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« on: December 17, 2021, 01:16:45 pm »
Vote: scolapasta
So the last page did a lot to reassure me that changing my mind was the best course of action there. Faust passing up the hammer finally convinced me that he's town enough to get over my doubts for now.
The fact that after most of the discussion not one person was willing to just straight up say they preferred exiling fang to scola suggests to me that scum accepted the fact that scola was a lost cause and that they needed to distance themselves to not get caught as partners as easily. In fact the closest anyone really got to leaning fang was Didds, who--until I asked point blank--was very hesitant to commit one way or the other. Of course, one could try to argue that all of the scum team saying they are ok with exiling a person at EoL (or whatever we are technically at) means we are on town, but subjectively I've seen myself and my scum partners in past games both pile on the 3rd partner when it looks like that person is a lost cause just to avoid being easily seen as a partner.
After thinking about it more, Scola's claim reminds me so much of the time I was scum, got to the point of only needing one misexile to win, and I claimed some kind of result that would force a 1v1 against one of the scummier-looking townies, and I promptly went from being heavily townread to pretty much everyone's top scumread, and I was correctly exiled that day. Whoever pointed out that scola's claim basically chose the safest possible 1v1 target is probably right.
Re: Scola's next to last post about the wagon build up. One thing you miss by pointing out that they almost got the last vote from Didds is that joth literally told her not to vote in order to wait for the IC when I still hadn't said I was scumreading you. I said I had made up my mind but wouldn't vote until X-1. I didn't say it would be on you or that it wasn't going to be fang. If the entire scum team was on one wagon and they told the first townie to express intent to hammer not to do it, then they deserve the win.
Scola points out EFHW joining with bad logic. I actually think that very well might be a bus vote, because until I laid out very clearly why scola and fang couldn't both be town, EFHW was trying to keep that possibility alive when everyone else had seemed to already recognize that it couldn't be the case.
All the arguments about Didds being partners with scola were convincing to me, so that should be an autoexile tomorrow if the game goes that long as long as fang has a chance to post their results from the night (assuming we hit roleblocker!scola today). faust and joth are town, and I really don't think fang and scola could realistically be partners, and if they are, that's almost as bad as misreading your role pm lol. It's also ironic to me that the people I've come to believe are town are exactly the three people scola, my former biggest townread, claims is the scumteam. If I'm wrong, then at least I'm going to be wrong to an almost absurd degree.
