Okay I’m still undecided on to kill in or out of cops. Here are the two worst case scenarios. Using actual names for ease of explaination but they could be any order.
Here is where we are at with one scum in each parenthesis.
(LL, Swan, E) [mcmc, (robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph)]
A) If we lynch inside cops
A1) and Mafia kills the other cop
(LL, Swan, E) [mcmc, (robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph)]
(E) [mcmc, (robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph)] we clearly lynch conf!scum E
(robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph) we are left with 4 vts and one scum
A2) Mafia kills me
(LL, Swan, E) [mcmc, (robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph)]
(Swan, E) (robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph) you probably go for the other cop here if you guess right mafia kills the last cop and we are back at 4 vts and one scum.
(robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph)
If you guess wrong mafia kills a vt, then you lynch the scum cop and they kill another vt leaving 2 vts and 1 scum.
B) If we lynch outside the cops
(LL, Swan, E) [mcmc, (robz, galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph)]
(LL, Swan, E) (galz, dsell, hydrad, joseph)] If each cop target one of a group of two there is a 50% chance we end up with another IC because one group will have to have one person who investigates as town. If we get unlucky we still lynch from outside the cops.
(LL, Swan, E) (hydrad, joseph) then you have one scum in two and one scum in three which is better than one scum in five.