Of the 4 mentioned by DatSwan {me, Robz, Space, EFHW}, my thoughts are this:
Me- definitely town
Robz- definitely town
EFHW- the wagon on EFHW dissipated quickly, and that could be a scummy sign. Especially as given that Robz wagon jumped quickly, it seems unlikely that me, Robz & Space are all town. So I think scum may have jumped onto Robz to avoid the possibility of an EFHW lynch
Space- still think scummy
Space, is your vote analysis machine able to test out Joseph's assertion about EFHW's wagon there? My memory is it reached 3 votes max and ended the day on 2 votes. Did it dissipate and come back or something?
My "vote analysis machine" is just a script that makes a long list of all possible vote count states throughout the game.. the analysis is just in my head. Anyway, here's a breakdown of the key votes affecting the EFHW wagon:
Dylan voted EFHW at #104, and sat there for the entire rest of D1.
WCD joined in second place at #160, and left at #256 (moving to Swan).
Mcmc voted EFHW at #301, taking her back up to two votes.
WCD moved back pretty much straight away, at #304, taking the wagon to three votes.
The wagon sat at 3 votes for a long while, until WCD moved off to take the 5th spot on Robz's tail at #432.
Mcmc moved onto me very briefly at #467, but then back to EFHW at #471.
In summary, the only people who voted EFHW at all in D1 were Dylan, mcmc and WCD, and the only one of them to join the Robz wagon was WCD.
So... Joseph is only correct if losing two votes in the space oc 35 posts counts as a quick dissipation, which I'd argue it does not, especially since one of them came back so quickly, so there's only a three-post window of time in which his opinion made sense. Otherwise the wagon "dissipated" by losing a single vote to Robz. Compare this to the fact that the wagon on Joseph went from five people at #404 down to three people at #417, and I'd say he's missing a whole lot of the bigger picture about what was going on at that time.
I can post a bunch of vote state snapshots, but they tend to clutter the thread a lot, and people occasionally seem to get frustrated about me doing so.. but if there's support for that to make it easier for everyone else, let me know.