Vote: iguana
While we assign non zero probability of it being scumslip iguana has more than average probability being scum. What else he did had not dissuaded me from this assesment
No, this is not the way math works.
This is exactly how math works. We have a probability p for average player being scum. Someone apperas to scumslip. Suppose with probability q he actually scumslips, while with probabilty 1-q it is not telling of alignment (i. e. he is scum with probability p). Then total probability of being scum is q+(1-q)p = p+q(1-p) > p if q > 0
Also your data, despite not really many cases, shows 1/4 probability of being scum after scum slip which is higher then normal being scum probability
What does "scumslip" even mean in this context?
For the sake of this argument we may limit it to using <b> to bold a vote
I'd appreciate to get more from iguana here
Okay!
So forum survivor is the first forum game that I ever played on here. I only decided to do mafia after I already met some people from Forum survivor that also play mafia games.
In our first forum survivor challenge, even before we knew what tribes we were on, we played a game of Two Rooms/One Bomber. In that game, the fourteen players got put into two separate "rooms" AKA quicktopics with seven players each in them. I won't belabor you with all the rules or the outcome, but basically in every round, we had to vote for a leader using the same voting style as in mafia, except that instead of voting for someone to lynch we were voting for a room leader, who would determine the people that would be sent to the other room at the end of the round. All of those votes had to be in bold text and since it was in a QT, you used <b> to do it. Additionally, we shared our colors and roles with other players in whispers to each other in bold using <b>. The game was seven rounds long, so I ended up voting for a room leader seven times, and I think I shared my color with every other player in the game. Through the whole process of playing that challenge in survivor, I learned to bold using <b> and now I still frequently make the mistake.
The only game I can quote is RMM28, so here are the instances I could find:
I'm sorry I meant I no longer believed WW/Xerxes was possible.
At any rate it hardly matters at all. If Faust is scum, we will lose because I was the only one who refused to blindly follow after the pied piper.
If faust is town, we likely still lose because he has made a mistake of some kind.
Either way my only vindication will be my death and my flip.
So go ahead and kill me you cowards.
<b> Vote: Iguana </b>
Here, I end up changing my vote to Faust, so I guess you could argue I was only pretending to vote for myself on purpose, but really I just screwed up and before I corrected it, I decided that voting Faust instead was marginally better than just giving up the game.
From Faust's QT:
"Yeah Hide behind Ampharos"
Laughing at it because I have made the opposite mistake so many times : P
This is after the game, and what I'm doing here is trying to make reference to the fact that Faust made the reverse mistake once in his traitor QT. The irony of course is that because I just lifted the quote without altering it, the "bolding mistake" doesn't show up and it parses correctly in the thread. At any rate, the reason I reference his making the opposite mistake is because after bolding wrong in the main threads, its funny to me that someone else would bold wrong in a quicktopic.
So what's really frustrating to me is that I have one finished game and two flips, both as town, and in all of my other games I have made this mistake. So I can kinda understand Teproc voting for me here because he's never played with me before, and TBH I kinda understand EgorK too because he may not have noticed me make the mistake in RMM28.
What I really don't understand though is Silver acting like he just doesn't remember this happening just a few weeks ago. I mean, maybe he forgot at first, but seriously? Even after Haddock brought it up, you still don't remember?
That's just too much to swallow and makes you look scummy to me.
Vote: SilverspawnPPE: 9