Lio D1:
Starts of jokey, fine, null.
r218: Dislike, use of 'mislynch' implies RR is town; not evident even now, let alone early on D1. Scum more likely to strong townread RR early.
r366: Asks for scum Seprix games, I get an off feel from this post. Seems somehow disingenuous
r367: Criticizes ADK votes; I tend to agree with Lio here
r368: Votes Seprix; okay, kind of set it up two posts ago
r439: Defends his use of 'mislynch' on RR from before.. okay, I still don't like the first post
r444: Claims a gut town read on RR; I don't like it
r446: Votes Teproc for voting J Reggie. What gives.
r448: Weird post in which he unvotes Teproc while still kind of saying he's scum
r450: Town lean towards RR, J Reggie, Jan, ADK, Awaclus, scum leans on Seprix, font, Melisandre. Awaclus is a town lean for being 'Classic Awaclus', which is pretty bad. Also says he's town on SS in the next post.
r465: Explains his Teproc vote as a result of his 'next person to vote J Reggie is scum' thing from RVS. I'm not really sure what he was going for here. Though that do a cryptic thing for reactions is probably townier from Lio.
A few .. confrontational? posts follow.
r582: Continues generally argumentative or instigative including some self-aware metaposting.
Some back-and-forth with Ichi, gets Ichi to unvote.
r623: Analyzes wagon; Jan slight scum, Teproc slight scum, RR null to slight town, J Reggie town, ADK null, Ichi town, some more selfawareness.
r631: More reads, Jan and ADK have moved towards wanting to lynch, Meli has moved into don't want to lynch.
r671: Votes Jan
r697: Gives a lynch pool: Jan, Seprix, Hydrad, Haddock, Teproc, Gkrieg. Of course if you're Hydrad's partner you toss him in 'willing to lynch', but even as town you don't have a big reason to oppose it. Null here.
r698: Interesting, points against Lio being Hydrad's partner with the way he mentions him here.
Continues to argue towards Jan lynch
r840: Responds to Hydrad voting him. As I mentioned before (in regards to Jan pointing it out, I think), Hydrad voting for Lio here points against them being partners.
r845: More of the calling himself out on things before anyone else can. I don't really know what to make of this tactic.
r962: Voted Hydrad while calling his wagon terrible. Now this feels more like a bus; Lio now looks like he's going to be the lynch and goes for distancing. Also has a bit of a "caught for the wrong reasons" feel.
r969: More self-awareness, would be more compelling if it wasn't Lio himself stating this. Well, he does have a point; his posts are more quick and reactive instead of the carefully constructed we expect from scum. On the other hand he shows here he's aware of that. Should maybe look back to Dice Mafia. Who has the time though?
r970: Argues for lynching lurkers; well if Hydrad was a bus he's doubling down on it.
Continues to argue towards Hydrad
r995: This is sounding town. "I'm town, and useful, so I am a terribad lynch".
r1023: Moves to Seprix when Hydrad lynch is not looking like it's going to happen.
r1029: More metawareness
r1114: Goes back to Hydrad
r1132: Votes Awaclus
Takes us to end of Day 1. A bit of a rollercoaster. I think his end of Day 1 makes him look townier, even if not pro-town. Scum rarely acts that way in the face of getting lynched. Also Hydrad... a few points against partners, one for.. not too likely.