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Author Topic: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Game over.  (Read 164271 times)

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gkrieg13

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1125 on: October 01, 2016, 09:30:08 am »

Faust, when you on D1 said you believed both wagons were on town, did you have a reason?

I was super frustrated EoD1 trying to get what seemed like a great lynch through and Mail-mi did not strike me as scummy at-all : (
General feeling. I did not investigate an further. silverspawn agreed, if that's helping.

Any comment on how the PoE is by now overwhelmingly in favor of him being scum?

The other options are really just you and LaLight right?  And I guess WW. I mean order doesn't matter too much, but I guess going J Reggie first is fine with me. I guess really we just want to kill the strongman first.

Are you the strongman Reggie?
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faust

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1126 on: October 01, 2016, 09:44:55 am »

Faust, when you on D1 said you believed both wagons were on town, did you have a reason?

I was super frustrated EoD1 trying to get what seemed like a great lynch through and Mail-mi did not strike me as scummy at-all : (
General feeling. I did not investigate an further. silverspawn agreed, if that's helping.

Any comment on how the PoE is by now overwhelmingly in favor of him being scum?
Not any more than it is in favor of you being scum.
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faust

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1127 on: October 01, 2016, 09:57:23 am »

Let's talk about fakeclaiming, yes?

In which scenario does WW fakeclaim? Well, it's supposed to be acquitting him. Suppose he performed the kill as scum, because he's the Strongman. No kill makes it likely that he was roleblocked, which in turn makes him look pretty bad. Vig claim is a way out, and to stay alive. Countering this is the fact that he planned this claim early (with breadcrumbing and asking for my reads), so that would mean that he planned it without knowing he would get into this kind of situation.

In which scenario does schadd fakeclaim? Well I think only with a veteran scum partner. I mean, the options for that are really limited. And the claim would be planned ahead, so they would kind of have to know that I wouldn't die. Which seems unlikely. Or schadd is just really good and saw the potential... but then this does not explain how I am still alive.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1128 on: October 01, 2016, 10:19:03 am »

Faust, when you on D1 said you believed both wagons were on town, did you have a reason?

I was super frustrated EoD1 trying to get what seemed like a great lynch through and Mail-mi did not strike me as scummy at-all : (
General feeling. I did not investigate an further. silverspawn agreed, if that's helping.

Any comment on how the PoE is by now overwhelmingly in favor of him being scum?
Not any more than it is in favor of you being scum.

I do understand how from your perspective the PoE is less clear because I am in it but I also think I am objectively townier than any of Joseph, J Reggie or Space also. I know I've said a couple thoughtless things but I don't play this way as scum even when I try.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

J Reggie

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1129 on: October 01, 2016, 10:19:20 am »

Are you the strongman Reggie?

Unfortunately no. Town doesn't have a strongman.

iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1130 on: October 01, 2016, 10:21:56 am »

Let's talk about fakeclaiming, yes?

In which scenario does WW fakeclaim? Well, it's supposed to be acquitting him. Suppose he performed the kill as scum, because he's the Strongman. No kill makes it likely that he was roleblocked, which in turn makes him look pretty bad. Vig claim is a way out, and to stay alive. Countering this is the fact that he planned this claim early (with breadcrumbing and asking for my reads), so that would mean that he planned it without knowing he would get into this kind of situation.

In which scenario does schadd fakeclaim? Well I think only with a veteran scum partner. I mean, the options for that are really limited. And the claim would be planned ahead, so they would kind of have to know that I wouldn't die. Which seems unlikely. Or schadd is just really good and saw the potential... but then this does not explain how I am still alive.

So the only way that Schadd is fakeclaiming is if it is WW/Schadd, and they decided not to kill anyone in order to rake in town points for a day instead.

WW fakeclaim is more likely. Claim vig in case someone noticed that you've been killing people....

It's hard for me to wrap my head around.

Would it be a good idea for any town roleblockers/doctors out there to claim their actions so we know what's going on?
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1131 on: October 01, 2016, 10:23:45 am »


Would it be a good idea for any town roleblockers/doctors out there to claim their actions so we know what's going on?

To be clear, I'm asking, not telling anyone to claim anything. Specifically I'm asking Faust because he's good at this night action stuff and I'm absolutely rotten at it.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

faust

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1132 on: October 01, 2016, 10:32:33 am »

Let's look at D1 assuming that WW and schadd are both town, see where this gets us.

- Space-A is RVSing iguana. RVSing your scumpartner is a classic newbie mistake.
Other than that, let's skip RVS stuff.

- J Reggie argues against a Joseph wagon.
- There is a Reggie wagon: gkrieg, WW, silver, mail-mi. Two confirmed townzorz, one supposed, and one rather townie player.
- then we get the mail-mi L-1 thing.
schadd, faust, silver, iguana, Reggie, gkrieg. LaLight states intent to hammer.
Well the first bunch is towns. iguana and Reggie jump on at a pretty dubious point.
- we get a minor Joseph wagon started: faust, silver, schadd. No scums jump on this one. Interesting.
- Joseph, iguana, gkrieg start a wagon on me. Well that's not the scum team.
- let's look at a spacy reads list!
Witherweaver -- Null (still overconfident/sarky, though!)
LaLight -- Still very newbie!town.
silverspawn -- Null.. He has a lot of short posts I can't really get my teeth into.
gkrieg13 -- Mild town (and I have sympathy with him having put this on the back burner spend time trying to win BSG, even though he actually killed me!)
faust -- Null so far, leaning mild town.
Roadrunner7671 -- I don't even know.
Joseph2302 -- Mild town
SpaceAnemone -- Spaaaaaaaaaace!
J Reggie -- Null. Some bits of him seem scummy, but other bits seem quite towny.
schadd -- Mild scum maybe, if he knows people here from other forum interactions?
iguanaiguana -- Towny.
mail-mi -- Mild scum. I did just come from a game where he was scum, and he seems really similar.
Assuming they are scum, I don't think they would townread both their partners, which would point towards a Space-A/Reggie.
- here comes a pretty interesting point in the game:
J Reggie (4): Witherweaver, iguanaiguana, silverspawn, schadd
mail-mi (4): J Reggie, faust, LaLight, SpaceAnemone
faust (3): Joseph2302, gkrieg13, Roadrunner7671
We have 3 towns on Reggie, 1 town on mail-mi and 1 town on me. Reggie looks like a better candidate now.
Then mail-mi votes for Reggie. Wow, 4 towns.
- LaLight tries to start a new RR wagon with silver. Slight town points for that.
- Then we get Reggie to L-1:
Witherweaver, iguanaiguana, schadd, silverspawn, LaLight, faust
gkrieg with the intent to hammer. Man, that's 4 towns. This is not scum-driven for sure. And I mean, LaLight is also on the towny side.
- and then mail-mi gets hammered.

Okay so. I think Reggie is a good place for a vote.

Vote: J Reggie I think L-2.
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faust

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1133 on: October 01, 2016, 10:33:30 am »


Would it be a good idea for any town roleblockers/doctors out there to claim their actions so we know what's going on?

To be clear, I'm asking, not telling anyone to claim anything. Specifically I'm asking Faust because he's good at this night action stuff and I'm absolutely rotten at it.

Doctor claim is awful. RB claim is probably very good because it outs the scum Strongman.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1134 on: October 01, 2016, 10:47:09 am »

Dude, that's what I've been saying this whole time! Thank you for writing it out in the convincing Faust way.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

Joseph2302

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1135 on: October 01, 2016, 11:20:05 am »


Would it be a good idea for any town roleblockers/doctors out there to claim their actions so we know what's going on?

To be clear, I'm asking, not telling anyone to claim anything. Specifically I'm asking Faust because he's good at this night action stuff and I'm absolutely rotten at it.

Doctor claim is awful. RB claim is probably very good because it outs the scum Strongman.
Agreed.
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SpaceAnemone

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1136 on: October 01, 2016, 11:54:50 am »

Posting from a train again, so not coping with editing quotes, but I want to respond to faust's big post.

I think assuming I'm scum and then using that as an extra axiom in your logic is a really questionable move. If you think I'm scum, lynch me, see me flip town, then rethink your assumptions. Don't assume I'm scum and use that to lynch other people who in isolation might not look so bad... Would JR flipping town even change your mind about me at all?

I'd like to see a version of your reasoning that assumes I'm town, too. I don't think my innocence even implies WW's guilt, which is frustrating, because it makes that a complicated exercise. And I've been worried about schadd ever since he "invented" the term townslip. This whole thing isn't good! :-(
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gkrieg13

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1137 on: October 01, 2016, 12:03:25 pm »

Plane about to take off but can we lynch SA instead?

Please and thank you
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1138 on: October 01, 2016, 12:08:51 pm »

Plane about to take off but can we lynch SA instead?

Please and thank you

If WW is telling the truth then Space is likely to be the 1 shot Bulletproof scum. Which makes Space basically a goon now, so we lynch J Reggie and get a better shot at lynching the strongman.

Man, this post makes me sound like I'm protecting a partner. We can totally lynch Space if that is what people want. Seriously, I think Space is 90% likely to be scum. I just also think that about Reggiemon.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

LaLight

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1139 on: October 01, 2016, 12:11:18 pm »

Plane about to take off but can we lynch SA instead?

Please and thank you

If WW is telling the truth then Space is likely to be the 1 shot Bulletproof scum. Which makes Space basically a goon now, so we lynch J Reggie and get a better shot at lynching the strongman.

Man, this post makes me sound like I'm protecting a partner. We can totally lynch Space if that is what people want. Seriously, I think Space is 90% likely to be scum. I just also think that about Reggiemon.

What if they is a bulletproof strongman? Is it possible?
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1140 on: October 01, 2016, 12:11:57 pm »

Plane about to take off but can we lynch SA instead?

Please and thank you

If WW is telling the truth then Space is likely to be the 1 shot Bulletproof scum. Which makes Space basically a goon now, so we lynch J Reggie and get a better shot at lynching the strongman.

Man, this post makes me sound like I'm protecting a partner. We can totally lynch Space if that is what people want. Seriously, I think Space is 90% likely to be scum. I just also think that about Reggiemon.

What if they is a bulletproof strongman? Is it possible?

I haven't recently read the setup but I super don't think so?
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

LaLight

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1141 on: October 01, 2016, 12:17:18 pm »

I checked

They can. If we have zero T's one member is randomly bulletproof.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1142 on: October 01, 2016, 12:31:08 pm »

I checked

They can. If we have zero T's one member is randomly bulletproof.

Okay, I checked too. That's not us because Mail-mi was VT.
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Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1143 on: October 01, 2016, 12:31:55 pm »

Nope, I'm wrong.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1144 on: October 01, 2016, 12:34:55 pm »

Okay, everything I said was wrong. Space or any scum could be the strongman. A random scum gets a bulletproof if we are dealing with 6 PRs. I get it now, my bad.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

LaLight

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1145 on: October 01, 2016, 12:37:38 pm »

Okay, everything I said was wrong. Space or any scum could be the strongman. A random scum gets a bulletproof if we are dealing with 6 PRs. I get it now, my bad.

I think it's vote: SpaceAnemone then
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1146 on: October 01, 2016, 01:32:26 pm »

Cool, let's do it then

Bowie's in Spaaaaace

and Space is probably scum.

Vote: SpaceAnemone
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

SpaceAnemone

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1147 on: October 01, 2016, 01:59:56 pm »

Argh, seriously, I'm not scum! The whole argument for you guys suspecting me of being scum was that I didn't die when WW claims to have vigged me, hence the suspicion that I might have been BP. And now people are suddenly re-speculating on all this stuff as if they haven't even really thought this through at all :-( I really can't mount a proper defence right now because I'm out in London for the night and away from a computer till tomorrow night...
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Town games: M84(L), M85(W), M86(L), M87(W), M88(L), M90(L), M92(W), M94(L), M97(L), M99(W), M100(L), M104(W), M107(W), M110(L), M112(L), RMM37(L), RMM40(D), RMM41(L), RMM43(L), RMM47(W), ZM23(W).
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Witherweaver

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1148 on: October 01, 2016, 02:00:32 pm »

Argh, seriously, I'm not scum! The whole argument for you guys suspecting me of being scum was that I didn't die when WW claims to have vigged me, hence the suspicion that I might have been BP. And now people are suddenly re-speculating on all this stuff as if they haven't even really thought this through at all :-( I really can't mount a proper defence right now because I'm out in London for the night and away from a computer till tomorrow night...

Not really; my reason is mostly is how you've acted today.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M86: Ghibli Mafia - Day 3.
« Reply #1149 on: October 01, 2016, 02:07:41 pm »

Argh, seriously, I'm not scum! The whole argument for you guys suspecting me of being scum was that I didn't die when WW claims to have vigged me, hence the suspicion that I might have been BP. And now people are suddenly re-speculating on all this stuff as if they haven't even really thought this through at all :-( I really can't mount a proper defence right now because I'm out in London for the night and away from a computer till tomorrow night...

Eh, I'm voting for your because you are trying to get townie players like schadd lynched and being completely silent about all of the unknowns who should be under a lot of suspicion. You're playing like you have an agenda, IE: like newbie scum.

If you are town then this lynch is your own fault. You should have been looking into the unknowns (Reggie, Joseph, Gkrieg, uh me) and trying to figure out which ones of them are most likely to be scum.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.
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