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Author Topic: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Town and Survivor win!)  (Read 157236 times)

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Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1325 on: July 01, 2019, 12:56:19 pm »

Also if the scum nightkills the traitor the traitor doesn't die and joins the QT instead.
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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EFHW

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1326 on: July 01, 2019, 01:01:47 pm »

I was thinking that we could kill actual scum first so scum can NK the traitor. Sadly, they can just dodge it with tge neighborhood. That reminds me, EFHW is town for saying what ash was talking about.

So, since scum won't realistically NK the traitor, we can safely assume the third-party's reporter or survivor. If survivor, they're town (since they could just not bus), so let's assume the worst, which is reporter. I found this in the setup:

"- Traitor does not constitute a power role"

Which means we don't want to leave them as the last scum lynch. Now we need to know this:

Does Neighbor count as a power role for Reporter?

If yes, the reporter kinda lost already...and we let ash live. Otherwise, we take out ash and pray the remaining scum are PRs. There's also the possibility traitor's PR, but I would say that's slim (only if they got RB).
For some reason I can't make any sense of most of this post.
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MiX

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1327 on: July 01, 2019, 01:05:24 pm »

Also if the scum nightkills the traitor the traitor doesn't die and joins the QT instead.

That still lets us enter normal LyLo, which is our win condition.


Sorry EFHW, I'll explain after faust answers my question. Mostly I thought we shouldn't kill traitor first, but then I realize we should.
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faust

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1328 on: July 01, 2019, 01:13:00 pm »

Does Neighbor count as a power role for Reporter?
Yes.
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Swowl

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1329 on: July 01, 2019, 02:06:50 pm »

Mix - i posted the same question in the hood thread last night . Honestly i am surprised at the answer.


Ashes/EFHW - I posted something in our hood thread within the minute that Faust locked thread and re opened game.

I instantly deleted it.

I am not under any penalty that i am aware of.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
Skum: 7 wins, 7 losses (1 MVP)
3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

Swowl

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1330 on: July 01, 2019, 03:57:55 pm »

Hmmm.

So let's say gkrieg is scum. There is, at most, one scum in the neighborhood (probably ash, but we can't say that definitively.) That leaves two more scum among {Glooble, MiX, pubby, pingpongsam}. In other words, if gkrieg is scum, someone is already bussing.

It's not 2 more scum, it's just 1. Clearly the third party's being town here. Of those 5, pps is the only one who didn't vote gkrieg. So if he's scum, he's not bussing.

Also, recall that traitor doesn't always know scum, although I believe everyone knew e was scum.
I meant to say 1. Sorry.
I don't get what's going on with numbers here. DatSwan made a number-of-scum error in the qt as well. There are 4 scum, we found 1, there are 3 more to catch. Right? Glooble assumed 1 in neighborhood, that leaves 2 more in the rest of you.

Obviously i can’t quote it, but it wasn’t a error it was a typo. Any time i talked about “2skum” i meant 2 mafia
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
Skum: 7 wins, 7 losses (1 MVP)
3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

MiX

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1331 on: July 01, 2019, 04:40:09 pm »

Okay then I know precisely what is going to happen this game.

Vote: gkrieg
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MiX

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1332 on: July 01, 2019, 05:13:02 pm »

Everyone, including scum, should be voting on gkrieg as fast as possible, by the way. It's the correct move.
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Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1333 on: July 01, 2019, 05:20:47 pm »

I’m so confused.
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1334 on: July 01, 2019, 05:21:46 pm »

Why does speed matter?
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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MiX

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1335 on: July 01, 2019, 05:25:56 pm »

Why does speed matter?

I will explain tomorrow. Maybe.
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MiX

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1336 on: July 01, 2019, 05:28:05 pm »

Because I'm not Swan, but aspire to be like him, I will give you a hint: it's a consequence of "neighbors are power roles". And like Swan's hints, I doubt you'll understand with just that.
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Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1337 on: July 01, 2019, 05:31:00 pm »

vote: gkrieg
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1338 on: July 01, 2019, 05:35:29 pm »

But only because I was going to anyway. I think I understand what you’re getting at, and If I’m right I’m not sure it works how you think it does. But I want to lynch gkrieg anyway.
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1339 on: July 01, 2019, 06:00:03 pm »

unvote

If I’m right about MiX’s plan it loses us the game.

MiX, you know lynching the third party is just as bad as lynching town, right?
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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MiX

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1340 on: July 01, 2019, 06:03:53 pm »

unvote

If I’m right about MiX’s plan it loses us the game.

MiX, you know lynching the third party is just as bad as lynching town, right?

Third party? My plan goes deeper. It goes DEEP. Trust me Glooble, can gkrieg be anything but scum? No. So we lynch them.
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Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1341 on: July 01, 2019, 06:08:46 pm »

Good enough for me.

vote: gkrieg
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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EFHW

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1342 on: July 01, 2019, 06:25:35 pm »

Hmmm.

So let's say gkrieg is scum. There is, at most, one scum in the neighborhood (probably ash, but we can't say that definitively.) That leaves two more scum among {Glooble, MiX, pubby, pingpongsam}. In other words, if gkrieg is scum, someone is already bussing.

It's not 2 more scum, it's just 1. Clearly the third party's being town here. Of those 5, pps is the only one who didn't vote gkrieg. So if he's scum, he's not bussing.

Also, recall that traitor doesn't always know scum, although I believe everyone knew e was scum.
I meant to say 1. Sorry.
I don't get what's going on with numbers here. DatSwan made a number-of-scum error in the qt as well. There are 4 scum, we found 1, there are 3 more to catch. Right? Glooble assumed 1 in neighborhood, that leaves 2 more in the rest of you.

Obviously i can’t quote it, but it wasn’t a error it was a typo. Any time i talked about “2skum” i meant 2 mafia
But we need to catch 3 more, not two more.
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EFHW

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1343 on: July 01, 2019, 06:37:41 pm »

MiX,  is there anything more you can say about your idea?
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Swowl

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1344 on: July 01, 2019, 06:46:15 pm »

I's like to hear from DatSwan and EFHW about their feelings vis a vis ash. Especially cause it sounds like something went down in the neighborhood last night.

I would like to keep my opinions of ash/EFHW to myself for now.
I still think there is no value in lynching within the hood and i don’t want to take away focus.

There are either 2/5 or 3/5 skum in the non - Hood pool.
There are either 0/3 or 1/3 skum in the hood.

I could think one of ashes/EFHW are skum, and i would still say we lynch outside the hood.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
Skum: 7 wins, 7 losses (1 MVP)
3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

gkrieg13

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1345 on: July 01, 2019, 07:03:08 pm »

If there is a survivor, you should claim now and you can win with scum.

If there is a second traitor, you should have claimed a long time ago.

If there is a reporter, we can help you win by helping you lynch and kill neighbors. That is basicallythe only way you win at this point is by cooperating with scum. If we no lynch today, we will kill a town neighbor. Then help us lynch the scum neighbor, then we will kill the other town neighbor. There are no other PRs. If we do this plan, you win and scum wins.

If you want me to lay out the plan better, I can.
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Swowl

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1346 on: July 01, 2019, 08:00:24 pm »

did GK just claim skum? Am I missing something?
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Jesus how did i fuck that up
real good. That’s how
Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
Skum: 7 wins, 7 losses (1 MVP)
3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

Glooble

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1347 on: July 01, 2019, 08:51:05 pm »

Looks like it to me.
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I think town!Glooble pointing to something as a scum tell and then shortly thereafter doing that thing is a lot more likely than scum!Glooble doing that.

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EFHW

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1348 on: July 01, 2019, 09:49:11 pm »

vote: gkrieg
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EFHW

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Re: M123: Doomsday Mafia (Day 4)
« Reply #1349 on: July 01, 2019, 09:51:17 pm »

ash -- time to hammer!
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