Dominion Strategy Forum

Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
Pages: 1 ... 63 64 [65] 66 67 ... 87  All

Author Topic: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Game over!)  (Read 225916 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

JaketheBaseballGod22

  • Steward
  • ***
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 26
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1600 on: December 07, 2017, 01:14:43 pm »


Which would mean 5 scum with a sk. I wouldn't claim then.

Are you saying that you are only willing to claim once you expect that there is only one scum left in the game?
Yes.
Logged
Baseball For Life
Mafia Record Overall (6-14) 30%

Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

Scum Wins (2-3) 40% M87L, M94W, ZM23L, M99L, ZM24W

MVP's: None

JaketheBaseballGod22

  • Steward
  • ***
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 26
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1601 on: December 07, 2017, 01:19:41 pm »

I'd very much rather not vote dylan.
Logged
Baseball For Life
Mafia Record Overall (6-14) 30%

Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

Scum Wins (2-3) 40% M87L, M94W, ZM23L, M99L, ZM24W

MVP's: None

JaketheBaseballGod22

  • Steward
  • ***
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 26
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1602 on: December 07, 2017, 01:20:17 pm »

Why are we doing this vote thing again?
Logged
Baseball For Life
Mafia Record Overall (6-14) 30%

Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

Scum Wins (2-3) 40% M87L, M94W, ZM23L, M99L, ZM24W

MVP's: None

Witherweaver

  • Adventurer
  • ******
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 6476
  • Shuffle iT Username: Witherweaver
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1603 on: December 07, 2017, 01:25:14 pm »

Why are we doing this vote thing again?

One of the votes on you right before deadline did not count. We want to figure out why. This gives a test to check that everyone votes as normal.
Logged

Witherweaver

  • Adventurer
  • ******
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 6476
  • Shuffle iT Username: Witherweaver
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1604 on: December 07, 2017, 01:25:41 pm »

Could we get an official mod vote count?
Logged

JaketheBaseballGod22

  • Steward
  • ***
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 26
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1605 on: December 07, 2017, 01:27:51 pm »

Why are we doing this vote thing again?

One of the votes on you right before deadline did not count. We want to figure out why. This gives a test to check that everyone votes as normal.
k. Still won't vote for dylan
Logged
Baseball For Life
Mafia Record Overall (6-14) 30%

Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

Scum Wins (2-3) 40% M87L, M94W, ZM23L, M99L, ZM24W

MVP's: None

Witherweaver

  • Adventurer
  • ******
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 6476
  • Shuffle iT Username: Witherweaver
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1606 on: December 07, 2017, 01:30:30 pm »

Do you know anything that would explain why a vote on you would not count?

Not the biggest deal if Jake does not vote, as he wasn't on his own wagon yesterday.
Logged

Witherweaver

  • Adventurer
  • ******
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 6476
  • Shuffle iT Username: Witherweaver
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1607 on: December 07, 2017, 01:31:57 pm »

If Ashersky's fate is indicative, Silver should die at end of today.

Also, I think there is nothing to indicate we can't lynch frozen people.
Logged

JaketheBaseballGod22

  • Steward
  • ***
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 26
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1608 on: December 07, 2017, 01:32:53 pm »

Do you know anything that would explain why a vote on you would not count?

Not the biggest deal if Jake does not vote, as he wasn't on his own wagon yesterday.
I only have voting restrictions for myself, nothing affecting others.
Logged
Baseball For Life
Mafia Record Overall (6-14) 30%

Town Wins (4-11) 26.7% M88L, M89L, NM9L, M91L, M95L, M97L,NM10W, RMM41L, M100L, M103L, M105W, M107W, RMM45W, M109L, RMM46L

Scum Wins (2-3) 40% M87L, M94W, ZM23L, M99L, ZM24W

MVP's: None

iguanaiguana

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 600
  • Shuffle iT Username: iguana iguana
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1609 on: December 07, 2017, 01:55:57 pm »

Forgot that iguana's redirection thing saved me and killed at least one scum.  And noone has counterclaimed.  Amend my read on him right back to "pretty damn towny".


Why are we mass claiming with no order?
But yes, massclaim first.

I would want an order of:

Dylan
Jake
WW
Space
iguana

But obviously this should be e's choice.

Who cares what e thinks? That order is great.

Iguana working hard to discredit the IC. I like it

Well, I've killed a lot more scum than you this game.
Logged
Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1610 on: December 07, 2017, 05:48:29 pm »

The first paragraph of that should read:

I don't understand your table I'm afraid.
But I agree with your conclusion - my results are inconsistent.
2 yellow 2 white does work for all three nights according to the wrong color numbers (I didn't check the other numbers). But it doesn't work for the flips. We've already had 3 people flip red, so there has to be a color with more than 2.  It's too bad this can't be more useful. Have you asked faust to doublecheck the results he gave you?
Nono, the 2 whites is "there were 2 whites last night" - we've only had 2 scum flip since then.  2 yellows 2 whites last night would mean that overall in the game at the start there were 2 yellows, 3 whites (awa, schadd and gkrieg) and one blue=PPS (the rest red).

4 white 2 yellow N1 and 3 white 2 yellow thereafter also works in terms of wrong colors. I'll have to work out a method of testing right place and wrong place as well.
I'm fairly certain i checked 2 yellows and 3 whites manually and found it impossible based on right/wrong place stuff.
I will double check tomorrow
Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

faust

  • Board Moderator
  • *
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 3377
  • Shuffle iT Username: faust
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1611 on: December 08, 2017, 01:22:37 am »

I could also be the evil SERIAL KILLER

Vote Count 4.2

EFHW (1): Witherweaver
Haddock (1): EFHW
2.71828..... (1): chairs
chairs (1): Haddock
Witherweaver (1): iguanaiguana
iguanaiguana (1):[/b] Dylan32
JaketheBaseballGod22 (1): 2.71828.....

Not Voting (3): SpaceAnemone, JaketheBaseballGod22, silverspawn

With 9 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Day 4 ends December 13 at 1 pm forum time.
« Last Edit: December 08, 2017, 06:21:32 am by faust »
Logged
You say the ocean's rising, like I give a shit
You say the whole world's ending, honey it already did

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1612 on: December 08, 2017, 05:36:33 am »

The first paragraph of that should read:

I don't understand your table I'm afraid.
But I agree with your conclusion - my results are inconsistent.
2 yellow 2 white does work for all three nights according to the wrong color numbers (I didn't check the other numbers). But it doesn't work for the flips. We've already had 3 people flip red, so there has to be a color with more than 2.  It's too bad this can't be more useful. Have you asked faust to doublecheck the results he gave you?
Nono, the 2 whites is "there were 2 whites last night" - we've only had 2 scum flip since then.  2 yellows 2 whites last night would mean that overall in the game at the start there were 2 yellows, 3 whites (awa, schadd and gkrieg) and one blue=PPS (the rest red).

4 white 2 yellow N1 and 3 white 2 yellow thereafter also works in terms of wrong colors. I'll have to work out a method of testing right place and wrong place as well.
I'm fairly certain i checked 2 yellows and 3 whites manually and found it impossible based on right/wrong place stuff.
I will double check tomorrow
Yeah 2 yellows 3 whites is impossible for N2.  You'd need to change 3 colours, but only 2 of N2's colours are wrong.
Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1613 on: December 08, 2017, 05:41:43 am »

:(

Guys...

faust got one of my results wrong.  My N1 result should have been
Right colour right place 7
right colour wrong place 7

(So one more fully correct than we thought.)

That changes things significantly.  As soon as I've figured out what it means I'll get back to you.

 
Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

iguanaiguana

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 600
  • Shuffle iT Username: iguana iguana
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1614 on: December 08, 2017, 05:56:30 am »

I could also be the evil SERIAL KILLER

Vote Count 4.2

EFHW (2): Dylan32, Witherweaver
Haddock (1): EFHW
2.71828..... (1): chairs
chairs (1): Haddock
Witherweaver (1): iguanaiguana
JaketheBaseballGod22 (1): 2.71828.....

Not Voting (3): SpaceAnemone, JaketheBaseballGod22, silverspawn

With 9 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Day 4 ends December 13 at 1 pm forum time.

Did you see that Dylan votes for me at the start of his last post?
Logged
Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

faust

  • Board Moderator
  • *
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 3377
  • Shuffle iT Username: faust
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1615 on: December 08, 2017, 06:21:48 am »

I could also be the evil SERIAL KILLER

Vote Count 4.2

EFHW (2): Dylan32, Witherweaver
Haddock (1): EFHW
2.71828..... (1): chairs
chairs (1): Haddock
Witherweaver (1): iguanaiguana
JaketheBaseballGod22 (1): 2.71828.....

Not Voting (3): SpaceAnemone, JaketheBaseballGod22, silverspawn

With 9 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. Day 4 ends December 13 at 1 pm forum time.

Did you see that Dylan votes for me at the start of his last post?

Fixed.
Logged
You say the ocean's rising, like I give a shit
You say the whole world's ending, honey it already did

SpaceAnemone

  • Thief
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 91
  • Shuffle iT Username: SpaceAnemone
  • Correct Horse Battery Staple
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1616 on: December 08, 2017, 06:30:52 am »

Vote: silver

Just to check if that's working now. Since I get skipped over in the plan, I'm voting for the person who's also left out, but for the opposite reason.
Logged
Congratulations! Your SpaceAnemone evolved into UniverseAnemone!
Town games: M84(L), M85(W), M86(L), M87(W), M88(L), M90(L), M92(W), M94(L), M97(L), M99(W), M100(L), M104(W), M107(W), M110(L), M112(L), RMM37(L), RMM40(D), RMM41(L), RMM43(L), RMM47(W), ZM23(W).
Scum games: M89(D), M108(L), NM8(W&MVP), NM10(L)   Mod: NM9, RMM38, RMM42.   Pronouns: they/them

SpaceAnemone

  • Thief
  • ****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 91
  • Shuffle iT Username: SpaceAnemone
  • Correct Horse Battery Staple
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1617 on: December 08, 2017, 06:37:29 am »

@Faust, cam you confirm in here that at the time you made the vote count that came up one short, you were incorrectly under the assumption that my vote should not count?
Logged
Congratulations! Your SpaceAnemone evolved into UniverseAnemone!
Town games: M84(L), M85(W), M86(L), M87(W), M88(L), M90(L), M92(W), M94(L), M97(L), M99(W), M100(L), M104(W), M107(W), M110(L), M112(L), RMM37(L), RMM40(D), RMM41(L), RMM43(L), RMM47(W), ZM23(W).
Scum games: M89(D), M108(L), NM8(W&MVP), NM10(L)   Mod: NM9, RMM38, RMM42.   Pronouns: they/them

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1618 on: December 08, 2017, 06:44:10 am »

Confirmation that I cannot be redirected.

OK I got sick of trying to check this manually, and got excel to generate all possible combinations of (up to 5) blues, whites and yellows, and check them against my results automaically.  (Only as far as the total number of potentially-correct colours, I'll have to do the rest manually.)

It spits out 5 possible options:

Option 1:  N1 there were 3W, 2Y, 1B.  This makes White scum.

Option 2: N1 there were 3Y, 1W.  This makes Yellow scum.

Option 3: N1 there were 3Y, 2W.  This makes Yellow scum.

Option 4: N1 there were 4Y, 3B.  This makes Blue scum (!!!).

Option 5: N1 there were 5Y, 2B.  This makes Yellow scum.


Option 1 seems totally insane.  It would mean that PPS shared his slot with at least one, possibly 2 others, and that now there are no scum left but somehow there are 2 Yellows and 1 Blue.

Option 4 seems totally insane also - there'd be some 4-person non-town, non-scum team?  Surely not.



The rest are vaguely feasible from a game standpoint but I still need to check them manually against the RCWP/RCRP stuff.

Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1619 on: December 08, 2017, 06:57:27 am »

EFHW - RED
ashersky - YELLOW
Haddock - RED
Awaclus - YELLOW
gkrieg13 - RED
SpaceAnemone - WHITE
schadd - RED
chairs - YELLOW
2.71828..... - RED
DatSwan - BLUE
JaketheBaseb... - RED
Galzria - BLUE
Dylan32 - RED
iguanaiguana - RED
Witherweaver - RED
silverspawn - RED

had 6 "exactly corrects".  Taking out what we know from flips means that in:

EFHW - RED
chairs - YELLOW
JaketheBaseb... - RED
Dylan32 - RED
iguanaiguana - RED
Witherweaver - RED
silverspawn - RED

there are at most 4 "corrects"  (probably exactly 4, unless somehow Awaclus (and the scum team) is yellow, in which case only 3).

So there are at least 2 non-town in:
{EFHW, Jake, Dylan, iguana, WW, silver}
I reckon EFHW is town, silver's alignment is irrelevant.
Things look bad for Jake and Dylan.

I still like a Jake lynch, actually - the way the wagon went yesterday feels like scum very much wanted to lynch NEITHER gkrieg nor Jake.
In light of my new results, the above actually gets stronger.  Ruling out Options 1 and 4 from my previous post, we're left with Yellow being scum, which means, after cancelling flip knowledge, there are exactly (7-3=) 4 fully correct guesses in

EFHW - RED
chairs - YELLOW
JaketheBaseb... - RED
Dylan32 - RED
iguanaiguana - RED
Witherweaver - RED
silverspawn - RED

This means at least 2 non-town in
{EFHW, Jake, Dylan, iguana, WW, silver}, still.
Which rules out Option 2 from my previous post.


This narrows it down to 2 possibilities for the remaining non-town people.

There are either

1) Exactly 2 "Whites" remaining (from a starting point of 3 yellow scum and 2 whites (and PPS))
or
2) 2 Whites and 2 Yellow scums remaining. (from a starting point of 5 yellow scums and 2 blues (and PPS))
Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1620 on: December 08, 2017, 07:14:04 am »

Here's a nice binary choice for us.

If we believe that (5 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed scum, by my results.

If we believe that (3 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed town.

Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

faust

  • Board Moderator
  • *
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 3377
  • Shuffle iT Username: faust
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1621 on: December 08, 2017, 07:16:44 am »

@Faust, cam you confirm in here that at the time you made the vote count that came up one short, you were incorrectly under the assumption that my vote should not count?
No.
Logged
You say the ocean's rising, like I give a shit
You say the whole world's ending, honey it already did

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1622 on: December 08, 2017, 07:29:18 am »

If we believe that (5 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed scum, by my results.
Also if we believe this then Dylan is guaranteed White (not-town) and exactly one of EFHW/WW is scum.



If we believe that (3 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed town.
Also if we believe this then exactly one of WW/EFHW/Dylan is White.

Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Haddock

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 725
  • Shuffle iT Username: Haddock
  • Doc Cod
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1623 on: December 08, 2017, 07:30:49 am »

If we believe that (5 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed scum, by my results.
Also if we believe this then Dylan is guaranteed White (not-town) and exactly one of EFHW/WW is scum.



If we believe that (3 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed town.
Also if we believe this then exactly one of WW/EFHW/Dylan is White.

vote: Dylan
Logged
The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

iguanaiguana

  • Minion
  • *****
  • Offline Offline
  • Posts: 600
  • Shuffle iT Username: iguana iguana
    • View Profile
Re: RMM47: Rewind Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1624 on: December 08, 2017, 07:32:48 am »

Here's a nice binary choice for us.

If we believe that (5 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed scum, by my results.

If we believe that (3 scum, 2 something else, PPS) was the starting setup, then chairs is guaranteed town.

What about (5 scum, 1 something else, PPS)? That's not possible? I thought earlier results indicated that.

I have to be honest, I'm not checking your problem solving at all. It all confuses me to no end.

Also, godfathers. And stuff. Couldn't something like that falsely incriminate chairs? Not against a Chairs lynch. Just trying to help solve without actually having to do math.
Logged
Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.
Pages: 1 ... 63 64 [65] 66 67 ... 87  All
 

Page created in 0.103 seconds with 20 queries.