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Author Topic: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Game over : Scum wins !)  (Read 100896 times)

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ashersky

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #475 on: July 10, 2014, 06:43:20 pm »

Why did you investigate ash?

The bigger question is we know scum has a Roleblocker...we know scum knew sudgy wasn't lying...why wasn't he blocked?
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Robz888

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #476 on: July 10, 2014, 06:45:35 pm »

Why did you investigate ash?

The bigger question is we know scum has a Roleblocker...we know scum knew sudgy wasn't lying...why wasn't he blocked?

Yeah. I can't think of a great reason. Can you?
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I have been forced to accept that lackluster play is a town tell for you.

chairs

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #477 on: July 10, 2014, 06:50:47 pm »

It only makes sense if they thought that he would hold off on using his shot for a later Night.

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #478 on: July 10, 2014, 06:55:16 pm »

...Actually, it -also- makes sense in one scenario where they expected sudgy to use his shot: ashersky is Godfather (or they want us to think he is).

Ash is the obvious choice, in my mind, to investigate.  He's one of the best people in our group at saying remarkably towny things as scum, and being scummy as town, so practically everything he does is a null tell.  This makes using a Cop on him a great choice.

ashersky

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #479 on: July 10, 2014, 06:57:28 pm »

It only makes sense if they thought that he would hold off on using his shot for a later Night.

Or he's scum.  Or Wifom so we would think he's scum.




PPE: chairs makes a good point.  To expand, they gambled on me being the most obvious investigation target and/or scum are unlikely players yo be normally targeted on N1.
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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #480 on: July 10, 2014, 06:59:12 pm »

These things are all possible. Sort of an unusually large number of data points to consider so early. That's a good thing, though I'm not sure what I think about them...
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mcmcsalot

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #481 on: July 10, 2014, 07:39:18 pm »

my thoughts would be go with ash is town for now, though keep in mind he could be godfather. work from the list he made adding himself, and go from there.

Seeing as all of the wagon yesterday were on town, and they all were pretty similar on how strong the case was, faust stands out as refusing to lynch chairs, from a scum perspective it would get town point post flip, though from a town perspective we are pretty sure hes town
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Robz888

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #482 on: July 10, 2014, 07:43:32 pm »

my thoughts would be go with ash is town for now, though keep in mind he could be godfather. work from the list he made adding himself, and go from there.

Seeing as all of the wagon yesterday were on town, and they all were pretty similar on how strong the case was, faust stands out as refusing to lynch chairs, from a scum perspective it would get town point post flip, though from a town perspective we are pretty sure hes town

It could also be a scum plot, since the argument that sudgy is town came immediately from ash, and the argument that ash is town comes exclusively from sudgy.
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ashersky

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #483 on: July 10, 2014, 08:55:31 pm »

my thoughts would be go with ash is town for now, though keep in mind he could be godfather. work from the list he made adding himself, and go from there.

Seeing as all of the wagon yesterday were on town, and they all were pretty similar on how strong the case was, faust stands out as refusing to lynch chairs, from a scum perspective it would get town point post flip, though from a town perspective we are pretty sure hes town

It could also be a scum plot, since the argument that sudgy is town came immediately from ash, and the argument that ash is town comes exclusively from sudgy.

Right.

I think the possibilities, in no particular order (at this point):

Sudgy is town / Investigated town ashersky
Sudgy is scum / Fakeclaimed and ashersky is town
Sudgy is scum / Fakeclaimed and ashersky is scum, too
Sudgy is town / Investigated godfather ashersky
Sudgy is town / Didn't investigate, wifoming scum, has a strong enough townread on ash to risk it




(on a mod side note, the goal of this setup when I built it was to really reduce solvability, which so far seems to be working!)
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ashersky

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #484 on: July 10, 2014, 08:56:44 pm »

my thoughts would be go with ash is town for now, though keep in mind he could be godfather. work from the list he made adding himself, and go from there.

Seeing as all of the wagon yesterday were on town, and they all were pretty similar on how strong the case was, faust stands out as refusing to lynch chairs, from a scum perspective it would get town point post flip, though from a town perspective we are pretty sure hes town

mom salon makes a great point, too.

I pushed chairs all day until he claimed VT.  That's an easy fake claim, too.
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chairs

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #485 on: July 10, 2014, 11:03:23 pm »

So if we think faust/chairs is the scumteam (I'm not scum, faust might be), then lynching faust or myself is a good idea.  If we think Sudgy/Ash are scum, lynching Ash probably tells us more than lynching Sudgy.

That being said, I think ash and sudgy are both town, so I'm disinclined to lynch either.

mcmcsalot

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #486 on: July 10, 2014, 11:46:13 pm »

vote: Faust confident enough in my reads and Poe, this is extremely likely to hit scum.

I don't know where chairs got the idea he's scum tied to Faust, I think scum!Faust was purposely advocating against the town!chairs lunch that he assumed would go through for the cred.
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ashersky

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #487 on: July 11, 2014, 01:07:10 am »

vote: Faust confident enough in my reads and Poe, this is extremely likely to hit scum.

I don't know where chairs got the idea he's scum tied to Faust, I think scum!Faust was purposely advocating against the town!chairs lunch that he assumed would go through for the cred.

I do think there's a strong case to be made against faust.  I'll re-read after the weekend.
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faust

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 1)
« Reply #488 on: July 11, 2014, 03:26:49 am »

I'd say sudgy is also an IC.  Did you use your shot sudgy?

I'm coming back to this post. It's scummy. Why did you ask that, ashersky?

I think it's funny your hyper-focused here.  Afraid of what we will find if we focus on D1?

I have no idea what you mean. How am I "hyper-focused"?
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faust

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #489 on: July 11, 2014, 03:30:42 am »

Hey sudgy, we need ya pal.

I finally just woke up!

Anyway, WIFOM is amazing (like telling scum you might not use your shot).  I investigated ash, and he turned up town.  Remember that he could be the Godfather, but he's most likely town.

This makes no sense at all. Then again, I don't see scum!sudgy pulling that kind of trick... I'm confused now.
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faust

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #490 on: July 11, 2014, 03:34:02 am »

...Actually, it -also- makes sense in one scenario where they expected sudgy to use his shot: ashersky is Godfather (or they want us to think he is).

Ash is the obvious choice, in my mind, to investigate.  He's one of the best people in our group at saying remarkably towny things as scum, and being scummy as town, so practically everything he does is a null tell.  This makes using a Cop on him a great choice.

Well, I don't think ash is such an obvious choice... Robz, for example, would also make a great investigation target. I somehow doubt that scum was confident enough that they correctly guessed sudgy's target to not roleblock him.
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faust

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #491 on: July 11, 2014, 03:39:48 am »

my thoughts would be go with ash is town for now, though keep in mind he could be godfather. work from the list he made adding himself, and go from there.

Seeing as all of the wagon yesterday were on town, and they all were pretty similar on how strong the case was, faust stands out as refusing to lynch chairs, from a scum perspective it would get town point post flip, though from a town perspective we are pretty sure hes town

1. you're a bit quick to conclude that all D1 wagons were on town.
2. you are using bad logic. If I argued against a chairs lynch and he's town, I'm scummy because I want the town cred. If I agrue against a chairs lynch and he's scum, I'm scummy because I'm trying to protect my partner. So by this, it is always scummy to argue against lynches. That obviously makes no sense.
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faust

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #492 on: July 11, 2014, 03:41:39 am »

vote: Faust confident enough in my reads and Poe, this is extremely likely to hit scum.

I don't know where chairs got the idea he's scum tied to Faust, I think scum!Faust was purposely advocating against the town!chairs lunch that he assumed would go through for the cred.

Wait, what PoE? Which other players can you exclude? And "extremely likely", seriously? It's D2 and there's virtually no case against me. You are wrong. Wrong wrong wrong.
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faust

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #493 on: July 11, 2014, 03:42:04 am »

vote: Faust confident enough in my reads and Poe, this is extremely likely to hit scum.

I don't know where chairs got the idea he's scum tied to Faust, I think scum!Faust was purposely advocating against the town!chairs lunch that he assumed would go through for the cred.

I do think there's a strong case to be made against faust.  I'll re-read after the weekend.

ash hedging on.
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ashersky

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #494 on: July 11, 2014, 03:43:18 am »

vote: Faust confident enough in my reads and Poe, this is extremely likely to hit scum.

I don't know where chairs got the idea he's scum tied to Faust, I think scum!Faust was purposely advocating against the town!chairs lunch that he assumed would go through for the cred.

I do think there's a strong case to be made against faust.  I'll re-read after the weekend.

ash hedging on.

Is overly defensive to the point of being insulted Faust usually scum!faust or town!faust?
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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #495 on: July 11, 2014, 03:44:59 am »

My (somewhat) conclusive thoughts on the sudgy thing: No matter what happened here, it is certain that scum made an extremely unordinary move. Therefore, I think ashersky is scum, because he's the kind of player that would make a move like that. I think that most other players, as scum, would have just roleblocked sudgy (or, if sudgy is scum, claimed that he was roleblocked).
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ashersky

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #496 on: July 11, 2014, 06:41:13 am »

My (somewhat) conclusive thoughts on the sudgy thing: No matter what happened here, it is certain that scum made an extremely unordinary move. Therefore, I think ashersky is scum, because he's the kind of player that would make a move like that. I think that most other players, as scum, would have just roleblocked sudgy (or, if sudgy is scum, claimed that he was roleblocked).

Love the omgus train.

You are just as capable of being unorthodox as scum as I am.
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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #497 on: July 11, 2014, 06:54:16 am »

My (somewhat) conclusive thoughts on the sudgy thing: No matter what happened here, it is certain that scum made an extremely unordinary move. Therefore, I think ashersky is scum, because he's the kind of player that would make a move like that. I think that most other players, as scum, would have just roleblocked sudgy (or, if sudgy is scum, claimed that he was roleblocked).

Love the omgus train.

You are just as capable of being unorthodox as scum as I am.

Well, maybe, but of course I know I'm not scum, so I have to suspect you.
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faust

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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #498 on: July 11, 2014, 06:55:33 am »

Also, if someone is OMGUSing here, it's you! I voted you first!  :P
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Re: M46 : Homeland Mafia (Day 2)
« Reply #499 on: July 11, 2014, 08:34:37 am »

Also, if someone is OMGUSing here, it's you! I voted you first!  :P

Robz's favorite scum tell, I see.
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