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[silverspawn]

I have to say that the points assigned to the modifiers don't really make sense... like at all. But that's my fault for not checking them pre-game.

And it's not a big deal anyway.

[Roadrunner7671]

I'm gonna Vote: Calamitas

What for?

Aren't you a big fan of probability arguments? I mean Bodyguards are worth one point each so I guess there's a reasonable chance that there can be two but still. Maybe one of us has a really awful hidden modifier or something?

[Roadrunner7671]

Okay rereading the setup my vote is pretty bad. And Calamitas has seemed towny (I think). So I guess I'll Unvote. But I'm not sure about this

[Calamitas]

I'm gonna Vote: Calamitas

What for?

Aren't you a big fan of probability arguments? I mean Bodyguards are worth one point each so I guess there's a reasonable chance that there can be two but still. Maybe one of us has a really awful hidden modifier or something?

I am a fan of probabilty arguments and there is a chance that is not neglicable. I just assumed the generating process works without replacments since the duplicate roles are significantly weaker than the unique ones (without having that difference integrated in the rating system). And yes, if all that is true, it is very likely that some of us are having suboptimal modifiers.
For now unvote

[silverspawn]

Aren't you a big fan of probability arguments?

I am!

I mean Bodyguards are worth one point each so I guess there's a reasonable chance that there can be two but still.

The chance for two bodyguards is pretty small.

From your PoV, the probability that matters is that Calamitas is a bodyguard provided that you are also a bodyguard. That chance isn't any smaller than for any other role... it's actually a bit greater.

[iguanaiguana]

Chance of any two roles is low, two bodyguards is not any less likely than anything else.

[iguanaiguana]

Mass claim is good now let's do it

[silverspawn]

Chance of any two roles is low, two bodyguards is not any less likely than anything else.

yes. actually it's one of the most likely ones based on having the lowest points attached.

[Calamitas]

Mass claim is good now let's do it

/in

[Roadrunner7671]

I still don't really like it. Didn't LaLight request a mass claim because of his result on me? And now that we cleared that up (along with some other claims) aren't we all good?

[silverspawn]

I still don't really like it. Didn't LaLight request a mass claim because of his result on me? And now that we cleared that up (along with some other claims) aren't we all good?

No we're not. I need the remaining claims in order to make meaningful probalistic arguments.

With 2 bodyguards, probably at least one of them real, the downside of claiming is almost zero. There's really no reason not to do it now.

[Roadrunner7671]

The downside of claiming is that scum has easier targets. LaLight is probably doomed, and I think either you or Seprx is a PR. Probably you.

[silverspawn]

The downside of claiming is that scum has easier targets. LaLight is probably doomed, and I think either you or Seprx is a PR. Probably you.

we already have PRs claimed, which makes that argument weaker, and we have bodyguards which can protect them, which makes that argument weaker, too.

Like, really. Not massclaiming at this point is silly.

[Roadrunner7671]

I guess since I already claimed my opinion isn't as strong. You guys do whatever. We should hear from mail-mi and Seprix though

[silverspawn]

yes, I agree. In particular we should hear their claims.

[Roadrunner7671]

yes, I agree. In particular we should hear their claims.

No I mean we should hear their thoughts on claiming!

[silverspawn]

They probably don't like it, given that they're scum and all that.

[Seprix]

Oh wow. No time to sleep I guess.

I am a Bodyguard. You probably shouldn't lynch me

You are a liar.

vote: RR

[Seprix]

Roadrunner is at L-1, and I want you all to lynch him now.

[mail-mi]

I guess we're mass claiming. I'm just a VT.

Roadrunner is at L-1, and I want you all to lynch him now.

Seprix, coming in as always with the helpful townie posts. Am I voting for you yet? vote: seprix

[Roadrunner7671]

Oh wow. No time to sleep I guess.

I am a Bodyguard. You probably shouldn't lynch me

You are a liar.

vote: RR

Do you have any basis for that belief or do you just like to lynch PRs?

[silverspawn]

Roadrunner is at L-1, and I want you all to lynch him now.

Based on what?

Also, claim please.

[Seprix]

Oh wow. No time to sleep I guess.

I am a Bodyguard. You probably shouldn't lynch me

You are a liar.

vote: RR

Do you have any basis for that belief or do you just like to lynch PRs?

You're lying, and everyone but your scumbuddy mail-Mi seems to get that.

[Seprix]

Roadrunner is at L-1, and I want you all to lynch him now.

Based on what?

Also, claim please.

I am a Bodyguard. LaLight saw RR doing some shady stuff, and why would there be two Bodyguards?

[silverspawn]

three bodyguards? How fun.