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Author Topic: M85: Olympics Mafia (Game Over!)  (Read 113332 times)

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mail-mi

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1000 on: September 03, 2016, 01:15:24 am »

Okay, he would have been hammered by now, everyone has posted. So I will take the hammer.
vote:: roadrunner

Calamitas, your vote doesn't count. It is not proper format.

You could take it back, but man just hammer him. He's scum.
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I currently imagine mail-mi wearing a dark trenchcoat and a bowler hat, hunched over a bit, toothpick in his mouth, holding a gun in his pocket.  One bead of sweat trickling down his nose.

'And what is it that ye shall hope for? Behold I say unto you that ye shall have hope through the atonement of Christ and the power of his resurrection, to be raised unto life eternal, and this because of your faith in him according to the promise." - Moroni 7:41, the Book of Mormon

mail-mi

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1001 on: September 03, 2016, 01:16:28 am »

It's bedtime now, and I won't steal Calamitas' scum hammer.
If it hasn't happened by morning though I'm taking it.
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I currently imagine mail-mi wearing a dark trenchcoat and a bowler hat, hunched over a bit, toothpick in his mouth, holding a gun in his pocket.  One bead of sweat trickling down his nose.

'And what is it that ye shall hope for? Behold I say unto you that ye shall have hope through the atonement of Christ and the power of his resurrection, to be raised unto life eternal, and this because of your faith in him according to the promise." - Moroni 7:41, the Book of Mormon

Calamitas

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1002 on: September 03, 2016, 01:22:28 am »

It's bedtime now, and I won't steal Calamitas' scum hammer.
If it hasn't happened by morning though I'm taking it.
I won't take it now that I have thought it true. Iguana and silver are clearly pushing a lynch over the top. Silver by flattering me before, iguana by saying there are no other possibilities than scum!rr even though there are ridiculously many (Modifiers, rb+strongman). I think that was intended to lure me into voting rr what was almost happening due to my stupidity.That behavior is IMO clearly scummy and (at least by now) the only lynch I can agree with is silver. Before hammering, please re-read at least the last few pages. They are clearly trying to push us into something we shouldn't do which is ridiculously scummy. I will go slee again, please consider my thoughts before hammering.
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Oh, i just don't like mafia games.

Town (5/9): M85, RMM35, M87, NM9, M90RMM38, M92, M91, M102,
Scum (3/3): M84, M88, M100

MVPs (1): M84

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1003 on: September 03, 2016, 01:25:13 am »

It's bedtime now, and I won't steal Calamitas' scum hammer.
If it hasn't happened by morning though I'm taking it.
I won't take it now that I have thought it true. Iguana and silver are clearly pushing a lynch over the top. Silver by flattering me before, iguana by saying there are no other possibilities than scum!rr even though there are ridiculously many (Modifiers, rb+strongman). I think that was intended to lure me into voting rr what was almost happening due to my stupidity.That behavior is IMO clearly scummy and (at least by now) the only lynch I can agree with is silver. Before hammering, please re-read at least the last few pages. They are clearly trying to push us into something we shouldn't do which is ridiculously scummy. I will go slee again, please consider my thoughts before hammering.

Roadrunner7671

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1004 on: September 03, 2016, 01:25:24 am »

Hey your vote didn't count!
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Calamitas

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1005 on: September 03, 2016, 01:26:01 am »

Hey your vote didn't count!
I know and you did as well when you were dayviging all of us
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Oh, i just don't like mafia games.

Town (5/9): M85, RMM35, M87, NM9, M90RMM38, M92, M91, M102,
Scum (3/3): M84, M88, M100

MVPs (1): M84

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1006 on: September 03, 2016, 01:26:38 am »

Vote Count 2.final

Seprix (4): Calamitas, RoadRunner7671, mail-mi, Seprix
RoadRunner7671 (1): silverspawn

Not Voting (2): LaLight, iguanaiguana


With 7 alive, it took 4 to lynch.

Seprix has been lynched!

He was Swimming, the Bodyguard

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1007 on: September 03, 2016, 01:27:21 am »

Mr. "yesterday I pusehed a mislynch against silver's constant criticism together with the guy who practically just claimed scum"

Roadrunner7671

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1008 on: September 03, 2016, 01:27:30 am »

Hey your vote didn't count!
I know and you did as well when you were dayviging all of us
No I thought it counted, hence the dayvigs. It's a lame joke
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Calamitas

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1009 on: September 03, 2016, 01:28:47 am »

Hey your vote didn't count!
I know and you did as well when you were dayviging all of us
No I thought it counted, hence the dayvigs. It's a lame joke
No you didn't buy it, you're too good for that.
Logged
Oh, i just don't like mafia games.

Town (5/9): M85, RMM35, M87, NM9, M90RMM38, M92, M91, M102,
Scum (3/3): M84, M88, M100

MVPs (1): M84

Calamitas

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1010 on: September 03, 2016, 01:29:14 am »

Mr. "yesterday I pusehed a mislynch against silver's constant criticism together with the guy who practically just claimed scum"
Mr. Spamming
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Oh, i just don't like mafia games.

Town (5/9): M85, RMM35, M87, NM9, M90RMM38, M92, M91, M102,
Scum (3/3): M84, M88, M100

MVPs (1): M84

Calamitas

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1011 on: September 03, 2016, 01:30:24 am »

It's bedtime now, and I won't steal Calamitas' scum hammer.
If it hasn't happened by morning though I'm taking it.
I won't take it now that I have thought it true. Iguana and silver are clearly pushing a lynch over the top. Silver by flattering me before, iguana by saying there are no other possibilities than scum!rr even though there are ridiculously many (Modifiers, rb+strongman). I think that was intended to lure me into voting rr what was almost happening due to my stupidity.That behavior is IMO clearly scummy and (at least by now) the only lynch I can agree with is silver. Before hammering, please re-read at least the last few pages. They are clearly trying to push us into something we shouldn't do which is ridiculously scummy. I will go slee again, please consider my thoughts before hammering.

Re-posted for upping
Logged
Oh, i just don't like mafia games.

Town (5/9): M85, RMM35, M87, NM9, M90RMM38, M92, M91, M102,
Scum (3/3): M84, M88, M100

MVPs (1): M84

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1012 on: September 03, 2016, 01:31:50 am »

brrrlp back to the worlds.

a) The world where we have 1 Watcher 3 Bodyguards and 1 Tracker
b) The world where we have 1 Watcher 2 Bodyguards and 1 Tracker
c) The world where we have 1 Watcher 1 Bodyguard and 1 Tracker
d) The world where we have 1 Watcher 3 Bodyguards and 0 Tracker
e) The world where we have 1 Watcher 2 Bodyguards and 0 Tracker


Results:
World a) : 7,7%
World b) : 22%
World c) : 46%
World d) : 8.2%
World e) : 16%

What you're doing right now is so insaely anti town and destructive and ignoring obvious evidence that I almost have to reconsider you as scum #2. I previously thought it was mail-mi, but maybe I was wrong.

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1013 on: September 03, 2016, 01:34:01 am »

I voted for RR because a) is sufficiently small compared to b) that I would almost never change my choice based on reads. Therefore, the choice is only between you and RR and since you up to that point were ten times townier, I would never ever change my mind there. Thus, there was no point in delaying this any further.

Calamitas

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1014 on: September 03, 2016, 01:39:51 am »

Don't make arguments up by using irrelevant probabilities, you know better than that. P(Watcher+Tracker+3x BG) is absolutely irrelevant by now, the only one that matters is P(Watcher+Tracker+2xBG|BG) which isn't that bad. Anyway, will go to sleep otherwise I'm writing even more junk here. Will have to think this true, all I wanted to say is thst thinks aren't as clear as some trying to make them
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Oh, i just don't like mafia games.

Town (5/9): M85, RMM35, M87, NM9, M90RMM38, M92, M91, M102,
Scum (3/3): M84, M88, M100

MVPs (1): M84

Roadrunner7671

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1015 on: September 03, 2016, 01:40:49 am »

Hey your vote didn't count!
I know and you did as well when you were dayviging all of us
No I thought it counted, hence the dayvigs. It's a lame joke
No you didn't buy it, you're too good for that.
I seriously bought it. Believe me or don't  8)

But I'm not 'too good.' I do appreciate that compliment though
Ppe
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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1016 on: September 03, 2016, 01:41:41 am »

Don't hammer me until Calamitas gets his thoughts together. I'd like him to cause us to not lose today
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silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1017 on: September 03, 2016, 01:42:05 am »

I'm writing even more junk here.

Yes you are.

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1018 on: September 03, 2016, 01:50:27 am »

The hilarious thing about this post:

Don't make arguments up by using irrelevant probabilities, you know better than that. P(Watcher+Tracker+3x BG) is absolutely irrelevant by now, the only one that matters is P(Watcher+Tracker+2xBG|BG) which isn't that bad. Anyway, will go to sleep otherwise I'm writing even more junk here. Will have to think this true, all I wanted to say is thst thinks aren't as clear as some trying to make them

is that it actually has another town slip. We don't have a | BG since no BG flipped yet.

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1019 on: September 03, 2016, 01:57:41 am »

oh actually Seprix flipped BG . . . nvm.

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1020 on: September 03, 2016, 02:01:20 am »

anyways he's right about the probabilites having changed based on our flips. Let me re-do them. All a-priori chances relative to P1 + P2 + P3 (since we know one of them must be true).

W1 = W + T + B
W2 = W + T + B + B
W3 = W + T + B + B + B

P(W1) = 61%
P(W2) = 29%
P(W3) = 10%)

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1021 on: September 03, 2016, 02:03:16 am »

pretty much the same meaning for our current situation, as expected ... that's why I was treating them as if they're still correct.

it's going to be a hell of choice tomorrow. . . . . . . .

Calamitas

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1022 on: September 03, 2016, 04:19:31 am »

anyways he's right about the probabilites having changed based on our flips. Let me re-do them. All a-priori chances relative to P1 + P2 + P3 (since we know one of them must be true).

W1 = W + T + B
W2 = W + T + B + B
W3 = W + T + B + B + B

P(W1) = 61%
P(W2) = 29%
P(W3) = 10%)
Integrate my pov where another one is confirmed and you will see that the discrepany isn't that extreme
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Oh, i just don't like mafia games.

Town (5/9): M85, RMM35, M87, NM9, M90RMM38, M92, M91, M102,
Scum (3/3): M84, M88, M100

MVPs (1): M84

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1023 on: September 03, 2016, 04:44:29 am »

Integrate my pov where another one is confirmed and you will see that the discrepany isn't that extreme

That is correct. It is not as extreme, it is a bit more extreme.

(WTBBB | WTBB) = 26,19%

silverspawn

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Re: M85: Olympics Mafia (Day 3)
« Reply #1024 on: September 03, 2016, 04:50:16 am »

Not that going with 1 - 3 odds is that unreasonable. I mean I think it's a bad idea but it's not comparable to previous situations we had, were players went with 1 - 9 odds and the like. But it also just makes no sense.
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