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Author Topic: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia - Town Wins!  (Read 336904 times)

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Witherweaver

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2675 on: October 03, 2014, 11:56:02 am »

So, if it really is a 3-team scum, Teproc is cleared. 
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Teproc

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2676 on: October 03, 2014, 12:10:58 pm »

Yay, I guess.
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Witherweaver

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2677 on: October 03, 2014, 12:16:38 pm »

Stark QT shares?
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Teproc

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2678 on: October 03, 2014, 12:23:01 pm »

I wasn't chosen because of the roleblock risk, so we went for Ichi. I don't know who he targeted.
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Ichimaru Gin

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2679 on: October 03, 2014, 12:42:41 pm »

I targeted Ashersky again for protection, because I thought WIFOM might point to an Ash nightkill. I guess I miscalculated that one.

pacovf

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2680 on: October 03, 2014, 01:00:04 pm »

Quite a shame that Voltaire died, but at least Teproc is semi-cleared from this (barring 4-man scumteam).

Let's see what Ash found out (unless he wants to wait again).
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Witherweaver

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2681 on: October 03, 2014, 01:01:13 pm »

Did EgorK say much in QT?
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Teproc

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2682 on: October 03, 2014, 01:03:24 pm »

He said we lynched Hydrad too fast and it was classic town!Hydrad but that we'll probably win anyway.

Then he has a post about the problems with giving me the role (being roleblocked) or giving it to Ichi (there was a concern that he wouldn't be here to submit his order).

That's it.
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XerxesPraelor

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2683 on: October 03, 2014, 01:26:35 pm »

So POE leaves ash, pacovf, and EgorK . Killing Voltaire really makes sense for scum!ash, because that way he can kill ICs with impunity.

vote: ash
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Teproc

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2684 on: October 03, 2014, 01:28:02 pm »

So your theory is that last night ash nokilled and roleblocked Ichi (or whatever else) ?
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XerxesPraelor

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2685 on: October 03, 2014, 01:29:21 pm »

Rolecopped is my guess.
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Teproc

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2686 on: October 03, 2014, 01:31:08 pm »

And you think that's more likely than, say, pacovf being scum ?

You understand that killing Voltaire is the obvious play given that we can trust his results a lot more than ash's. Not only because the way the claims work out, Voltaire was less likely to be scum (and that's not accounting for play), but also because we already have a dead ninja, whereas we could still have a Godfather.
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Teproc

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2687 on: October 03, 2014, 01:31:57 pm »

Well it's the "obvious play" in that it's the kill scum wants. But scum is desperate enough to just not care about who's the most likely to be targeted and just shoot whoever they really want to shoot I think. Which didn't work on N2, but did on N3.
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XerxesPraelor

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2688 on: October 03, 2014, 01:34:08 pm »

Town does have a roleblocker and a doctor along with a tracker, so a cop seems a bit too good if all scum has is a jailkeeper, 1-shot ninja, and godfather.

PPE: so why didn't we follow the cop with Voltaire instead of ash?
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XerxesPraelor

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2689 on: October 03, 2014, 01:35:42 pm »

Pacovf looks quite towny and ash scummy just from gut.
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Teproc

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2690 on: October 03, 2014, 01:36:32 pm »

Maybe we should have. I thought it would be better to WIFOM scum, and it did work in getting us a nokill N2 (well unless you're an ash conspiracy theorist).

Why does pacovf look quite townie ?
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EgorK

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2691 on: October 03, 2014, 02:54:37 pm »

If everyone's scum pool is me, pac and ash we have time to lynch all 3 barring double night kills
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Witherweaver

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2692 on: October 03, 2014, 02:57:18 pm »

Pretty much.

Doesn't take into account Godfather on Robz or Ichi though.
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Ichimaru Gin

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2693 on: October 03, 2014, 07:42:19 pm »

So who are we going to lynch today? And when is it likely that Ash will show up with his result?

ashersky

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2694 on: October 03, 2014, 07:56:59 pm »

I copped Voltaire, given he kept surviving.  Realm-aligned.

I like XP as scum, have for awhile.  Coming out swinging and voting for the cop is pretty crazy, too.

Remember, with the tracker gone, follow-the-cop is fully on with no need for doc wifom.  They are in a tougher spot now.
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Witherweaver

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2695 on: October 03, 2014, 08:00:32 pm »

I'd lynch Ash before XP here.  Actually, I'd lynch anyone before XP.
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pacovf

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2696 on: October 03, 2014, 08:12:06 pm »

I copped Voltaire, given he kept surviving.  Realm-aligned.

I like XP as scum, have for awhile.  Coming out swinging and voting for the cop is pretty crazy, too.

Remember, with the tracker gone, follow-the-cop is fully on with no need for doc wifom.  They are in a tougher spot now.

If Voltaire had been scum, he would have had to correctly guess who you targeted twice, and the second time he could have pretended to track a VT instead and take no risks. So you knew he was town, unless you want to pretend he was a scum tracker. You copping him makes zero sense.

Scum is not in a tougher spot now than before. We (supposedly) had two investigative PRs, now we only have (supposedly) one. The fact that before they had 50% chance of hitting a PR because of WIFOM, and now 0%, doesn't change that they are better off than before.

Honestly, this first post of you today is strangely self-serving.

I'd lynch Ash before XP here.  Actually, I'd lynch anyone before XP.

Anyone? Even Teproc?

So who are we going to lynch today?

Not Teproc, not witherweaver. Probably not XP or you. The likely lynches today are me and EgorK, but I would take a look at Robz and Ashersky. Neither have done anything that makes me think they are town.

I know what I should do right now, but... will I ever muster the courage to reread this leviathan of a thread?
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ashersky

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2697 on: October 03, 2014, 08:30:49 pm »

If I was scum, I knew somehow who to claim to cop based on Voltaire's QT reveal.  I couldn't know who he would say there.

I should have copped him last night, given he's Voltaire. 
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ashersky

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2698 on: October 03, 2014, 08:32:12 pm »

Also, claiming to have copped Voltaire when he died is weak scum sauce.  I have no need to tell the truth if the tracker can't call me out.  So why wouldn't I just claim a result on anyone else?
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pacovf

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Re: M50: A Song Of Ice And Fire Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #2699 on: October 03, 2014, 08:36:27 pm »

If I was scum, I knew somehow who to claim to cop based on Voltaire's QT reveal.  I couldn't know who he would say there.

I should have copped him last night, given he's Voltaire.

If you are scum, you have a PR and you targeted someone with it. No need to guess.

Also, claiming to have copped Voltaire when he died is weak scum sauce.  I have no need to tell the truth if the tracker can't call me out.  So why wouldn't I just claim a result on anyone else?

If you are the last scum, and you give a result on living people, you have to give a Realm-Aligned result, which will end up shrinking the lynch pool so much that you'll end up lynched. Not today, maybe not tomorrow, but definitely the day after. Giving results on dead people doesn't have that problem.
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