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Author Topic: M110: led zeppelin mafia (guess i'll keep on ramblin)  (Read 130861 times)

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SpaceAnemone

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #600 on: November 11, 2017, 06:55:13 pm »

does anybody know their vocal ranges and if so please spill the beans

i'm g2/b4 (it's kind of hard to tell when it starts being falsetto i guess, especially when i don't want to be loud in living space)

g5 with falsetto which is only sometimes but also really satisfying during those times

I'm maybe a 4th above you on a regular day for normal voice, though I hit a solid A2b when I was kind of gravely with a cold a few months back -- it's in the tenor part for Lauridsen's Sure On This Shining Night, with a footnote that the low notes can be omitted for tenors not able to get that low! Normally I'm comfortable at a D3 but iffy at a B2. I'm happiest below C5, but over the past year or so I've found I can pull out consistent F5s when my a cappella band requires.
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IDontPlayThisGame

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #601 on: November 11, 2017, 07:04:18 pm »

I intend to have my own fun with the probabilities when I have spare time, which will be Monday night my time. We'll see whether I agree with any of the numbers already posted. I don't think extensive debate about probabilities will be super-helpful, but I at least want to check that nobody's trying to mislead everyone with bad numbers.

You can brute force it in, like, 15 minutes. We're not dealing with a whole lot of possibilities anymore.

AndrewisFTTW

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #602 on: November 11, 2017, 10:17:28 pm »

Sorry couldn't post today and probably wont have time tomorrow.
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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #603 on: November 11, 2017, 10:40:04 pm »

Parents are in town so I won’t have time until Monday.
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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #604 on: November 12, 2017, 12:23:46 am »

Well, that’s quite bad
Really? I thought it was a splendid outcome myself.

So there's a lot of talk to be had. I haven't had a chance yet to go back carefully through day 1, and I haven't really processed Galzria's murder. All I have done is snipe simulating privileges to come up with probabilities of

4: 16%
5: 20%
6: 24%
7: 20%
8: 20%

...which seem really wrong, so somebody might want to check me on that.

Ten questions which might be of interest!
1. Why did scum kill Galzria?
2. Who did Galzria jailkeep?
3. Is Andrew town, and scum didn't care who got lynched? If so, why Dylan and not Andrew?
4. Is Andrew scum, and scum buddies got him off the lynch? If so, were they bussing and left?
5. With what significance can we attribute to the faust, LaLight, and Space miniwagons?
6. What do we make of faust accusing both Galzria and Dylan?
7. What do we make of both Galzria and Dylan accusing LaLight?
8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering?
9. Do and when we proceed with the neighborizing plan?
10. What is Space's secret?

If you don't know the answer to any of these, then maybe an 11th? Like 'How did Skumpy manage to come up with 10 questions ranging from useless to maybe potentially useful, and why was he not voting on the final wagons?'


Ten questions is not a coincidence by the way, I just watched MOTOE so it's still fresh in my mind. We will see if my little grey cells are feeling up to the task at hand. I'll be more free and less delirious/insatiated to make said conclusions later.

PPE something by DatSwan which I probably won't read or respond to.

1. Why did scum kill Galzria? - He wasn't attracting much attention, or his reads could of been on point.
2. Who did Galzria jailkeep? - I would guess XXR or LL based on context
3. Is Andrew town, and scum didn't care who got lynched? If so, why Dylan and not Andrew? - They thought they could make an Andrew case today
4. Is Andrew scum, and scum buddies got him off the lynch? If so, were they bussing and left? - Either that, or they were on 3rd parties. Either way, I think looking at last minute switches is a good idea.
5. With what significance can we attribute to the faust, LaLight, and Space miniwagons? - Faust none because he is Faust. Space IDK. LL seemed to be looked at a bit and then dropped off. I would normally say bus, but Galz was kind of the primary pusher.
6. What do we make of faust accusing both Galzria and Dylan? - Nothing. He was wrong. Shit happens.
7. What do we make of both Galzria and Dylan accusing LaLight? - Same as above-ish. They could of been onto something, or not. They had no more info than the rest of us.
8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.
9. Do and when we proceed with the neighborizing plan? - no idea. conceding to better judgment on that one.
10. What is Space's secret? - IDK, but I hope they reveal it in Anagram Mafia in a super convoluted way :P
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Swowl

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #605 on: November 12, 2017, 12:25:14 am »

All I have done is snipe simulating privileges to come up with probabilities of

4: 16%
5: 20%
6: 24%
7: 20%
8: 20%

...which seem really wrong, so somebody might want to check me on that.

Ten questions which might be of interest!
1. Why did scum kill Galzria?
2. Who did Galzria jailkeep?
3. Is Andrew town, and scum didn't care who got lynched? If so, why Dylan and not Andrew?
4. Is Andrew scum, and scum buddies got him off the lynch? If so, were they bussing and left?
5. With what significance can we attribute to the faust, LaLight, and Space miniwagons?
6. What do we make of faust accusing both Galzria and Dylan?
7. What do we make of both Galzria and Dylan accusing LaLight?
8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering?
9. Do and when we proceed with the neighborizing plan?
10. What is Space's secret?

I got different numbers:

4: 10%
5: 15%
6: 30%
7: 20%
8: 25%

1. He either had good reads now or would have good reads later.
2. No idea.
3. Actually makes me think Andrew's scum.
4. See 3.
5. Probably not much.
6. He was wrong.
7. They both had scumreads on LaLight.
8. Not sure.
9. Yes and much closer to the deadline.
10. ...it's a secret?

PPE: 1

vote: Xx

Why?


Why not?


OK, but really... why?
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
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3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #606 on: November 12, 2017, 12:27:10 am »

Right now townies are Andrew, Idplay, DatSwan. I don't think I want to lynch them today.

I agree with 2 out of 3 of these.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
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IDontPlayThisGame

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #607 on: November 12, 2017, 12:34:41 am »

All I have done is snipe simulating privileges to come up with probabilities of

4: 16%
5: 20%
6: 24%
7: 20%
8: 20%

...which seem really wrong, so somebody might want to check me on that.

Ten questions which might be of interest!
1. Why did scum kill Galzria?
2. Who did Galzria jailkeep?
3. Is Andrew town, and scum didn't care who got lynched? If so, why Dylan and not Andrew?
4. Is Andrew scum, and scum buddies got him off the lynch? If so, were they bussing and left?
5. With what significance can we attribute to the faust, LaLight, and Space miniwagons?
6. What do we make of faust accusing both Galzria and Dylan?
7. What do we make of both Galzria and Dylan accusing LaLight?
8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering?
9. Do and when we proceed with the neighborizing plan?
10. What is Space's secret?

I got different numbers:

4: 10%
5: 15%
6: 30%
7: 20%
8: 25%

1. He either had good reads now or would have good reads later.
2. No idea.
3. Actually makes me think Andrew's scum.
4. See 3.
5. Probably not much.
6. He was wrong.
7. They both had scumreads on LaLight.
8. Not sure.
9. Yes and much closer to the deadline.
10. ...it's a secret?

PPE: 1

vote: Xx

Why?


Why not?


OK, but really... why?

I know my reasons, not LaLight's reasons.

Swowl

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #608 on: November 12, 2017, 01:22:45 am »

All I have done is snipe simulating privileges to come up with probabilities of

4: 16%
5: 20%
6: 24%
7: 20%
8: 20%

...which seem really wrong, so somebody might want to check me on that.

Ten questions which might be of interest!
1. Why did scum kill Galzria?
2. Who did Galzria jailkeep?
3. Is Andrew town, and scum didn't care who got lynched? If so, why Dylan and not Andrew?
4. Is Andrew scum, and scum buddies got him off the lynch? If so, were they bussing and left?
5. With what significance can we attribute to the faust, LaLight, and Space miniwagons?
6. What do we make of faust accusing both Galzria and Dylan?
7. What do we make of both Galzria and Dylan accusing LaLight?
8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering?
9. Do and when we proceed with the neighborizing plan?
10. What is Space's secret?

I got different numbers:

4: 10%
5: 15%
6: 30%
7: 20%
8: 25%

1. He either had good reads now or would have good reads later.
2. No idea.
3. Actually makes me think Andrew's scum.
4. See 3.
5. Probably not much.
6. He was wrong.
7. They both had scumreads on LaLight.
8. Not sure.
9. Yes and much closer to the deadline.
10. ...it's a secret?

PPE: 1

vote: Xx

Why?


Why not?


OK, but really... why?

I know my reasons, not LaLight's reasons.

Your reasons are valid too!
Also yea, mis quote on my part sorry.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
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3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

faust

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #609 on: November 12, 2017, 03:27:22 am »

I can do a Vote: Awaclus
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IDontPlayThisGame

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #610 on: November 12, 2017, 01:07:52 pm »

Your reasons are valid too!
Also yea, mis quote on my part sorry.

Same as D1, plus the hammer.

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #611 on: November 12, 2017, 01:44:23 pm »

8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.

I disagree. His wagon never picked up traction.

2.71828.....

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #612 on: November 12, 2017, 03:50:04 pm »

Awaclus and datswan are scum

Vote: Awaclus

That's not true. I promoted pro-town play for the entire duration of the day, you can see me genuinely scumhunt and I was off wagon for the town lynch.

The problem with awaclus is how hard it is to argue against him. Doesn't do anything too crazy, er, out of meta. Hard to lynch. But I think his response here is more indicative of being scum
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IDontPlayThisGame

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #613 on: November 12, 2017, 03:56:07 pm »

Awaclus and datswan are scum

Vote: Awaclus

That's not true. I promoted pro-town play for the entire duration of the day, you can see me genuinely scumhunt and I was off wagon for the town lynch.

The problem with awaclus is how hard it is to argue against him. Doesn't do anything too crazy, er, out of meta. Hard to lynch. But I think his response here is more indicative of being scum

What? I feel like his mislynches go through pretty quickly because of his playstyle.

2.71828.....

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #614 on: November 12, 2017, 04:21:23 pm »

Awaclus and datswan are scum

Vote: Awaclus

That's not true. I promoted pro-town play for the entire duration of the day, you can see me genuinely scumhunt and I was off wagon for the town lynch.

The problem with awaclus is how hard it is to argue against him. Doesn't do anything too crazy, er, out of meta. Hard to lynch. But I think his response here is more indicative of being scum

What? I feel like his mislynches go through pretty quickly because of his playstyle.

Yeah, and I am not usually on those wagons. I tend to usually just avoid awaclus wagons because I am not confident in them. But I like this one
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Awaclus

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #615 on: November 12, 2017, 05:37:45 pm »

But I think his response here is more indicative of being scum

Which of the following statements do you think are not true, or not indicative of me being town?

 - I promoted pro-town play for the entire duration of the day
 - you can see me genuinely scumhunt
 - I was off wagon for the town lynch
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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #616 on: November 12, 2017, 06:54:36 pm »

8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.

I disagree. His wagon never picked up traction.

I mean OK you have a point in regards to the voting, that could be said about anyone that wasn't Andrew or Dylan.
Raptor came up a lot in a lot of people's skum hunting theories, he def wasn't like "off the radar". IDK, just seems like an unnecessary move for Skum!XXR to make on purpose.
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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (night 1 !)
« Reply #617 on: November 12, 2017, 07:19:54 pm »

Vote count 2.1

Xxraptorslayer96 (1): LaLight
Awaclus (2): 2.71828..., faust

not voting (8): Skumpy, DatSwan, AndrewisFTTW, Xxraptorslayer96, gkrieg13, Awaclus, SpaceAnemone, IDontPlayThisGame

with 11 alive, it takes 6 to lynch. day 2 ends saturday, november 18th at 00:00 forum time.

mod notes
  • they say you can tell a lot about a person based on whether they choose idioms or pick up lines first on duolingo
mod quotes:
the vocal range thing
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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #618 on: November 12, 2017, 07:57:28 pm »

8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.

I disagree. His wagon never picked up traction.

I mean OK you have a point in regards to the voting, that could be said about anyone that wasn't Andrew or Dylan.
Raptor came up a lot in a lot of people's skum hunting theories, he def wasn't like "off the radar". IDK, just seems like an unnecessary move for Skum!XXR to make on purpose.

Does he have a history of not declaring L-1s?

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #619 on: November 12, 2017, 08:06:38 pm »

8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.

I disagree. His wagon never picked up traction.

I mean OK you have a point in regards to the voting, that could be said about anyone that wasn't Andrew or Dylan.
Raptor came up a lot in a lot of people's skum hunting theories, he def wasn't like "off the radar". IDK, just seems like an unnecessary move for Skum!XXR to make on purpose.

Does he have a history of not declaring L-1s?

He has a history of this current game we are playing now being his second ever game of Mafia :P
He may/may not of know that was the standard.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
Skum: 7 wins, 7 losses (1 MVP)
3-Party: 4 wins, 1 loss

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #620 on: November 12, 2017, 08:08:51 pm »

8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.

I disagree. His wagon never picked up traction.

I mean OK you have a point in regards to the voting, that could be said about anyone that wasn't Andrew or Dylan.
Raptor came up a lot in a lot of people's skum hunting theories, he def wasn't like "off the radar". IDK, just seems like an unnecessary move for Skum!XXR to make on purpose.

Does he have a history of not declaring L-1s?

He has a history of this current game we are playing now being his second ever game of Mafia :P
He may/may not of know that was the standard.

I knew that much, I just didn't know if he'd missed them in the other game.

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #621 on: November 12, 2017, 08:12:28 pm »

Eh. I'll go back to vote: raptor. Liked it D1, nothing's changed in my read of him.

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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #622 on: November 12, 2017, 08:12:38 pm »

8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.

I disagree. His wagon never picked up traction.

Ah, well that is a good point.
Flip a coin? Heads you look, tails I look? lol

I mean OK you have a point in regards to the voting, that could be said about anyone that wasn't Andrew or Dylan.
Raptor came up a lot in a lot of people's skum hunting theories, he def wasn't like "off the radar". IDK, just seems like an unnecessary move for Skum!XXR to make on purpose.

Does he have a history of not declaring L-1s?

He has a history of this current game we are playing now being his second ever game of Mafia :P
He may/may not of know that was the standard.

I knew that much, I just didn't know if he'd missed them in the other game.
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Town:  14 wins, 14 losses (1 MVP)
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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #623 on: November 12, 2017, 08:14:14 pm »

8. Did Raptor genuinely not realize he was hammering? - I don't think he tries to pull that off given his image at the time.

I disagree. His wagon never picked up traction.

Ah, well that is a good point.
Flip a coin? Heads you look, tails I look? lol


I mean OK you have a point in regards to the voting, that could be said about anyone that wasn't Andrew or Dylan.
Raptor came up a lot in a lot of people's skum hunting theories, he def wasn't like "off the radar". IDK, just seems like an unnecessary move for Skum!XXR to make on purpose.

Does he have a history of not declaring L-1s?

He has a history of this current game we are playing now being his second ever game of Mafia :P
He may/may not of know that was the standard.

I knew that much, I just didn't know if he'd missed them in the other game.

quote fail sorry
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Re: M110: led zeppelin mafia (day 2 !)
« Reply #624 on: November 12, 2017, 08:26:52 pm »

What?
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