I'm so tired of being mischaracterized my faust.
I am voting raerae because it's raerae's behavior that is odd and rings scummy.
The case for that behavior being scummy is neater if shraeye is scum.
But there is still a case there is shraeye is town.
The shraeye-is-town version basically relies on raerae panicking and making a suboptimal decision. But that is totally believable:
-- Things were moving fast at the end of the day
-- MiX's demeanor created a sense of urgency
-- Coming out hard against using the power AT ALL was the safe bet, because it had less possibility of backfiring
raerae's priority was to keep MiX from shooting. Everyone else's priority was to try to direct his shot to their scumreads. I think that's because her priority was to avoid her worst case scenario: MiX shooting scum.
faust, is this clear? All of this works regardless of shraeye's alignment. It is neater if they're partners, and I have additional evidence that they are partners (their not very convincing day 1 animosity) so that's what I think is most likely.
I note that you haven't really tried to address or refute the notion that raerae and shraeye are partners at all, instead framing it as prima facie scummy/stupid. It is not.
TL;DR My case on raerae does NOT depend on shraeye being scum, but I do think it's likely they're both scum, and faust is being unhelpful and disingenuous, so I honestly wouldn't rule out the three of them being the scum team.