Here's a fun (and hopefully helpful) exercise.
So we do have a flip already! We know that Spiritbears is town. Even though that wagon never got even close to lynching, I think it will be useful to analyze people's opinions on Spiritbears.
#447 TA makes original case on SB, votes (also has many many posts pushing the case. I'm not going to list them all, but I was frequently and consistently pushing the case).
#453 Theorel says he finds Spiritbears scummy for "adding fuel to the fire"
#466 Xeiron thinks Spiritbears is town
#468 EFHW has a townread on Spiritbears
#485 Eevee says this has all the makings of a mislynch
#495 Nkirbit sheeps Eevee's view from #485
#520 Ashersky says "SB looks pretty towny out of all of this"
#522 mail-mi says that "SB does seem a little different"
#630 Ahoppy thinks that SB looks pretty scummy
#648 Nkirbit votes SB. "Mainly for the aggresiveness"
#673 Chairs says there's likely one scum in SB/TA, votes TA
#748 Shraeye says SB is a foreground player, doesn't want to lynch a foreground player
#750 Raerae says SB's reaction is similar to the game-that-shall-not-be-named
#844 Eevee: "I'm not against spirit lynch, I'm actually very null on him come to think of it.. which is a scum trait, ding ding."
#845 Ashersky: "I'm neutral on sb. Could go either way."
The three players who had their opinions change over time on Spiritbears were Nkirbit, Eevee, and Ashersky.
Nkirbit went from agreeing that the Spiritbears lynch had all the makings of to voting him. He stated, in his vote, that it was less due to a read, and more due to the fact that he disliked SB's aggressiveness. That's not why he should be voting someone, probably, but if it's true, I don't think the switch makes Nkirbit too scummy.
Eevee's flip-flop on SB was the most problematic, to me. Early on, he proclaimed "this has all the makings of a mislynch!"
However, by #844, when I pressure people for their views on the case, he actually comes back with a scummier read on Spiritbears, clearly no longer thinking it was a mislynch. Now, this may very well be due to the fact that he went from a scum-read to a town-read on myself, making my case less "dangerous" in his eyes, but this is still a pretty noticeable switch on Eevee's part.
Ashersky's flip is almost the same as Eevee's flip. Once again, it may be due to the fact that he initially found SB towny due to a scum-read on Eevee, and Eevee proclaiming SB as towny. As his scum read on Eevee lessened (I think it lessened, at least?), this could also move SB from a town read to a null read.
There's the people who proclaimed SB towny (and were correct): Raerae, Shraeye, xeiron, EFHW. Now, if these people were scum, they KNEW SB was town. But I don't think SB was in any serious danger of getting lynched at any point, so I think some of these people may have stepped in to help push along the lynch, if necessary. So a get a townier read from these people.
Theorel and Ahoppy and mail-mi said that they found SB anywhere from "a little different" to "scummy". These people are more suspicious than the previous group -- they could have seen an easy mislynch, and wanted to help push it along. Notable, though, is that none of these people actually put a vote down. I find these people more suspicious than the previous group, but less suspicious than Eevee and Ashersky.
I think Eevee and Ashersky come off scummiest from this wagon, due to their changes on SB, despite the fact that the only thing SB was doing was refusing to defend himself, again and again (to be fair, I found this scummy as well).