Acting like teamlyle's alignment is (and will remain) unknowable is acting in bad faith, at this point. I have already stated how he can be IC-ified (or proven) scum later due to setup.
Also, any lynch where the odds of hitting scum are better than the prior is a good lynch. We don't need to reach a 50% confidence level.
I would agree with the last one in most setups but not this one. Even if teamlyle is able to get ICified (don't know how likely that is to happen) the lynch scenario is usually not that bad since we get another day in most scenarios (every scenario where we would end up in MyLo and the likelihood of ending up in MyLo is greater than 0.5)
Ok, last time I address this argument. If anyone starts talking about this again during D2 I am instantly voting for them. We've already lost one day of scumhunting, I will not let us lose a second one.
Your point is that, if we would get to MYLO naturally, then lynching teamlyle is a "free lynch" (for a given definition of "free lynch", since scum might still get to quickhammer under those circumstances). The advantage of your plan is that we get the flip for teamlyle for free,
assuming we would reach MYLO naturally, otherwise we just spent a lynch on someone that is likely to be town!
Second, the advantage of your plan can be emulated by a late game massclaim. Which does not require to take the risk of wasting a lynch! Hell, worst case scenario, even if the massclaim is not enough, we can still lynch teamlyle, no harm done! So your plan is strictly worse than waiting for a massclaim.
Last, but not least, even if going with your plan, you are not even sure if lynching teamlyle is something that is better done D1 or D4! An easy analogy is a lurker lynch. Something that anyone can get behind for reasons other than scuminess, completely non-accountable, and something that will likely have to be done at some point in the game. But ask any of the vets, and they will tell you that a lurker lynch D1 is a terrible idea, because if you are wrong, you start D2 with barely any new information compared to D1. D1 is the day when you try to get people to tie themselves to other people, post content, etc, so that you have
something to analyze the two flips that come before D2.
Anyway, done.