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Author Topic: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Game Over!)  (Read 137439 times)

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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1150 on: November 06, 2015, 06:56:58 am »

I have a 60% minimum chance to get killed in some way.

I think it's time to panic.
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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1151 on: November 06, 2015, 09:49:13 am »

Vote Count 4.1

Not Voting (5): Roadrunner7671, Haddock, Awaclus, Ichimaru Gin, Chairs

With 5 alive, it takes 3 to lynch.

D4 ends Wednesday November 11 at 11 am forum time.
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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1152 on: November 06, 2015, 09:53:48 am »

Vote: Chairs
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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1153 on: November 06, 2015, 05:48:18 pm »

OK.  So.  Rereading:

Roadrunner.
Weird - kinda goes without saying.
Almost never explains his votes, which is frustrating but then he hasn't been horribly off-target so whatever.
Seems to think that everything he says should be accepted as perfect truth by everybody.

D1: Is completely ignorant of how mafia works.  Pushes faust early for no reason.  Claims VT, super weird.  Ends up on the right place (ie. early on the ash wagon), which given how quickly that developed is definitely a not-mafia-tell.

D2: Is completely ignorant of how mafia works.  First to vote for yuma.  Superinconsistent in his discussions of gkrieg, finds him scummy then doesn't then does etc.  (possible town tell?)   Then randomly jumps off the wagon just as yuma gets hyperscummy.  Realistically this must surely be TOO obvious a play for RR to ever be mafia.

D3:  Is completely ignorant of how mafia works.  Not much to say about D3.

D4:  Is completely ignorant of how mafia works.  Is also totally panicking.

In sum:  No way is RR ever mafia.  It's just not possible.  The interactions with ash and yuma just make it so unlikely.  So he might be SK, but on rereading I don't find him as scummy as I thought.  His biggest towntell is that he doesn't really seem to pay very close attention to the game.  But he still might be SK.  One thing is how quickly he matched up NKd players with players who found me scummy.  I think that might be a mild SKtell, I can maybe see an SK killing people who've been vocal about a particular player, to try to push suspicion onto them.


Awa:
I'm not gonna split him day by day, he hasn't had as much to say as RR.  One thing: he's been terrifyingly right all game.  Like all of the people he's properly pushed to lynch have been scum, and vice versa.  So either he's town/SK and epically on point, or he's been playing the boldest mafia line I can imagine.  I don't think the second is likely.  Says he's definitely going to vote RR then doesn't do so, which inconsistency might be a town tell?  Suddenly massively vocal today, which is weird for him.  But I dunno.  MAYBE he's the SK, but as much as anyone can read Awa I read him as town. 


Ichi:
Aw man this is sad.  I had something of a town read on him, just from gut, but I'm having to change my mind slightly now.  I could see him as the mafia partner, probably not the SK. 
His biggest real towntell is inconsistency re. a few people, me being one.  But he's been very wrong with all of the things.  Not on the ash wagon (which doesn't mean much in fairness, that was so so quick).  Not on the yuma wagon, which reads scummy to me, and pushed for Hydrad's lynch fairly hard. 
I still don't read Ichi as superscummy, but where previously I couldn't have seen him as mafia, now I could.

Chairs:
Lurky as hell.  28 posts total.  Of those, 3 are an unexplained vote and nothing else, 3 are an unexplained vote couched in some small discussion of stuff not related to the vote, and 1 is him going v/la.  So yeah, that's a quarter of his posts done.    Has said absolutely nothing today!  Yeah chairs is scummy, sorry.  He could be either, but I think SK is slightly more likely.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Roadrunner7671

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1154 on: November 06, 2015, 05:54:21 pm »

Wow I got like a four paragraph essay.

I think the day will end with a Chairs kill, if he flips SK I will die at night, if he flips Mafia Haddock will probably die at night. Then it'll be a 2v1.
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Haddock

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1155 on: November 06, 2015, 05:55:22 pm »

Wow I got like a four paragraph essay.
That's because you've just posted SOO much this game :P
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Ichimaru Gin

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1156 on: November 06, 2015, 05:57:02 pm »

Here for a bit. I was asleep when Ash got lynched. I'm guessing my terrible reads are why I'm still alive. I don't know. I make it to endgame pretty often these days I guess.

I want to lynch chairs...but not until we at least hear something from him. We have very little leeway here. Did he get prodded or something?

Haddock

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1157 on: November 06, 2015, 06:07:20 pm »

I was asleep when Ash got lynched.
Yeah I tried to say that wasn't part of my reasoning.  Ash's lynch went from not even looking likely to happening in about 3.5 hours, anyone can be forgiven for missing it.

I want to lynch chairs...but not until we at least hear something from him. We have very little leeway here. Did he get prodded or something?
Yeah. It's been 5 days since he posted.  Request prod on chairs
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Twistedarcher

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1158 on: November 06, 2015, 06:10:50 pm »

Chairs prodded.
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Roadrunner7671

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1159 on: November 06, 2015, 06:13:13 pm »

And how am I so weird, Haddock?
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Haddock

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1160 on: November 06, 2015, 06:23:59 pm »

And how am I so weird, Haddock?
You just are.  I think I'm not alone in thinking this.  You've just done a lot of weird stuff and said a lot of weird things this game.  I suspect this may end up being your meta, just like inscrutability is Awa's.  I'm not saying you're scummy-weird, you're just weird.

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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

chairs

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1161 on: November 06, 2015, 06:53:54 pm »

Ah hell, I'm a jerk. I didn't realize I was still playing, and haven't been keeping up. Sorry about that.

Anyway, we've got... 1 mafia, 1 sk, 3 town?

I think it's SK!RR and Mafia!IG... Maaaayyybeeee SK!Awaclus.

Haddock reads towny to me from the bits I've read over.

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1162 on: November 07, 2015, 09:44:03 am »

Bah I dunno.  I feel like that is such an easy thing for scum to say if they've been lurking like crazy.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Roadrunner7671

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1163 on: November 07, 2015, 10:57:44 am »

I'm going to be known for being weird?
I suppose there are worse things.
I still want to lynch chairs.
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Haddock

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1164 on: November 07, 2015, 01:19:31 pm »

It's Saturday evening and I'm bored again.  Anyone got any thoughts?
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Ichimaru Gin

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1165 on: November 07, 2015, 02:19:31 pm »

Yeah. Chairs is where it's at.

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1166 on: November 07, 2015, 02:24:57 pm »

Tend to agree.  But Awa, you had a townread on chairs, right?  Whatcha thinking?
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1167 on: November 07, 2015, 03:05:03 pm »

Tend to agree.  But Awa, you had a townread on chairs, right?  Whatcha thinking?

I don't want to lynch chairs.
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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1168 on: November 07, 2015, 03:08:02 pm »

Instead, I want to lynch Ichi.

Vote: Ichi
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Ichimaru Gin

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1169 on: November 07, 2015, 04:10:11 pm »

Instead, I want to lynch Ichi.

Vote: Ichi
Because...oh yeah. You're scum.
vote: chairs I guess. We'll see what everyone else decides.

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1170 on: November 07, 2015, 04:45:33 pm »

Phwoar.  I really don't know.
I feel like maybe townIchi doesn't put anyone to L-1 that quickly.  Something just feels off about it.

I could probably lynch either Ichi or chairs, I dunno.  Let me think for a bit before I decide.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

Awaclus

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1171 on: November 07, 2015, 04:49:14 pm »

Because...oh yeah. You're scum.

No, Ichi, you are the scums.

And then Ichi was a SK.
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Bomb, Cannon, and many of the Gunpowder cards can strongly effect gameplay, particularly in a destructive way

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Haddock

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1172 on: November 07, 2015, 05:55:15 pm »

vote: Ichi
The vote on chairs just feels too weird.  I hope I'm right.

That's L-1 on both chairs and Ichi I believe.
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The best reason to lynch Haddock is the meltdown we get to witness on the wagon runup. I mean, we should totally wagon him every day just for the lulz.

M Town Wins-Losses (6-2, 75%): 71, 72, 76, 81, 83, 87 - 79, 82.  M Scum Wins-Losses (2-1, 67%): 80, 101 - 70.
RMM Town Wins-Losses (3-1, 75%): 42, 47, 49 - 31.  RMM Scum Wins-Losses (3-3, 50%): 33, 37, 43 - 29, 32, 35.
Modded: M75, M84, RMM38.     Mislynched (M-RMM): None - 42.     Correctly lynched (M-RMM): 101 - 33, 33, 35.       MVPs: RMM37, M87

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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1173 on: November 07, 2015, 07:21:02 pm »

Vote Count 4.2

Chairs (2): Roadrunner, Ichimaru Gin
Ichimaru Gin (2): Awaclus, Haddock

Not Voting (1): Chairs

With 5 alive, it takes 3 to lynch.

D4 ends Wednesday November 11 at 11 am forum time.
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Re: M70: Switch Mafia 2 (Day 4)
« Reply #1174 on: November 07, 2015, 07:22:32 pm »

What. Chairs had 2 votes on him already? I thought it was just one.

And Awaclus still hasn't stated a single point against me. This is rich.
Can't you see that essentially all active veteran players have been eliminated?
I honestly didn't know I was putting chairs at L-1 so unvote I guess.
I implore you not to listen to Awaclus though--especially when he hasn't even said anything to back up his read on me.

PPE: 1 And my poor maths. three to lynch. I thought four for some reason.
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