I'm confused. Is this Dominion-related, or forum games related?Yes it is. (Also, I just PMed you.)
I don't think you understand the dangers in lynching me over the other moron.
And I don't think you see why that's not an option.
Your claim is crazy. You expect us to believe you're some kind of madman cop, which I think means you're one of those ... what's the word? Jester? Joker? Sad fact, all you've done is make it likely you'll be killed by scum.
I've tried hard to gather all the evidence together, and you're clearly scum. You've tried calling me evil, maligning my efforts in an attempt to make yourself look townier, but it's all for naught!
Well look who's been eating the vigilante veal today! (It's better than the PGO pork, at least.) I had you picked as the star hippie in this game, but maybe I was wrong.
I don't understand a word you're saying. When did they start doping your drinks?
Frankly, I'm happier it's down to you two. If your claim is true, then the effects upstream are easy enough to deal with.
After a bit of analysis, here's what I've got:
Sam - probably scum.
*De-Ann - so very townie.
Iris - scum scum scum.
Jean- townie, maybe?
Alex - probable independent.
*Dave - town, I suppose.
Harry - town-ish.
Gilda - still hasn't said enough for me to say.
Extra thanks to the starred heros who I'm sure will meet their end sooner rather than later. As for the rest of you, I've got nothing to say since I don't want to print naughty stuff when I don't have to
Well, it looks like I'm not going to be around much longer, but if chance permits me to survive to the next day, I hope I won't be tarred with the same brush as Iris.
After yesterday's results, I feel like I am alienated from the rest of the players. I assume it's not due to my risque writing style, but maybe I shouldn't have referred to Jean as a "Regal lovebird" or whatever it was. In any case, Alex can clearly reclaim his role without fear of retribution.
If that's the way it's going to be, then fine - your fates are sealed. I hope you recall this later when the scum wins!
The fact is, Jean lurked for the whole of D1. If this tars me with the reputation of being a lurker lyncher, then so be it. If this were my game, I wouldn't just lamely mod it any which way, I'd make sure you posted when you were supposed to!
Fou (Madman): Man, but these French are literal!I can just imagine the crazy guy wandering through the woods. Really, I pity le Fou.
Escroc (Swindler): Just a fun word to say!Is this related to the English word Escrow? Because now I'm worried that I'm asking Swindlers to hold onto my money. (And Google tells me that no, they're false cognates, although I can't find anything saying that they don't have the same origins.)
Which would explain how Tanto Cuore got popular - being Dominion + maids + some extra mechanics would be a winning formula over there, and I was told (admittedly by someone trying to sell me the game) that it's the #1 selling fixed set card game in Japan (so presumably less popular than CCGs like Yugioh, but apparently even better than Touhouminion)....I also wouldn't have expected Dominion to be popular enough over there to be acknowledged next to those other ones!
Dominion is pretty popular in Japan; IIRC Jay told me that it's third in sales behind the US and Germany. That's not bad, and Japanese board game publishers reskin it with Touhou and anime themes to appeal to a broader audience.
So your PPR often turns into PPPR (penultimate-penultimate-province-rule).You mean the APPR - Antepenultimate Province Rule? If you make it to the PAPPR (Preantepenultimate Province Rule), then you've got some wonderful mindgames going on.
I bet you've got a bootleg copy of Kingdom Builder stuck on some cardboard too, you rebel.I am worse; I printed a home made B&W versionDude, I did the same thing.
Now, there hasn't been a good handheld Zelda since Minish Cap...I found Phantom Glass to be not-terrible and Spirit Tracks to be moderately-better, but I can also be annoying and point out Ocarina of Time 3DS (which I just finished, and will come back to for Master Quest later)
Well we can use the math behind trueskill to estimate the winning chance. I looked and found that the beta parameter is defined as the skill difference at which the stronger player wins 80% of the time. Generalizing that, the chance to win would be 4^(skilldiff/beta)/(4^skilldiff/beta+1). This is a little overly simplistic, I think, because it ignores the draw chance and uncertainty parameter. But whatever. Beta for isotropic is set to 25.Deconstructing the ranking scheme for a card game to work out the chance of winning? Dude, you think too much.
So if a 48 plays a 15, you'd expect a win rate of 86.2%. For a 15 vs a 0, you'd expect a win rate of 69.7%
EDIT: I found a better resource for trueskill here http://jmlr.csail.mit.edu/papers/volume12/weng11a/weng11a.pdf
They say that the cumulative distribution function follows a logistic distribution of the funtion (skilldiff/(sqrt(1/2)*beta), assuming beta is the same for both players, which it is here. The CDF is then 1/(1+exp(skilldiff*sqrt(2)/beta)) which looks like this： http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=plot+1%2F%281%2Bexp%28-x%2F%2825%2F1.41%29%29%29+from+-50+to+50
So for 48 vs 15, you get a 86.54% and 15 vs 0 is 69.97%, which is pretty close to my previous estimation.
If someone offered you $50 immediately or a 50/50 shot at either losing $100 or winning $250, you should take the 50/50 shot, as its EV is $75, $25 more than taking the $50.Except that in terms of expected utility, for most people the guaranteed $50 is worth more than the chance of losing $100, never mind how much they stand to win. So the question then becomes "How much is a win worth to you?" which, I agree, can be put in terms of ranking points (as well as the value of gaining versus losing those points).
How does a Horn of Plenty megaturn work?Quite poorly, usually.
If Young Witch is in the selected set of ten, then a Bane is chosen at random from the remaining $2- and $3-cost cards. Cards that were vetoed won't be chosen as the Bane.
I could see Dixit being pretty fun in an electronic format. I suppose it *could* be done in a forum if the moderator inserts the images or URLs of each picture and then manages the PMs using those pictures. That seems like a lot of work for the moderator though.It's got quite a nice iOS implementation. It works pretty much as you describe, except that you record the clues through the microphone so you can allow for things that aren't easily typed.
I think it could make for a fun online game, though. You go into a lobby, and when the game starts, you are presented with your cards. The storyteller is given a text box to enter the information and then selects his card. All others are then submitted with votes being done very simply.
It could be fun online. Not sure if it'd be worth a forum game. Makes it a little harder to play surreptitiously at work.
