7301
Dominion General Discussion / Re: Familiar vs Witch?
« on: November 02, 2012, 09:13:31 pm »
OR? Why not both?
cool, while catching up I see Dsell's not coming off scummy for that post. Even town can be wrong,, that's somethign that f.DS seems to forget a lot.
Delaying the night kill is stupid.
If we lynch scum today, and galz says he's going to target me. If no kill happens, then you guys will lynch me, see I'm town, and we're in the same situation as would have been if scum had just NK'd someone else. You're trading one scum directed kill for another.
Nah, it's even better with Duchy, it just means the other player is also an insanity wolf.
There's no "Insanity Wolf vs Insanity Wolf" image...
with a bit more consensus i'd be happy to.
So it makes sense for Galz to claim a target IF AND ONLY IF we lynch scum. If there's two scum out there, claiming a target just tells them which one of them should perform the kill/who they should avoid targeting (depending on if the announced target is scum or town).
Obviously we won't know if we lynch scum until the thread is locked - ergo he should not announce.
Here's a topic to discuss.
There's no doctor, so the mafia's gonna shoot Galzria or the person he confirms as town (assuming Galz didn't cop scum) tonight. Obviously Galz is gonna jailkeep someone since he probably won't get another use of his power.
Should he announce who he plans to jailkeep before the day is over? If he does, and there is a NK, then we have no info on the jailed person's alignment (unless we lynch mafia today, and then that person would be confirmed town). However, if there is no kill, that suggests that the person Galzria jailed is the mafia killer, and that person should be the next lynch.
However, this gives mafia the chance to WIFOM the town by not killing anyone (and thus attempting to frame whoever Galz jailed). This is very risky for mafia for two reasons: 1. There will still be two confirmed townies running around (again, assuming Galz found a townie last night) on day 3, and 2. Galzria has a 50% chance of blocking mafia anyway if we lynch town and a 25% chance of blocking mafia if we lynch mafia, so deciding not to perform a kill could implicate them anyway.
I think that, in light of this, it seems too risky for the mafia not to kill. Therefore, I think the best plan is for Galz to announce who he's going to jail before the day is over. Even if we lynch town, he should have at least a 25% chance of blocking the mafia kill (6 players at end of day, 1 confirmed townie + himself = 4 targets for jailkeeping), and better if his reads are good.
Discuss.
You should also tell us your reads, considering they'll be coming from a confirmed Townie.
Food for thought: Did Robz really need to protect Galz? If he said he would, but then didnt, and targeted someone else, would Scum take the risk of targeting Galz? I think no.
Of course, Robz did die. So matter who he would of chosen, it wouldnt have prevented his death.
I do wonder if he did target Galz, or just blufffed he would and target someone else. Gotta ask him post-game if that ever crossed his mind.
In his shoes, I would've protected me about 10% of the time, and just planned on taking the raging I would receive if I got it wrong.
Also I dont think Jorbles is making Archetype vote for himself over a quoting fail