Just putting this down. Going through the options out loud rather than just saying "Datswan is obv!town"
IF Datswan is town, he is obviously telling the truth. No reason to lie as town in this position.
IF Datswan is scum, he could have claimed insane or sane and the real insane cop claimed VT.
- claiming insane: The real insane cop that claimed VT could then jump out and create a 1-1, which would be nice I guess. Maybe they were going for that. But still a big gamble for a town cop.
- claiming sane: creates the situation we are in now, where LaLight and myself are pulled into question. Which is a much better place to be than had they claimed insane. 1/3 instead of 1/2 and they look fairly townie due to claiming position.
- claiming VT: life as normal but we know that some random VT is the insane cop. I would need to run the numbers and such, but then we have 2 straight up ICs and a third cop that could potentially hide out to claim on D4.
If DatSwan is scum he had a day to brainstorm the possible outcomes to figure out which claim he thought would be optimal in the situation.
In this situation at this point, I believe e more than LaLight or DatSwan given both claim order and e's analysis of this.
The only problem I have is with e's analysis of the first option in a scum!Datswan scenario:
Scum!Swan
knows that a VT is actually a Cop. He
knows that cop is insane based on LaLight/e. Unfortunately, he's the ONLY one that knows that. Let's assume there's a world where he's town and has a guilty result, but everything else is setup the same. The cop who has claimed VT here doesn't know his own sanity, because he doesn't know if faust was framed or not. So "in-this-scenario-town-Swan" claims faust to have a guilty result. The unclaimed cop comes forth and says "well actually, I have a guilty result too" - this doesn't actually set up a 1-v-1, as they could BOTH be town and faust was framed. And that is, of course, what scum!swan would argue with a guilty result instead of a town one.
The point is that I don't think it's as cut and dry as e makes it there, and while certainly scum!swan may not have felt he could argue out of setting up a 2-town, 2-guilty scenario, the numbers are still actually more in his favor than against by claiming faust to have a guilty result.