26
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M113: sufjan stevens (day 1)
« on: February 13, 2018, 04:39:01 pm »
Completely forgot about this. Will catch up shortly.
Even the day one lynch was really bad, it was so clearly scum driven because nothing happened all day and it was impossible to get more than 3 people to commit to anything then all the sudden five people were happy to lynch joseph.
ugh robz is so scum based on wagons movementand deadness
That reads list by gkrieg is scummy.
————
I appreciate theo’s analysis. He didn’t include some details which don’t seem super important (like if I’m scum, there’s a guarantee that Town dies on hammer, but if I’m town then we do have a chance to kill scum) but actually matter when trying to determine what info Theo has.
I think the fact that Theo takes as a given that my Lynch results in an extra Town death means one of: 1) we are both scum and he knows none of our team will hammer; 2) he is scum and the team discussed making sure they don’t hammer; 3) he somehow forgot to take it into consideration.
You all can make your own decisions, but I think #3 is least likely, and I actually know I’m Town.
If Theo is mastermind scum here, he’s setting up multiple mislynches plus directing a possible weak visitor to get a free additional NK.
Something to consider.
I think (though I could be wrong), that by the time I included town-possibilities for anybody, I had already established that we should only lynch scum-ash last. So, I wasn't super-concerned with what happened with town-ash, since we shouldn't lynch you this early, even if you're scum. If you want some future game advice...um lynch ash if you think he's scum, and there's only 1 scum left. If you're at 4v1, then there's room to make a mistake. If you're at 2v1, make the scummier player hammer him.
Or we could agree to lynch ash, then vote on a hammerer and lynch the hammerer if they refuse.
I just don't have the time to reread this game, so I guess I should vote becuase I'm not helping matters here.
I think strongly theorel is town. I can't make sense of the IDPTG/Galz thing. It doesn't make sense for a scumteam to shoot Galz, I know that. I think the easier explanation is they're both town.
Mainly, what I think about day 2 is that scum was hanging back and let us bury ourselves. So mostly ash, but also Robz. Actually feel stronger about Robz, so vote: Robz
Why do you feel stronger about Robz?
I had a bad feeling when the lynch went through so easily yesterday. It seems like we are doing what scum wants us to be doing.
This gives me the scums. It doesn't really offer anything, and tries to put blame on other people.
My guess is EFHW was killed because she was possibly a strong PR, not because her reads were either really good or really bad or something.After thinking more, I agree with this. Given mass-claim, scum knows exactly who to target based on role. They killed the doctor first, then the full-time Tracker.
It's sort of interesting EFHW got killed instead of Teproc, though.
Regarding killing with good reads, I think it probably happens more late-game. Galz in M100 did that, right? i.e. he killed O, even though O thought he was town? I mostly just looked over post-game. I think scum more frequently avoids killing people with good reads out of paranoia, even though it's usually the better move, because people will seldom rethink their reads based on surviving.
Would be really great if someone had useful info.