I might have communicated unclearly, but I agree with faust. Having a better idea what kinds of roles are present in the game helps both town and scum, because it means everyone can plan their actions better. Currently, it is more likely than not that scum already has that information and town doesn't, which is why it's beneficial to reveal it.
Having a better idea who has those roles, as far as I can tell, is only a negligible benefit to town, whereas it is a considerable benefit to scum. Even though most likely revealing it would just negligibly benefit town because scum already knows, the benefit to town doesn't seem important enough to justify taking the risk.
I'm still not convinced of the numbers. "Currently it is more likely than not that scum already has that information". How can you know that? Do you know how many scum there are? Do you know that scum is in the group? Are you scum and in that group? In a BM game, how can we even guess any numbers?
I may not be able to read many of you guys yet, being fairly new. But I can play numbers games. From Didds' perspective, if she's town, and we assume 3 scum out of 12 players this game (which I fully admit could be slightly or completely wrong!)... the remaining 2 in her neighbourhood have (8C2)/(11C2)=28/55 (~50%) chance of both being town. If there are only 2 scum, I believe that works out to 36/55 (~65%) chance the other two are town. And if Didds is scum, none of this matters since she already knows enough about the neighbourhood.
So are you still fairly sure that "scum already knows who's in the neighbourhood"?
Why is pubby a better exile? A "reason" like this is just as helpful as not giving a reason at all.
Jimmmmm is not participating much. He isn't offering anything useful even when he does show up. I think he's quite possibly scum. And even if he is town, he's not helping us and not giving us anything to help town-read him later.
Vote: Jimmmmm
Why do you question a pubby exile, who has done even less than Jimmmmm, and then proceed to call for a lurker exile of Jimmmmmm?
I was not intending it to be "I don't agree with a pubby exile" (that is, questioning the choice). I meant the question to try and prompt Jimmmmm into actually joining the discussion, rather than saying "I'm here. I admit I haven't done much. I'll vote this person without actually giving a reason". You are right... Jimmmmm has actually been here a bit, so he's one that I could actually ask questions and hope to get an answer from, to help me/others read him (other than the fact that apparently he's sleeping from now until deadline). A vote just puts extra pressure, especially if he's scum as it could bring out other people who want to defend him.
People I'd be happy to vote for right now: Jimmmmm, Didds, pubby, maybe fang, Bright or EFHW (probably that would be my order of preference). I know that's a big list. I really don't know at this point!
I'm not getting town-vibes, per se, from the others. I don't know you all well enough for that. But my strongest scum-vibes (I tend to be fairly cynical and scum-read a lot more into things than I probably should) and/or non-helpful feelings (from being mostly absent) are on that list.
PPE 10 !!!