I'm going to predict MicQ on this one, but I know by experience (and watching videos) all eight players are good so this is really anyone's tournament.

**Edit: Dondon's record is so sparse that the first part of this analysis excludes him entirely**Anyone's tournament, indeed. Thanks to Chuckleslovakian for generating the records! If the upcoming small sample of games is representative (alternately, if players' past records are representative of the upcoming small sample of games), then:

Lespeutere has a 52% chance of beating HME

WW has a 58% chance of beating Mic

OWB has a 53% chance of beating Ed

If Stef beats dondon, Stef has ~65% chance of beating either opponent.

If WW beats Mic, WW has a 73% chance of beating Ed, while OWB has a 57% chance of beating WW

Then, in the final Stef has a 53.5% chance of beating WW, 67.9% chance of beating Mic, 57.1% chance of beating Ed, and 62.4% chance of beating OWB.

Of course, if dondon beats Stef, he has a 100% chance of losing to lespeutere, but if he makes it to the final against OWB, he has a 100% chance of winning.

Making the simplifying assumption that a player's record against dondon is the average of their record against all players remaining in the tournament, I calculate the following odds of a player getting to the finals:

Stef 40.3%

Don 20.4%

Lesp 20.4%

HME 18.9%

WW 33.1%

Mic 23.1%

Ed 14.4%

OWB 29.4%

If I were a betting man (anyone making books on this one?

), I'd take Stef.