplay. that's to be determined.

i don't even see how it could possibly be a lie, tbh. unless MiX thinks i actually did get my first pick of item.

i'm also touched that MiX was that impressed by my losing play in that one bastard game

If at least one scum didn't get first pick, then they know what the missing items are. This seems very likely, but not guaranteed, as you said. Are you willing to gamble that scum doesn't have this information?

Wait, how many items are there?

Cayvie's making a lot of sense to me. MiX, can you explain your scumread on her?

Hmm, I already did? It's not more than what I said before. Her approach to things seems different, not sure I can explain it better.

my approach is different, you're right. if you'll remember, town lost that game really miserably. i partially blame my play. i would like to win this one, so i'm not playing it the same way :)

oh, also unvote
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ashersky

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #182 on: March 18, 2020, 11:12:41 am »

Actually, I'm very much convinced of the utility of a round claim.
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #183 on: March 18, 2020, 11:14:30 am »

So, second rounders have some subset of information that first rounders don't have.  Depending on what district partners have discussed already, that information may have been shared.

If all scum got their items in the first round, they would not know what items were available in the second, and therefore what went in the first, unless they are told.

how do you get from here to

Quote
I think the most useful piece of information we can get right now is a round claim.

?
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faust

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #184 on: March 18, 2020, 11:15:29 am »

I suppose cayvie's town.

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I am now town as well for agreeing with you?
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ashersky

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #185 on: March 18, 2020, 11:15:53 am »

So, second rounders have some subset of information that first rounders don't have.  Depending on what district partners have discussed already, that information may have been shared.

If all scum got their items in the first round, they would not know what items were available in the second, and therefore what went in the first, unless they are told.

how do you get from here to

Quote
I think the most useful piece of information we can get right now is a round claim.

?

Not exactly related.  I am not suggesting we claim any items.  So round claiming doesn't provide that set of unknown information to first rounders.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #186 on: March 18, 2020, 11:18:30 am »

Put another way:

1st Round Winners know what item they got.
2nd Rounders know what item they got and what items no one got in the 1st round.

That is all item information, or ItIn.  That is valuable, and not something I am saying we should claim (right now).

I am more interested in determining those two groups, the round information, or RdIn.  I see value in that with no downside.
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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #187 on: March 18, 2020, 11:20:28 am »

I suppose cayvie's town.

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I am now town as well for agreeing with you?

No. I mean, probably town, but just null. That question is towny, however.

Put another way:

1st Round Winners know what item they got.
2nd Rounders know what item they got and what items no one got in the 1st round.

That is all item information, or ItIn.  That is valuable, and not something I am saying we should claim (right now).

I am more interested in determining those two groups, the round information, or RdIn.  I see value in that with no downside.

I think I agree with this plan.
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #188 on: March 18, 2020, 11:22:13 am »

Put another way:

1st Round Winners know what item they got.
2nd Rounders know what item they got and what items no one got in the 1st round.

That is all item information, or ItIn.  That is valuable, and not something I am saying we should claim (right now).

I am more interested in determining those two groups, the round information, or RdIn.  I see value in that with no downside.

possible downside: if scum do have the info, and they're trying to eliminate the holder of a particular item, then group claiming will help them narrow the search.

but i mean i've already claimed my round, so i can't exactly stop y'all if you're dead set on a round claim.
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faust

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #189 on: March 18, 2020, 11:22:46 am »

I'm inclined to side with cayvie on this one.
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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #190 on: March 18, 2020, 11:25:28 am »

Put another way:

1st Round Winners know what item they got.
2nd Rounders know what item they got and what items no one got in the 1st round.

That is all item information, or ItIn.  That is valuable, and not something I am saying we should claim (right now).

I am more interested in determining those two groups, the round information, or RdIn.  I see value in that with no downside.

possible downside: if scum do have the info, and they're trying to eliminate the holder of a particular item, then group claiming will help them narrow the search.

but i mean i've already claimed my round, so i can't exactly stop y'all if you're dead set on a round claim.

Narrow to about half of the players sounds meh for scum. Besides they have (post restriction)

Why did you claim to be second round?
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faust

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #191 on: March 18, 2020, 11:26:50 am »

Vote: MiX
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A Drowned Kernel

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #192 on: March 18, 2020, 11:30:10 am »

Put another way:

1st Round Winners know what item they got.
2nd Rounders know what item they got and what items no one got in the 1st round.

That is all item information, or ItIn.  That is valuable, and not something I am saying we should claim (right now).

I am more interested in determining those two groups, the round information, or RdIn.  I see value in that with no downside.

possible downside: if scum do have the info, and they're trying to eliminate the holder of a particular item, then group claiming will help them narrow the search.

but i mean i've already claimed my round, so i can't exactly stop y'all if you're dead set on a round claim.

Narrow to about half of the players sounds meh for scum. Besides they have (post restriction)

Why did you claim to be second round?

The implication I'm getting is that the "second rounders" group is actually much less than half the players
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cayvie

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #193 on: March 18, 2020, 11:30:28 am »

possible downside: if scum do have the info, and they're trying to eliminate the holder of a particular item, then group claiming will help them narrow the search.

but i mean i've already claimed my round, so i can't exactly stop y'all if you're dead set on a round claim.

Narrow to about half of the players sounds meh for scum. Besides they have (post restriction)

Why did you claim to be second round?

i wanted to give some weight to my request that we not round claim, and i didn't want to just come out and state everything i'd been thinking about.
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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #194 on: March 18, 2020, 11:35:45 am »

The implication I'm getting is that the "second rounders" group is actually much less than half the players

Which makes it better to do this claim, yes.

possible downside: if scum do have the info, and they're trying to eliminate the holder of a particular item, then group claiming will help them narrow the search.

but i mean i've already claimed my round, so i can't exactly stop y'all if you're dead set on a round claim.

Narrow to about half of the players sounds meh for scum. Besides they have (post restriction)

Why did you claim to be second round?

i wanted to give some weight to my request that we not round claim, and i didn't want to just come out and state everything i'd been thinking about.

Do you have information that makes round claiming bad? It feels like you instead had information that made second round item availability claim bad, which is different.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #195 on: March 18, 2020, 11:41:41 am »

The implication I'm getting is that the "second rounders" group is actually much less than half the players

Which makes it better to do this claim, yes.

How do?
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shraeye

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #196 on: March 18, 2020, 11:42:19 am »


Vote: cayvie, this is either a lie or a misplay, and town!cayvie does neither.


I think both parts of this sentence are wrong

I’m also not sure how MiX has this certain of a cayvie-o meter after one game when she was town and he was not.

I was reading people too (which was necessary to see who was what PR) and I noticed cayvie was unbelievably towny. Which is the opposite of this game, at least now.
Who is unbelievably towny?
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MiX

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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #197 on: March 18, 2020, 11:44:52 am »

The implication I'm getting is that the "second rounders" group is actually much less than half the players

Which makes it better to do this claim, yes.

How do?

Well if there's a lot of first rounders, then splitting players in these groups doesn't harm as much.

Who is unbelievably towny?

Here? No one.
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #198 on: March 18, 2020, 11:48:10 am »

The implication I'm getting is that the "second rounders" group is actually much less than half the players

Which makes it better to do this claim, yes.

How do?

Well if there's a lot of first rounders, then splitting players in these groups doesn't harm as much.

I can see ways in which that's harmful, and I gotta say I don't see much benefit from the claim
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Re: RMM54: Hunger Games Mafia - Arena Opening Today!!
« Reply #199 on: March 18, 2020, 11:49:06 am »

So, assuming all of scum went in round 1 and don't know what's left...

can ANYBODY explain to me why it's so important that we don't let scum know which items (of totally unverified functionality) are not claimed??

That seems like a super absurd premise that everybody is completely fine accepting.
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