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[ben_king]

Everybody loves the card rankings that Qvist puts out, but I've always secretly wondered how these lists compare to the way the top players really play the cards.

So I've collected over 90,000 game logs of the top 100 Dominion players on the Isotrophish rankings (2-player, pro rating, no bots) and analyzed them to determine how the best players in the world approach the cards.  Obviously there are a lot of differing opinions on the best way to determine which of two cards is better.  The method I've chosen is to measure the percentage of kingdoms containing card X where the top-100 player gains card X.  If card X really is one of the best cards, then it should be bought on almost every kingdom where it is available.  The nice thing about measuring cards this way is that it puts cards like Cultist (where you usually want as many as possible) and Chapel (where you usually only want one) on equal footing.

The list below orders the cards by how often they are gained.  In the next couple posts, I'm planning on splitting these by cost and comparing them to Qvist's card lists.

Rank	Card	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Tournament	95.4%	7467	7825
2	Governor	93.0%	2417	2598
3	Border Village	89.3%	6708	7512
4	Fishing Village	89.2%	7006	7854
5	Wharf	89.0%	7092	7965
6	Forager	88.7%	7094	7999
7	Goons	88.4%	7053	7979
8	Masquerade	87.7%	7031	8015
9	Chapel	87.6%	8408	9596
10	Ironmonger	87.2%	6947	7970
11	Mountebank	86.9%	6757	7779
12	Ambassador	83.6%	6757	8078
13	Squire	83.4%	6452	7732
14	Hamlet	83.2%	6564	7892
15	Plaza	82.7%	5953	7196
16	Warehouse	82.6%	6674	8084
17	Hunting Party	81.1%	6246	7705
18	Candlestick Maker	80.9%	5859	7242
19	King's Court	80.8%	6276	7769
20	Black Market	80.6%	2729	3386
21	Minion	80.1%	6252	7807
22	Wandering Minstrel	79.4%	6215	7828
23	Crossroads	79.2%	6112	7713
24	Swindler	79.1%	6447	8147
25	Cultist	79.0%	6103	7730
26	Market Square	78.9%	6162	7813
27	Nobles	78.8%	6284	7978
28	Caravan	78.3%	6029	7698
29	Hermit	78.3%	6232	7964
30	Counterfeit	78.2%	6107	7805
31	Worker's Village	77.8%	6055	7778
32	Steward	77.7%	6282	8083
33	Menagerie	77.7%	6100	7854
34	Urchin	77.1%	6126	7947
35	City	77.0%	6146	7985
36	Butcher	76.5%	5317	6954
37	Witch	76.4%	7123	9323
38	Grand Market	75.8%	6179	8156
39	Scheme	75.6%	6016	7954
40	Remake	75.2%	5689	7566
41	JackOfAllTrades	74.9%	5929	7911
42	Upgrade	74.9%	6005	8013
43	Lighthouse	74.4%	5877	7898
44	Rebuild	74.4%	5800	7800
45	Herald	74.3%	5315	7153
46	Shanty Town	73.9%	5996	8118
47	Peddler	72.8%	5649	7755
48	Junk Dealer	72.5%	5792	7984
49	Spice Merchant	72.1%	5549	7692
50	Knights	71.8%	5530	7698
51	Stables	71.8%	5668	7896
52	Courtyard	71.7%	5741	8005
53	Tunnel	71.3%	5640	7913
54	Island	70.9%	5594	7891
55	Festival	70.7%	6534	9245
56	Throne Room	70.5%	6517	9241
57	Margrave	70.4%	5485	7793
58	Highway	70.0%	5451	7791
59	Haggler	69.5%	5382	7744
60	Laboratory	69.1%	6234	9018
61	Great Hall	69.1%	5804	8397
62	Conspirator	69.0%	5438	7880
63	Fool's Gold	68.2%	5415	7936
64	Fortress	68.1%	5316	7807
65	Oasis	68.0%	5305	7798
66	Salvager	68.0%	5357	7880
67	Baker	67.5%	4824	7150
68	Scrying Pool	67.4%	5142	7634
69	Cellar	67.3%	6418	9533
70	Bazaar	67.2%	5326	7930
71	Village	67.1%	6354	9464
72	Apprentice	66.8%	5105	7643
73	Mining Village	66.2%	5264	7952
74	Tactician	66.2%	5214	7879
75	Stonemason	66.2%	4883	7381
76	Haven	65.8%	5152	7830
77	Farming Village	65.8%	5103	7760
78	Marauder	65.7%	5086	7739
79	Vagrant	65.5%	5350	8164
80	Bridge	65.5%	5203	7946
81	Bandit Camp	65.2%	5279	8096
82	Soothsayer	65.0%	4617	7100
83	University	64.9%	4919	7574
84	Sea Hag	64.7%	5068	7829
85	Pawn	63.7%	4975	7807
86	Militia	62.8%	5750	9161
87	Horse Traders	62.7%	4972	7933
88	Monument	62.2%	5001	8044
89	Inn	61.7%	4816	7810
90	Watchtower	61.5%	4916	7990
91	Market	61.3%	5720	9327
92	Native Village	61.2%	4781	7814
93	Gardens	60.6%	5620	9271
94	Walled Village	60.6%	797	1315
95	Familiar	60.0%	4553	7592
96	Torturer	59.9%	4663	7782
97	Ill-Gotten Gains	59.9%	4591	7664
98	Ironworks	59.9%	4832	8073
99	Count	59.8%	4607	7700
100	Altar	59.7%	4726	7916
101	Ghost Ship	58.6%	4550	7760
102	Hoard	58.2%	4765	8182
103	Bishop	57.9%	4598	7935
104	Quarry	56.8%	4470	7876
105	Sage	56.6%	4517	7987
106	Lookout	56.0%	4420	7888
107	Merchant Guild	55.5%	3869	6972
108	Wishing Well	55.4%	4504	8126
109	Farmland	54.6%	4263	7812
110	Doctor	54.6%	3887	7124
111	Remodel	54.2%	5088	9394
112	Trade Route	54.1%	4366	8070
113	Alchemist	52.9%	3986	7534
114	Silk Road	52.7%	4094	7772
115	Young Witch	52.6%	4029	7666
116	Jester	52.5%	4023	7658
117	Moneylender	51.9%	4917	9466
118	Smugglers	51.0%	4066	7965
119	Advisor	50.7%	3609	7115
120	Pearl Diver	50.2%	4021	8014
121	Embassy	48.7%	3734	7669
122	Embargo	48.4%	3902	8059
123	Expand	48.4%	3848	7957
124	Smithy	48.1%	4491	9341
125	Cartographer	47.9%	3623	7556
126	Storeroom	47.8%	3806	7958
127	Duke	47.7%	3731	7823
128	Council Room	47.7%	4444	9326
129	Fairgrounds	47.5%	3749	7892
130	Rabble	47.3%	3701	7832
131	Vineyard	47.2%	3578	7588
132	Apothecary	47.1%	3570	7575
133	Harem	46.7%	3687	7902
134	Vault	46.6%	3677	7888
135	Catacombs	46.4%	3568	7685
136	Mint	46.1%	3655	7936
137	Trading Post	45.3%	3585	7907
138	Band of Misfits	45.2%	3457	7646
139	Hunting Grounds	45.0%	3515	7805
140	Scavenger	44.9%	3570	7958
141	Oracle	44.9%	3521	7849
142	Treasury	44.2%	3424	7743
143	Horn of Plenty	44.0%	3409	7750
144	Forge	43.9%	3496	7970
145	Moat	43.7%	4160	9516
146	Trader	43.7%	3352	7676
147	Prince	43.4%	289	666
148	Envoy	43.1%	795	1843
149	Journeyman	42.2%	3005	7129
150	Baron	41.7%	3330	7984
151	Nomad Camp	41.2%	3165	7686
152	Loan	41.0%	3333	8127
153	Golem	40.4%	3032	7503
154	Feodum	40.4%	3102	7687
155	Duchess	40.1%	3117	7773
156	Possession	37.8%	2815	7452
157	Procession	37.7%	2907	7714
158	Mystic	37.5%	2926	7806
159	Bank	36.9%	3011	8149
160	Develop	36.4%	2900	7965
161	Workshop	35.3%	3286	9319
162	Cutpurse	34.9%	2719	7791
163	Library	34.6%	3242	9358
164	Armory	34.6%	2742	7935
165	Rats	34.4%	2696	7843
166	Rogue	33.2%	2520	7588
167	Venture	33.2%	2657	8002
168	Poor House	32.0%	2521	7871
169	Pillage	30.7%	2402	7815
170	Graverobber	30.7%	2381	7752
171	Fortune Teller	29.7%	2354	7919
172	Outpost	29.6%	2344	7906
173	Beggar	29.4%	2306	7840
174	Feast	29.3%	2683	9159
175	Death Cart	29.2%	2287	7828
176	Talisman	28.8%	2292	7959
177	Merchant Ship	28.7%	2278	7931
178	Spy	28.4%	2621	9243
179	Woodcutter	27.6%	2622	9506
180	Herbalist	26.2%	2061	7877
181	Secret Chamber	25.6%	2105	8235
182	Taxman	25.4%	1808	7114
183	Noble Brigand	24.9%	1939	7784
184	Masterpiece	24.6%	1797	7309
185	Tribute	23.5%	1815	7739
186	Saboteur	20.7%	1605	7772
187	Navigator	19.3%	1484	7692
188	Explorer	18.7%	1489	7943
189	Royal Seal	18.7%	1491	7994
190	Stash	16.9%	306	1811
191	Mine	16.7%	1572	9431
192	Treasure Map	16.2%	1294	7972
193	Mandarin	16.0%	1277	7998
194	Chancellor	13.7%	1305	9512
195	Bureaucrat	13.3%	1251	9395
196	Pirate Ship	12.9%	995	7705
197	Philosopher's Stone	12.1%	907	7518
198	Scout	11.2%	868	7739
199	Cache	11.2%	854	7627
200	Contraband	10.9%	865	7960
201	Coppersmith	10.2%	786	7734
202	Harvest	9.7%	759	7859
203	Thief	8.5%	777	9188
204	Counting House	8.3%	660	7916
205	Transmute	7.6%	584	7661
206	Adventurer	7.4%	684	9278

[ben_king]

$1 and $2 cost cards

Rank	Card	+/- vs. Qvist	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Chapel	0	87.6%	8408	9596
2	Squire	+3	83.4%	6452	7732
3	Hamlet	+1	83.2%	6564	7892
4	Candlestick Maker	+3	80.9%	5859	7242
5	Crossroads	+4	79.2%	6112	7713
6	Lighthouse	0	74.4%	5877	7898
7	Courtyard	-4	71.7%	5741	8005
8	Fool's Gold	-6	68.2%	5415	7936
9	Cellar	+4	67.3%	6418	9533
10	Stonemason	-2	66.2%	4883	7381
11	Haven	+1	65.8%	5152	7830
12	Vagrant	+4	65.5%	5350	8164
13	Pawn	-5	63.7%	4975	7807
14	Native Village	-4	61.2%	4781	7814
15	Pearl Diver	+5	50.2%	4021	8014
16	Embargo	-2	48.4%	3902	8059
17	Moat	0	43.7%	4160	9516
18	Duchess	+3	40.1%	3117	7773
19	Poor House	-4	32.0%	2521	7871
20	Beggar	-2	29.4%	2306	7840
21	Herbalist	-2	26.2%	2061	7877
22	Secret Chamber	0	25.6%	2105	8235

[ben_king]

$3 cost cards

Rank	Card	+/- vs. Qvist	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Fishing Village	+2	89.2%	7006	7854
2	Forager	+5	88.7%	7094	7999
3	Masquerade	-2	87.7%	7031	8015
4	Ambassador	-2	83.6%	6757	8078
5	Warehouse	+5	82.6%	6674	8084
6	Black Market	+12	80.6%	2729	3386
7	Swindler	-2	79.1%	6447	8147
8	Market Square	+5	78.9%	6162	7813
9	Hermit	0	78.3%	6232	7964
10	Steward	-6	77.7%	6282	8083
11	Menagerie	-5	77.7%	6100	7854
12	Urchin	-1	77.1%	6126	7947
13	Scheme	-1	75.6%	6016	7954
14	Shanty Town	+9	73.9%	5996	8118
15	Tunnel	+2	71.3%	5640	7913
16	Great Hall	+16	69.2%	5804	8397
17	Oasis	+2	68.0%	5305	7798
18	Village	-4	67.1%	6354	9464
19	Watchtower	-11	61.5%	4916	7990
20	Sage	+5	56.6%	4517	7987
21	Lookout	0	56.0%	4420	7888
22	Wishing Well	+2	55.4%	4504	8126
23	Doctor	-7	54.6%	3887	7124
24	Trade Route	+3	54.1%	4366	8070
25	Smugglers	+1	51.0%	4066	7965
26	Storeroom	-6	47.8%	3806	7958
27	Oracle	-12	44.9%	3521	7849
28	Loan	0	41.0%	3333	8127
29	Develop	+2	36.4%	2900	7965
30	Workshop	0	35.3%	3286	9319
31	Fortune Teller	-2	29.7%	2354	7919
32	Woodcutter	+1	27.6%	2622	9506
33	Masterpiece	-11	24.6%	1797	7309
34	Chancellor	0	13.7%	1305	9512

[ben_king]

$4 cost cards

Rank	Card	+/- vs. Qvist	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Tournament	+1	95.4%	7467	7825
2	Ironmonger	+3	87.2%	6947	7970
3	Plaza	+13	82.7%	5953	7196
4	Wandering Minstrel	+3	79.4%	6215	7828
5	Caravan	+7	78.3%	6029	7698
6	Worker's Village	+8	77.8%	6055	7778
7	Remake	-4	75.2%	5689	7566
8	JackOfAllTrades	-4	74.9%	5929	7911
9	Herald	+9	74.3%	5315	7153
10	Spice Merchant	+5	72.1%	5549	7692
11	Island	+26	70.9%	5594	7891
12	Throne Room	+5	70.5%	6517	9241
13	Conspirator	+7	69.0%	5438	7880
14	Fortress	+16	68.1%	5316	7807
15	Salvager	+6	68.0%	5357	7880
16	Mining Village	+17	66.2%	5264	7952
17	Farming Village	+11	65.8%	5103	7760
18	Marauder	-5	65.7%	5086	7739
19	Bridge	-9	65.5%	5203	7946
20	Sea Hag	-19	64.7%	5068	7829
21	Militia	-11	62.8%	5750	9161
22	Horse Traders	+2	62.7%	4972	7933
23	Monument	-15	62.2%	5001	8044
24	Gardens	+5	60.6%	5620	9271
25	Walled Village	+18	60.6%	797	1315
26	Ironworks	-4	59.9%	4832	8073
27	Bishop	-16	57.9%	4598	7935
28	Quarry	-5	56.8%	4470	7876
29	Remodel	+5	54.2%	5088	9394
30	Silk Road	+1	52.7%	4094	7772
31	Young Witch	-30	52.6%	4029	7666
32	Moneylender	-6	51.9%	4917	9466
33	Advisor	+6	50.7%	3609	7115
34	Smithy	-15	48.1%	4491	9341
35	Scavenger	-10	44.9%	3570	7958
36	Trader	+2	43.7%	3352	7676
37	Envoy	-10	43.1%	795	1843
38	Baron	-2	41.7%	3330	7984
39	Nomad Camp	+7	41.2%	3165	7686
40	Feodum	+2	40.3%	3102	7687
41	Procession	-6	37.7%	2907	7714
42	Cutpurse	-10	34.9%	2719	7791
43	Armory	-2	34.6%	2742	7935
44	Rats	+3	34.4%	2696	7843
45	Feast	+10	29.3%	2683	9159
46	Death Cart	-6	29.2%	2287	7828
47	Talisman	+1	28.8%	2292	7959
48	Spy	+3	28.4%	2621	9243
49	Taxman	-4	25.4%	1808	7114
50	Noble Brigand	-6	24.9%	1939	7784
51	Navigator	+1	19.3%	1484	7692
52	Treasure Map	+1	16.2%	1294	7972
53	Bureaucrat	-3	13.3%	1251	9395
54	Pirate Ship	-5	12.9%	995	7705
55	Scout	+2	11.2%	868	7739
56	Coppersmith	-2	10.2%	786	7734
57	Thief	-1	8.5%	777	9188

[ben_king]

$5 cost cards

Rank	Card	+/- vs. Qvist	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Governor	+7	93.0%	2417	2598
2	Wharf	+1	89.0%	7092	7965
3	Mountebank	-2	86.9%	6757	7779
4	Hunting Party	+2	81.1%	6246	7705
5	Minion	+4	80.1%	6252	7807
6	Cultist	-2	79.0%	6103	7730
7	Counterfeit	+5	78.2%	6107	7805
8	City	+29	77.0%	6146	7985
9	Butcher	+12	76.4%	5317	6954
10	Witch	-5	76.4%	7123	9323
11	Upgrade	+4	74.9%	6005	8013
12	Rebuild	-10	74.4%	5800	7800
13	Junk Dealer	-2	72.5%	5792	7984
14	Knights	+13	71.8%	5530	7698
15	Stables	+7	71.8%	5668	7896
16	Festival	+22	70.7%	6534	9245
17	Margrave	-3	70.4%	5485	7793
18	Highway	+7	70.0%	5451	7791
19	Haggler	19	69.5%	5382	7744
20	Laboratory	0	69.1%	6234	9018
21	Baker	+2	67.5%	4824	7150
22	Bazaar	+6	67.2%	5326	7930
23	Apprentice	-6	66.8%	5105	7643
24	Tactician	-8	66.2%	5214	7879
25	Bandit Camp	+5	65.2%	5279	8096
26	Soothsayer	-8	65.0%	4617	7100
27	Inn	+16	61.7%	4816	7810
28	Market	+12	61.3%	5720	9327
29	Torturer	-21	59.9%	4663	7782
30	Ill-Gotten Gains	-20	59.9%	4591	7664
31	Count	+1	59.8%	4607	7700
32	Ghost Ship	-20	58.6%	4550	7760
33	Merchant Guild	+8	55.5%	3869	6972
34	Jester	0	52.5%	4023	7658
35	Embassy	-11	48.7%	3734	7669
36	Cartographer	+3	47.9%	3623	7556
37	Duke	-11	47.7%	3731	7823
38	Council Room	+4	47.7%	4444	9326
39	Rabble	-6	47.3%	3701	7832
40	Vault	-11	46.6%	3677	7888
41	Catacombs	-5	46.4%	3568	7685
42	Mint	+11	46.1%	3655	7936
43	Trading Post	+6	45.3%	3585	7907
44	Band of Misfits	0	45.2%	3457	7646
45	Treasury	+3	44.2%	3424	7743
46	Horn of Plenty	-15	44.0%	3409	7750
47	Journeyman	-12	42.2%	3005	7129
48	Mystic	-2	37.5%	2926	7806
49	Library	-4	34.6%	3242	9358
50	Rogue	+4	33.2%	2520	7588
51	Venture	-1	33.2%	2657	8002
52	Pillage	-1	30.7%	2402	7815
53	Graverobber	-1	30.7%	2381	7752
54	Outpost	+2	29.6%	2344	7906
55	Merchant Ship	-8	28.7%	2278	7931
56	Tribute	-1	23.5%	1815	7739
57	Saboteur	+4	20.7%	1605	7772
58	Explorer	0	18.7%	1489	7943
59	Royal Seal	+1	18.7%	1491	7994
60	Stash	+2	16.9%	306	1811
61	Mine	-2	16.7%	1572	9431
62	Mandarin	-5	16.0%	1277	7998
63	Cache	+1	11.2%	854	7627
64	Contraband	-1	10.9%	865	7960
65	Harvest	0	9.7%	759	7859
66	Counting House	0	8.3%	660	7916

[ben_king]

$6+ cost cards

Rank	Card	+/- vs. Qvist	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Border Village	+3	89.3%	6708	7512
2	Goons	0	88.4%	7053	7979
3	King's Court	-2	80.8%	6276	7769
4	Nobles	+2	78.8%	6284	7978
5	Grand Market	-2	75.8%	6179	8156
6	Peddler	+1	72.8%	5649	7755
7	Altar	-2	59.7%	4726	7916
8	Hoard	+1	58.2%	4765	8182
9	Farmland	+6	54.6%	4263	7812
10	Expand	+4	48.4%	3848	7957
11	Fairgrounds	-3	47.5%	3749	7892
12	Harem	+1	46.7%	3687	7902
13	Hunting Grounds	-3	45.0%	3515	7805
14	Forge	-2	43.9%	3496	7970
15	Prince	n/a	43.4%	289	666
16	Bank	-5	36.9%	3011	8149
17	Adventurer	-1	7.3%	684	9278

[ben_king]

Potion cost cards

Rank	Card	+/- vs. Qvist	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Scrying Pool	0	67.3%	5142	7634
2	University	+4	64.9%	4919	7574
3	Familiar	-1	60.0%	4553	7592
4	Alchemist	0	52.9%	3986	7534
5	Vineyard	-2	47.2%	3578	7588
6	Apothecary	-1	47.1%	3570	7575
7	Golem	0	40.4%	3032	7503
8	Possession	0	37.8%	2815	7452
9	Philosopher's Stone	0	12.1%	907	7518
10	Transmute	0	7.6%	584	7661

[ben_king]

Prizes

Rank	Card	+/- vs. Qvist	% games gained	# games gained	# games available
1	Followers	0	43.1%	3372	7825
2	Trusty Steed	0	43.1%	3369	7825
3	Princess	0	30.7%	2402	7825
4	Bag of Gold	0	18.9%	1479	7825
5	Diadem	0	15.8%	1240	7825

[theory]

Do you distinguish between voluntary gain and forced gain (i.e., Swindler)?  Doubt it'll have much impact but mostly just curious.  Throwing in the base cards (Copper, Curse, Estate, etc.) might be interesting too.

[HiveMindEmulator]

Thanks for doing this! It's always fun to see this kind of stuff!

One issue with this particular analysis at least in terms of comparing it to Qvist's lists is that how often you gain a cards is not the same as how good you think it is. For example, cards you buy in the late game, like VP cards you may buy in a lot of games, but for not much impact, since you never actually draw the card.

The couple obvious major trends I see are:
1. Villages are much higher than ranked. I think this is because people don't think of the villages as being that important. There are so many villages and they are all about the same. But really, they are really important most of the time they show up.
2. Some attacks are much lower than ranked. The attacks feel super important because they affect the way you approach the game, but a lot of the time, you don't actually need to buy the attack. It's role was really just to discourage certain strategies (in particular strategies that don't build enough before greening to withstand the potential attack).

[Mic Qsenoch]

It's worth keeping in mind that Qvist's lists include a lot of rankings from players not in the top 100. He puts some weight based on player rank but I don't know what the formula is.

[Jack Rudd]

There are also some cards that are very board-sensitive. Torturer is a good example; it's really good when there are Villages and nothing special when there aren't, so it's bought only some of the time. But when it's good, it's really good, and the Qvist rankings are basing its place on that.

[ben_king]

Do you distinguish between voluntary gain and forced gain (i.e., Swindler)?  Doubt it'll have much impact but mostly just curious.  Throwing in the base cards (Copper, Curse, Estate, etc.) might be interesting too.

I don't currently have a way of differentiating those two simply from the information in the logs, especially because sometimes the forced gain is desired, a la Border Village or Catacombs.  But I expect that the effect is quite minor, especially since the majority of forced gains in attacks are with base cards.

[liopoil]

All the copper cards are underrated, apothecary and cache the most criminally. Cache is below scout and apothecary is below 131 other cards... copper is an excellent card, people!

Edit: for games with 2 top 100 players, did you count both?

[Tables]

One big effect you have to bear in mind is that some cards are ones you can easily add in to a deck, or which can feature in lots of different strategies in small ways - for example, most cantrips. Others, such as many terminals, tend to be bought because they're more important and significant.

Have a look at which cards have gained and which have lost places. There's exceptions, obviously, but mostly non-terminals (and especially cantrips) have gained places, while terminals have lost them.

[Awaclus]

I don't know what the formula is.

Let's ask AI!

[liopoil]

How many different kingdom cards are bought on average? Looks like 5 or 6. Also looks like only about say 15% of boards are BM boards, given the frequency that cards that are always bad in BM are bought.

[Jack Rudd]

Have a look at which cards have gained and which have lost places. There's exceptions, obviously, but mostly non-terminals (and especially cantrips) have gained places, while terminals have lost them.

Biggest gains:

$1/2 Pearl Diver +5
$3 Great Hall +16
$4 Island +26
$5 City +29
$6+ Farmland +6
$P University +4

Everything in that list is either a non-terminal or a victory card, and Great Hall is both.

Biggest losses:

$2 Fool's Gold -6
$3 Oracle -12
$4 Young Witch -30
$5 Torturer -21
$6+ Bank -5
$P Vineyard -2

Three terminal Attacks, two kingdom treasures and Vineyard.
 

[Tables]

Just doing some quick and dirty analysis, I worked out the average number of ranks gained by being (non) terminal with this method, and got the following numbers:

Non terminals gained ~4.3 ranks
Terminals lost ~2.8 ranks

So that one simple fact accounts for quite a bit. Like I said, this analysis was very quick and I make a lot of simplifications (I ignored all victory and treasure cards, as well as some, uh, variably terminal cards like Throne Room or Tribute, without removing the ranks they affected, and I'm using all the cards (except potion costs) when there's different numbers of cards of each cost, which messes things around) - but I think the point it makes is clear. Or perhaps it isn't. You could argue that people, on the whole, undervalue non-terminals... but I'd say it's just that non-terminals are easier to fit into more decks, and can be bought in larger quantities more easily.

[Jack Rudd]

Non terminals gained ~4.3 ranks
Terminals lost ~2.8 ranks

Villages probably gained even more than the ~4.3 they get for being non-terminal; there are only two that lost (Native Village and Village).

[Mic Qsenoch]

I don't know what the formula is.

Let's ask AI!

He wouldn't know! Because I'm talking about the formula Qvist uses to create his ranking list, he weights votes based on iso level.

[liopoil]

I don't know what the formula is.

Let's ask AI!

He wouldn't know! Because I'm talking about the formula Qvist uses to create his ranking list, he weights votes based on iso level.

Yes. AI is well known for having reverse-engineered the goko rating system which supposedly "can't be put into a formula". Awaclus is referencing that, saying that AI could reverse-engineer the formula Qvist uses to create his ranking lists. This is funny because one would not normally ask AI about Qvist's list; you would just ask Qvist. Now you can surely better appreciate Awaclus' joke because I have explained it to you.

[werothegreat]

I'm rather surprised that Plaza is the most bought Guilds card.

[Mic Qsenoch]

I don't know what the formula is.

Let's ask AI!

He wouldn't know! Because I'm talking about the formula Qvist uses to create his ranking list, he weights votes based on iso level.

Yes. AI is well known for having reverse-engineered the goko rating system which supposedly "can't be put into a formula". Awaclus is referencing that, saying that AI could reverse-engineer the formula Qvist uses to create his ranking lists. This is funny because one would not normally ask AI about Qvist's list; you would just ask Qvist. Now you can surely better appreciate Awaclus' joke because I have explained it to you.

These explanation "jokes" are worse than spam. But I do like Awaclus' post now that I get it.

[Titandrake]

I'm surprised Adventurer/Transmute even made 7%. Like, really? I suppose ~1 out of 14 games is still pretty rare.

Apothecary also feels too low, although I love that card. Cache feels correct, note that it's really hard to justify outside of slogs.

Border Village > Goons is also really surprising to me. Both cards are really nice and likely to get picked up, but I find it hard to believe Goons is more skippable than BV. My guess is that when greening late game, people do BV -> gain Duchy on $6 and that skews it just enough to edge out Goons.