Ok, let's start with some theory on how I do scumhunting day 1. Fact is, and I already quoted that in some previous game, statistics shows that day 1 lynch is pretty random, i. e. expected value of hitting scum is about expected value of player being scum. Also I think that we can't say "this player is def town"/"this player is def scum" about really good players like ash or Robz. Because if we can say that and be right then we can also find opposite in games where they are scum, and hence, they would not be really good players. So I prefer to have some notes on such players but do not consider them for lynch pool/def town pool unless they do something really off (and I suspect ash cannot surprise me by now)
Next, I would assume there are about 3.1 scum in setup, so average player is about 26% scummy and 74% towny for me (as I know I am town)
So, flavor. It was mentioned in setup that flavor and aligment are independent. It really makes no sense for any of currently revealed characters to ally themselves with Grejoy. Jon Snow allying himself with apparent killers of his apparent brothers? Melisandre (that's me), servant of R'Hllor, which allies herself with servant of Drowned God (fire vs water, yes) abandoning apparent reincarnation of Azor Ahai? Barristan Selmy, who participated in Pyke battle and who's main concern always was realm? Briene of Thart, who tries to prove that woman can be knight, would abandon her honor? So yes, flavor names are obviosuly irrelevant to alignment, so fact that someone claims your alignment should not bother you would you be scum or town. So reacting in non-nervous way here is what one would do. Still I would give some town points because WW as scum may panic for no apparent reason, so I'd go with about 17% scum/83% town for him
Reads on others later
PPE: 5