Vote Count 3.3
DatSwan (5): mcmcsalot, A Drowned Kernel, Joseph2302, e, Awaclus
A Drowned Kernel (3): Uncleeurope, Debatepro, EFHW
Joseph2302 (1): DatSwan
Not Voting (2): Robz888, jotheonah
So what we are saying here is that there is all town in [Joth, Joseph, ADK, Swan, Joth]?
That would leave [MCMC, E, Awaclus] sitting on Swan.
And [Eddoe. Debate. EFHW] on ADK.
And Robz in the no vote camp.
So I would say there, the skum plan would be to spread out over me and ADK, which does isolate Robz a bit.
That being said, if we do not assume ADK is town (or any one person, tbf) I find the whole situation far more likely. I think that possibly because I voiced Robz as an alternate lynch candidate this could be getting played up to save ADK.
We have to start thinking about pools. If anyone flips red it is good.
The below is from POV (and assuming Joth and Joseph are Town):
If ADK flips red, then we have the off pool of 4, and the on pool of 3.
If ADK flips green, then we have the off pool of 3, and the on pool of 3.
If Robz flips red, then we have the on pool of 4 and the off pool of 3.
If Robz flips green, then we have the on pool of 4 and the off pool of 3.
So the lynch doesn't matter really in regards to isolating the choice for tomorrow. One way we isolate the off pool and the other the on pool.
So either it is all town, as presented, or someone is skum.
I would argue that the fact that I sat at L1 for so long without a lynch means that I have saturated skum on me and last one did not want to hammer.
OTOH I would argue that the fact that the ADK wagon took off and then we had 3 people that are not ADK jump on Robz, then ADK on robz, then another with a random off vote.... That all just seems like people jumped at the first possible reason to leave ADK. Now I have no idea who in the hell skum is out of that group if true, and today, honestly, IDC. But it leads to adk being skummy.
I think it is more likely ADK is skum and Robz is town, or ADK is skum and Robz is skum, than Robz is skum and ADK is town. And then if we add in the "we are all town concept" that is assuming like 6 people of 11 players are town... which is getting a little ridiculous.
I still want to lynch ADK.
And honestly, the fact that Robz is the target just argues more in that favor from my POV. Anyone from a town perspective that was on me, should of been more suspicious of the wagoners on ADK than the off-voter Robz. If they so easily thing ADK is town, and are willing to go Robz over both ADK and myself... why would the people on me be willing to leave me for Robz instead of trying to leave me for someone that was voting ADK?
Robz could be skum sure. But he could be town, and he could be skum with ADK. But I doubt that ADK is town.