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Mafia Game Threads / Re: RMM8 Innovation Inc. (Day 2!)
« on: July 10, 2013, 12:51:43 pm »TA:
So, if we then add in nkirbit's argument in favor of Xeiron being scum, what do you think of the odds of a theorel/Ahoppy/Xeiron case?
Because nkirbit makes a pretty good argument, here. And I agree that it's possible that the tesla/edison rivalry doesn't necessarily implicate shraeye as scum - since we haven't hit any mafia yet, it's hard to guess at their overall theme.
unvote
Well, my most recent post should make my thoughts on that clear. But I don't think that's the team! Although the first two wouldn't surprise me.
I find it fishy that you're continually naming teams, though. It's as if you're giving people three targets to choose from that aren't you!
Do you think all 3 scum were on wagon for mail-mi?
1) I agree, your recent post made that clear as day.
2) As far as naming teams, I'm getting a lot of benefit from understanding your opinion on why each team would or would not work. Perhaps not so useful for this game, but long-term I'm learning quite a bit about the current f.ds meta from the responses and it's helping me work towards better opinions. I don't have any major gut-check in this game saying "this guy is definitely scum" and that's what I rely on, so this is basically how I scumhunt - by throwing something out there and reading the reflections on my statement from others, until somebody says something that clicks in my head.
3) I think that because f.ds meta currently says you should try 1 on, 2 off or 2 on, 1 off, that it's more likely than not that a very well-played scum team was either all-on or all-off. We've done quite a bit of team theory today over the idea that scum wasn't all on any given wagon, so if I were scum I'd be whole hog on the wagons up until today.
Fair enough
Well, we know that a 3-man scum team wasn't all off, so that would leave all on. Personally I know that we have at least 2 scum on, and possibly 3, depending on SHraeye's alignment. I think the fact that we have at least 2 on is also supported by the fact that the scum kill was off-wagon, not on-wagon (they didn't want to narrow down the pool of on-wagon people to be chosen as lynch targets). This may be irrelevant and Raerae was killed because she was really towny, but I think it's worth noting.
Logical.
I know the case is flimsy, but I still think Shraeye is likely scum (particularly given the "Huh, Tesla and Edison were rivals? That explains this thing that I can't talk about but I'm totally not scum" reaction). I'm just not sold enough on it to keep my vote there, if we can make a stronger case elsewhere.