Not at all sure. I'm making a couple of assumptions. I'm assuming that I'm correctly gaining the info I'm gaining from his post, and assuming that the info makes him town. Both assumptions are over 50% by a good deal, but put them together and it's far away from a slam dunk, but still somewhat significant.
I have a towny read on Nkirbit, and this is giving me pause about voting Ahoppy. I still don't want to vote EFHW, since I don't see the case there, and a lot of my scumread on her was tied into Spiritbears, who has since flipped town.
I think most of the case on Ahoppy is he's a lurker and not scum hunting, correct? That's how he played in Mean Girls. The stuff he did previously when I voted was certainly fishy, but it's true that he jumped on Eevee, and not EFHW, when EFHW had the most votes.
That said,
Vote: Eevee My re-read of Spiritbears gave Eevee a few more scum points, and I think I'm more comfortable voting him rather than Ahoppy. I've been pretty good at reading Eevee, and I should trust my read on this.
Here's the main things I have problems with on Eevee. Rather than one big thing, it's a lot of little things, but it's the best case we have at this point.
His flip-flop on spiritbears is the biggest. Ash correctly pointed out that Eevee originally put himself in a position to gain when Spiritbears flipped town.
His reaction to Nkirbit's reads struck me as really strange. For a read list that was so similar to mine, Eevee had completely different reactions to my list and Nkirbit's list, when the only significant difference was mail-mi's placement.
His proclaiming of "this is my meta!" was strange, and I read it as manipulation. Also, the buddying of Nkirbit may be an attempt to play with his meta, as well.
I dont' feel as strongly about this as I did about Spiritbears, or even about Xeiron, but I like this lynch better than Ahoppy after Nkirbit's most recent post, and I definitely like it better than an EFHW lynch (who I don't see the case on).