Interesting point-of-fact: The same scum team killed raerae, shraeye, and The Munch on consecutive days. This points strongly to Robz/ash if they were scum-hunting-scum.
Let's talk about some actual "FACTS" (or at least close to facts)
At least one of: {ash, Robz, Dsell, yuma} Must be scum. This is guaranteed regardless of set-up.
mcmcsalot CAN be scum, but it requires another MU-player to exist. Either Robz for lying about tracking him, or another player to do the kill for him. So, it's pointless to consider mcmcsalot.
Robz (and ash) have sounded so much like scum worried about the sudden proliferation of ICs. I mean ash suggested we should lynch liopoil then Jimmmmm. i.e. let's kill off the players that MIGHT belong to a scum-faction that might not even exist. Robz attacked them both immediately, and also suggested that mcmcsalot is the only player he can see as Galz' partner. When in fact the opposite is true, mcmcsalot pretty much can't be Galz' partner all by himself.
Now, I think ash is quite possibly just wrong. He seems to suggest ideas that most people dislike (including myself). I mean he was suggesting before claiming that we should lynch whoever claimed Maquis-cop...when he was in fact the Maquis-cop. Things like this, I really have a hard time understanding, but it lends credit to the idea that he actually thought lynching liopoil then Jimmmmm was a good idea.
So, I'm left with hefty suspicions on Robz.
I need to think through all the implications, but I actually think a good strategy would be to lynch Robz today (this provides a wealth of information on the 5 possible-MU players), and have yuma LR tonight (if Robz flips town). That would leave us with ashersky OR Dsell as the only potential MU players tomorrow. I'd lean Dsell since at that point 2 confirmed town players have town-reads on ash.
If flavor indicates that yuma was double-killed, then we can consider what to do. Let's see, we'll be at 6 players, 2 scum of opposite alignment. Now if we mislynch here, we go into night with 5 players, 2 scum-3 town. Now if the Maquis-player shoots town while the MU player shoots scum, MU wins, similarly for Maquis. If they both shoot town, then we get 1v1v1 which is an interesting no-win situation for everyone.
OTOH if we lynch scum here, then we go into night 5 players, 1 scum-4 town. So we get to 1 scum v 3 town, and we're at mylo...but one of those 3 is maybe confirmed town?
If yuma was single-killed then we'll be at 6 players, 2 scum of same alignment with 3 of the 6 confirmed not that alignment. That's mylo, with 2/3 chance of hitting scum. So, we pick Dsell/ash, and if we're right we have 3v1 with 2 confirmed non-scum...if we're wrong we lose.
So, I think that points to the fact that lynching liopoil is the wrong move strategically. I'd like input from anyone who's actually willing to work through it. Also, yuma are you willing to sacrifice yourself since you're much more useful as a NK-absorption than a suspect?
I'd be willing to be persuaded that Robz isn't the best target here. But pretty much it needs to be one of the three: {Robz, Dsell, ash}. I'm leaning town on ash, neutral on Dsell, and slight scum on Robz. yuma is up there, but as long as he activates his LR it's not a concern.
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Topic: Mafia XIX: Deep Space Nine Mafia (Day 7) (Read 268963 times)