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Dominion General Discussion / Re: Interpreting Popular Buys: or, Why Does Money Hate Me?
« on: June 16, 2011, 07:49:16 am »rappy old Saboteur.
But it doesn't seem like it's that often that I go for that sort of gambit and win … or does it?
Doesn't matter how often you do this. The "win without" only counts the cases where you didn't buy it, and gives you the win chance given that you didn't bought. And as you told, if you didn't buy gold, you have a good reason for it, so you expect to have a higher win chance.
So what does it tell you? If you assume there is some continuity (which must not really be given) you could think that you are a little to "conservative" in your playstyle and might more often consider skipping gold, also insetups which "a little less" benefits from it.
On the other hand one could argue that there might be a phase transition in setups which clearly favour skipping gold to the ones which need gold. In this case you either
a) are better in spotting to which of the two one a given setup belongs...
or b) are better in playing these setups ...
... than your "average" playing skill suggests. In this case you should probably not care about these "gold-issue" but improve other parts of the game, to improve your skill in other parts of the game.
tldr: I don't know.