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Author Topic: Upsets  (Read 25032 times)

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greatexpectations

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #25 on: December 09, 2012, 12:42:16 am »
+3

split the seed/ranking/etc discussion into a separate thread so that this one can simply discuss the upsets. first time wielding the mod stick like that, hopefully i didn't botch anything.

the split/new thread can be found here.
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greatexpectations

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #26 on: December 09, 2012, 12:52:02 am »
+2

Wingnut (44) upsets WHARF 2 THA BRIDGE (21). Wingnut draws fellow upsetter shraeye in the next round, so we have either a 44 or 53 seed through to the 3rd round over in the gardens division.
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Young Nick

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #27 on: December 09, 2012, 12:56:43 am »
0

Wingnut (44) upsets WHARF 2 THA BRIDGE (21). Wingnut draws fellow upsetter shraeye in the next round, so we have either a 44 or 53 seed through to the 3rd round over in the gardens division.

Even more impressive because in my experience WHARF 2 THA BRIDGE is better than his rank shows because he will often go weeks or months without playing. Then again, maybe that rust in part caused the upset? Regardless, props to Wingnut.
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Stealth Tomato

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #28 on: December 09, 2012, 01:12:31 am »
0

I just lost in the second round of the Chapel division to wesphys (38 seed).  As a 6 seed, I believe that makes me the highest seed to have lost yet!  At least I can be proud of something  :'(

Once you get to Round 2, nearly everyone has a mean skill at least in the 40+ range or defeated someone with a mean skill in that range, which makes luck much more able to overcome the skill gap.

I got bounced as a 3 seed in Round 2 last year.
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Simon (DK)

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #29 on: December 09, 2012, 07:26:21 am »
+1

In the 2nd round in the Thief division Simon (DK) (50) will play against Zappie (victory) (47). So far the match with the worst ranked best ranked player.
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Robz888

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #30 on: December 09, 2012, 06:09:31 pm »
+1

Uh, First got knocked out in the Chapel division. That's gotta be like a MASSIVE upset.
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Insomniac

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #31 on: December 09, 2012, 10:15:29 pm »
0

Uh, First got knocked out in the Chapel division. That's gotta be like a MASSIVE upset.

From what I can tell -Stef- is still in?
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Robz888

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #32 on: December 09, 2012, 10:17:44 pm »
0

Uh, First got knocked out in the Chapel division. That's gotta be like a MASSIVE upset.

From what I can tell -Stef- is still in?

No, the player, "First." Not Stef.
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olneyce

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #33 on: December 10, 2012, 03:12:47 am »
0

Uh, First got knocked out in the Chapel division. That's gotta be like a MASSIVE upset.
Yeah, wow.

By far the closest I came to getting knocked out last year was playing against First.  He, if not for a very stupid and totally avoidable mistake on his part, would have taken me out.  Great player.

Though mith is a much much better player than the rankings would suggest, so there's some bad luck there, too.
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mith

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #34 on: December 10, 2012, 06:52:32 pm »
0

5 seed eigensheep knocked out as well. That's 4-6 in Chapel, now.
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Jorbles

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #35 on: December 10, 2012, 07:45:19 pm »
0

This one got missed somehow in the Thief Division:
http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=5689.msg148619#msg148619

alex/werrew (52) over CopperCopperr (13)

alex/werrew has since moved through to the third round and will be playing lespeutere (4) or secret tunnel (29) soon.
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Qvist

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #36 on: December 11, 2012, 06:39:44 am »
0

Witch division keeps to be THE Upset Division:

dnkywin (23) won over dghunter79 (10) and Funkiemonk (24) won over WrathofGlod (Michael Harris) (9)

theory

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #37 on: December 11, 2012, 11:05:08 am »
+1

In total there were 33 upsets (defined as any lower seed defeating any higher seed) in Round 1, with 7 of them being in the top 64 overall (or in the top 16 in their bracket).

Chapel: 8 (1 in top 64)
Gardens: 9 (2 in top 64)
Thief: 9 (2 in top 64)
Witch: 7 (2 in top 64)
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Re: Upsets
« Reply #38 on: December 11, 2012, 11:18:28 am »
+2

In total there were 33 upsets (defined as any lower seed defeating any higher seed) in Round 1, with 7 of them being in the top 64 overall (or in the top 16 in their bracket).

Chapel: 8 (1 in top 64)
Gardens: 9 (2 in top 64)
Thief: 9 (2 in top 64)
Witch: 7 (2 in top 64)

Curse you and your non-anecdotal evidence!
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mith

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #39 on: December 11, 2012, 12:32:23 pm »
0

More non-anecdotal evidence...

Top upsets by level difference:

Chapel-1   witchdoctor83 d. kilgoretrout103 (30.148)
Gardens-1  shraeye d. cherdano (24.635)
Thief-1    alex d. Copperrcopper (21.666)
Chapel-2   mith d. First (20.598)
Chapel-2   Beyond Awesome d. eigensheep (20.38)
Witch-1    LordHedgie d. Qvist (20.335)
Thief-1    Simon d. sitnaltax (19.019)
Chapel-2   wesphys d. dudeabides (18.686)
Gardens1   bjmartin d. qmech (18.311)
Witch-1    LowPants d. Fumanchu (17.211)
Thief-1    mrdudesir d. oaster (15.579)
Thief-1    Zappie d. pecoho (15.523)
Witch-1    SirPeebles d. Powerman (15.209)


Top upsets by higher seed's level:

Chapel-2   mith d. First (43.756)
Chapel-2   Beyond Awesome d. eigensheep (43.393)
Chapel-2   wesphys d. dudeabides (40.894)
Chapel-1   witchdoctor83 d. kilgoretrout103 (39.472)
Witch-2    Funkiemonk d. WrathOfGlod (39.287)
Witch-2    dnkywin d. dghunter79 (38.705)
Gardens-1  shraeye d. cherdano (37.607)
Thief-1    alex d. Copperrcopper (36.5)
Witch-1    LordHedgie d. Qvist (36.259)
Thief-1    Simon d. sitnaltax (35.953)
Gardens-1  bjmartin d. qmech (35.586)


(I expect this will change as other divisions catch up on round 2... Chapel seems to be ahead of everyone there.)
« Last Edit: December 11, 2012, 03:05:04 pm by mith »
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soulnet

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #40 on: December 11, 2012, 02:28:23 pm »
0

Quote
Chapel-1   witchdoctor83 d. kilgoretrout103 (30.148)

This was a no-show, so it should not count for any contest. I am not even sure if I would call that an upset.
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mith

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #41 on: December 11, 2012, 03:02:44 pm »
0

Ah, good to know. I was just going by the brackets, didn't think to check for forfeits.
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Titandrake

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #42 on: December 11, 2012, 04:31:13 pm »
+2

I am reporting the LowPants (49) over Titandrake (16) upset before anyone else does.

On Iso LowPants is level 19, but his/her play felt more like the mid 30s.
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jonts26

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #43 on: December 11, 2012, 04:34:05 pm »
+4

I am reporting the LowPants (49) over Titandrake (16) upset before anyone else does.

On Iso LowPants is level 19, but his/her play felt more like the mid 30s.

And he's in the witch division. My confirmation bias senses are tingling.
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michaeljb

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #44 on: December 13, 2012, 01:15:21 am »
+1

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Beyond Awesome

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #45 on: December 13, 2012, 01:31:02 am »
+2

http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=5691.msg153262#msg153262

So, 3, 4, 5, and 6 all got knocked out on the second match of the tournament. I would say at this rate, Chapel is the upset division.
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michaeljb

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #46 on: December 13, 2012, 01:35:34 am »
+1

http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=5691.msg153262#msg153262

So, 3, 4, 5, and 6 all got knocked out on the second match of the tournament. I would say at this rate, Chapel is the upset division.

Now I want jonts to lose just to make that 2-6 :P
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shraeye

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #47 on: December 13, 2012, 01:48:42 am »
+7

With a 4-2 win over Wingnut, I just became the lowest seed advancing to the third Round at #53!
http://forum.dominionstrategy.com/index.php?topic=5690.msg153268#msg153268
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theory

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #48 on: December 13, 2012, 09:57:02 pm »
+1

RisingJaguar is out.  Seems like Round 2 is where all the upsets are.
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Kirian

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Re: Upsets
« Reply #49 on: December 13, 2012, 11:41:01 pm »
+5

RisingJaguar is out.  Seems like Round 2 is where all the upsets are.

I guess this time around he couldn't...

[sunglasses]

...rise to the occasion.
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