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Author Topic: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (Game Over! Town Wins!)  (Read 76198 times)

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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #500 on: February 17, 2016, 11:54:21 am »

Still Hydrad may as well claim his target if he gets a chance - scum can't protect themselves anyway.

I mean, if he's dead and scum isn't, we'll know it's the VT that's dead with him.  If he's dead and scum's dead, we'll know it was the scum.  If he's alive, he can tell us.

But yeah, doesn't matter if he claims, as you say.
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Haddock

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #501 on: February 17, 2016, 11:57:33 am »

Yeah, they will totally be killing PRs

If they shoot a VT, they're trying to say at least one PR AND one VT is lying...that's...insane, because one VT has to be lying town.  It just doesn't compute.

I think the only possible results are:

A: Hydrad whiffs and scum shoots someone other than Hydrad: 1 PR dies, 1 VT dies
B: Hydrad hits and scum shoots someone other than Hydrad: 1 PR dies, 1 Hydrad dies, 1 scum dies
C: Hydrad hits and scum shoots Hydrad (or no kills?): 1 Hydrad dies, 1 scum dies
D: Hydrad whiffs and scum shoots Hydard: 1 Hydrad dies, 1 VT dies

There's no other possibilities that I can see.

That's
Protective roles I guess.  But if any of the VTs get protected tonight, well.  Just... don't do that.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Joseph2302

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #502 on: February 17, 2016, 12:02:09 pm »

Still twilight, right?
I'm VT
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Mafia Stats: (correct as of 2017)
Town: 22 games, 8 wins
Scum: 5 games, 3 wins

2.71828.....

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #503 on: February 17, 2016, 12:04:55 pm »

Unfortunate.
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

Haddock

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #504 on: February 17, 2016, 12:05:53 pm »

Dang.

I still think Hydrad shoots, he's got a 50:50 shot even going completely at random.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

iguanaiguana

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #505 on: February 17, 2016, 12:07:36 pm »

Sorry dude!

I'm still leaning silver/WW in this case then.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

Hydrad

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #506 on: February 17, 2016, 12:07:59 pm »

I'll shoot. At work so haven't really thought about who though yet.
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For anyone else, such a statement would be a scum tell.  For Hydrad, it's simply a tell that you're reading something from Hydrad.

Witherweaver

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #507 on: February 17, 2016, 12:08:39 pm »

I think Silver is the best target.
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iguanaiguana

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #508 on: February 17, 2016, 12:09:06 pm »

The thing about Hydrad shooting t0night is it doesn't actually increase our odds at all. Worst case scenario is the same and we get one less night to use the other PRs.
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

Witherweaver

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #509 on: February 17, 2016, 12:10:12 pm »

The thing about Hydrad shooting t0night is it doesn't actually increase our odds at all. Worst case scenario is the same and we get one less night to use the other PRs.

Vigs gonna Vig!
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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #510 on: February 17, 2016, 12:10:27 pm »

Doing the numbers, does hydrad really shoot tonight, or tomorrow night?

Going into N1 : 8 alive 2 scum
Hydrad misses : 6 alive 2 scum
Mislynch going into N2 : 5 alive 2 scum, scum wins


Hydrad hits: 5 alive 1 scum
Mislynch going into N2 : 4 alive 1 scum
Then 3 alive 1 scum on D3.

Or hydrad does not shoot
7 alive, 2 scum. 2/4 scum for the PRs, 2/3 for others.
5 alive 2 scum. 2/3 for PRs,  scum is known to VT

I think I like playing it out. No shot

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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #511 on: February 17, 2016, 12:11:05 pm »

But yeah, I think hydrad just decides what to do
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #512 on: February 17, 2016, 12:11:50 pm »

He is a smart guy. He can run the numbers and make a decision.

He can only vig once though, and I think that is best saved for N2
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #513 on: February 17, 2016, 12:12:33 pm »

Hydrad shooting actually just makes town lose a day
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

Witherweaver

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #514 on: February 17, 2016, 12:13:07 pm »

Hm
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Haddock

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #515 on: February 17, 2016, 12:13:27 pm »

Second thoughts, you're right.  Leaving it is probably just as good if not better.

Hydrad, shoot!
Hydrad, don't shoot!
Hydrad, exercise your right to decide for yourself!

Yeah, the last one.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #516 on: February 17, 2016, 12:13:32 pm »

Hit correctly, that is 1 scum/1 town dead. Same as a lynch/NK.  Hydrad just had the fun time of playing judge, jury, and executioner
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Man. I had four strips of bacon yesterday. Was one automatically undercooked, one automatically overcooked? No, let's put a stop to that right here, all four strips were excellent.

iguanaiguana

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #517 on: February 17, 2016, 12:13:39 pm »

I already did these numbers lol
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Point iguana. Not that points really matter with a result, but still.
Igu is town or trying the hardest he ever has as scum.

Hydrad

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #518 on: February 17, 2016, 12:13:52 pm »

Hmm I'll take a closer look at it tonight.

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For anyone else, such a statement would be a scum tell.  For Hydrad, it's simply a tell that you're reading something from Hydrad.

gkrieg13

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #519 on: February 17, 2016, 12:14:06 pm »

Thread Locked!

Vote Count 1.final
Joseph (5): Haddock, WW, 2.7, Iguana, ashersky
Haddock (1): Awaclus
SS (1): Hydrad
WW (1): Joseph
Ashersky (1): SS

Not Voting (0)

With nine alive it took five to lynch
« Last Edit: February 17, 2016, 12:16:07 pm by gkrieg13 »
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gkrieg13

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #520 on: February 17, 2016, 12:22:09 pm »

With the constant stress of being soap opera stars, the group gathered together.  They noticed Joseph was sitting a little bit closer to Vanessa than they would've expected.  Vanessa turned and said, "What I can make my own decisions!"  Haddock spoke up and said, "But I thought we were together!"  Witherweaver, e, and iguanaiguana spoke at the same time "But you went on a date with me last night!"  They looked at each other and growled.  At that point, ashersky spoke up and said, "But she is married to me!  Let's kill Joseph!"  They approached Joseph and asked for any last words...  The camera swiveled towards his face as he whimpered, "Just not the face", and was thrown from the building.

Joseph has been lynched!

He was a Vanilla Townie

N1 begins now and will end 48 hours from now
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gkrieg13

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #521 on: February 17, 2016, 10:50:13 pm »

Night actions due in 24 hours, or February 18, 2016, 11:00:00 pm
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gkrieg13

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #522 on: February 18, 2016, 11:55:12 pm »

night action window has passed
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gkrieg13

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #523 on: February 19, 2016, 12:06:20 pm »

Hydrad has been killed in the night!

He was a Weak Vigilante


As everyone started their day, they were excited to see what the fall out would be from their exciting discovery...

Vote Count 2.0

Not Voting (7): Haddock, WW, 2.7, Iguana, ashersky, Awaclus, ss

With seven alive it takes four to lynch. Day two ends February 29, 2016, 12:00:00 pm

Thread Unlocked!
« Last Edit: February 19, 2016, 12:45:29 pm by gkrieg13 »
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ashersky

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Re: M76: Soap Opera Mafia (D1)
« Reply #524 on: February 19, 2016, 12:06:45 pm »

Haddock targeted me.  Confirming he's Loud.
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11x MVP: M30, M83, ZM16, M25, M38, M61, M76, RMM5, RMM41, RMM46, M51
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