I think you're both overestimating how difficult it is to get to the lower decks. If everyone just randomly decided to use the central lift in the first round 4 players/14 would make it.
If at least a few players try to go red, or grab a Tracker first (or wiggle the mouse), then easily half of the players can reach lower decks. I think people have enough different ideas of what's good that a FFA results in ~8 players reaching lower decks.
I think suggesting the first three players go Red/Blue/White, and when to use their lift results in ~9 players reaching lower decks. Because it's probably a good idea for someone to try to grab a cop shot during phase 3, someone could grab the commuter shot, someone could grab tracker phase-3 as well.
I don't disagree with suggesting actions for first 3 players, I think it's a mistake to depend on it.
Refilling energy with first 3 players is good because we don't really want to double-up on it excessively (like wiggling the mouse). But then if it fails, a bunch of our PR-shots fail...and at 50% chance of failure, that's more risk than I'm comfortable with. So, we should try to double-up on it. Thinking more about it, we should double-up in central, and maybe Red, but not Blue. And I'll just trust that someone in a FFA will take responsibility for it. Same as some people should go grab cop shots, and some people should get trackers, and some people should get printouts. Some people probably lack A's some lack B's, some will want to be lower-deck, some will prefer to have a PR-shot. Some people will try to get printouts but end up getting tracker shots. I think it all works out in the wash.