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Messages - luckat

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1
Forum Games / Re: Should this subforum be visible to guests?
« on: August 11, 2018, 04:36:20 am »
I don't really have a stake in this, but for what it's worth, it looks like the original reason the forum games were hidden was to keep the large number of Mafia posts from overwhelming the RSS feeds. I'm not sure if the topic has been seriously revisited since then and other good reasons to keep this subforum hidden came up. (The post your picture thread was moved here in the first place because this subforum was hidden from guests and isn't much of a reason to keep it invisible as long as there's somewhere else for that thread.)

2
Mafia Game Threads / Re: RMM42: Space Alert Mafia (Day 1)
« on: January 26, 2018, 01:27:18 am »
Oh, this game started. I need to reread the setup.

3
Dominion League / Re: Season 25 - Results
« on: January 20, 2018, 03:10:06 am »
I'm going to sit out for next season.

4
Dominion League / Re: Season 25 - Results
« on: December 28, 2017, 05:44:00 pm »
C1: luckat 4 - 2 xyrix

5
Forum Games / Re: BM26 Cryptography Mafia (4 spots left!)
« on: December 24, 2017, 09:09:00 pm »
Back /in

7
Dominion League / Re: Season 24 - Results
« on: November 25, 2017, 12:24:05 am »
I’ll be back for next season.

8
Dominion League / Re: Season 24 - Results
« on: November 22, 2017, 09:54:38 pm »
D4: luckat 3.5 - 2.5 Launchywiggin

9
Dominion League / Re: Season 24 - Results
« on: November 05, 2017, 04:54:22 pm »
D4: luckat 4 - 2 Wrobbe

10
Forum Games / Re: BM26 Cryptography Mafia (4 spots left!)
« on: October 30, 2017, 08:47:39 pm »
/out sorry, the next month or two would not be a good time for me to get involved in a game.

11
/out sorry, the next month or two would not be a good time for me to get involved in a game.

12
Dominion League / Re: Season 24 - Standings
« on: October 25, 2017, 09:39:33 pm »

13
Dominion League / Re: Season 23 - Results
« on: September 09, 2017, 06:24:46 pm »
I'll return for the next season.

14
Dominion League / Re: Season 23 - Results
« on: August 28, 2017, 10:29:29 pm »
C1: Felendis 4 - 2 luckat

15
Dominion League / Re: Season 23 - Results
« on: August 19, 2017, 03:41:51 pm »
C1: luckat 3 - 3 Micah1980

16
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (Game Over!)
« on: August 05, 2017, 11:54:53 pm »
luckat is MVP!

It is impressive to call 2/3 of the scum team in few posts, and I'm not the biggest fan of giving MVPs based on PR results because I feel like they are lucky a lot of the time.
Congrats, luckat!

Thanks! Good game everyone.

17
Forum Games / Re: BM26 Cryptography Mafia
« on: August 04, 2017, 03:38:38 pm »
/in

b61c476ec8362a0da7f153833c6ea9af68a5f5cb4a68e525b0407e27c9314314ef964e50db6e6623
21ac1d23df5a12e4a85c8a0b0ab9941be09eb6da223c07268e90fc3798e493f3465447830dfc2971
11201e0ed1b51c2500da0d97b1f7e624f51aa1319619caaec5f27e1aa1bc5795c2a8dbc9e5c8f3c6
895653e20f6d29ed

18
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M106: Night Vale Mafia (2 spots left)
« on: August 04, 2017, 03:38:18 pm »
/tag

19
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (D3)
« on: August 02, 2017, 10:56:51 pm »
And Jake should share his target. If they get doctored by scum then they become an IC.

Jake? Assuming you mean Dylan, I agree with this. That way if his kill is blocked, we know who he attacked even if Dylan is killed. Of course, that's assuming we know there's at least one town PR shot left. There probably is, but do we know for sure that the additional shot we got from Space's death can't have been used the same night we got it?

Okay, yeah, I asked gkrieg and he said that since deaths happen last, the shot from Space's death can't have been used already. So we know our PRs have at least one shot left. So if Dylan says ahead of time who he plans to kill we have a guaranteed win regardless of whether he dies and whether the kill is blocked.

20
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (D3)
« on: August 02, 2017, 09:21:38 pm »
Just noticed you said you were lucky. But can you elaborate a bit?

Well, if you want elaboration, IDP was basically RVS and a response to him voting me, not real suspicion. I was honestly pretty surprised when he turned out to be scum. As for schadd, I did give reasons for voting him, but he wasn't necessarily a better vote from the information I had than anyone else who was off wagon, except possibly Cuzz since he already had plenty of votes and I thought it would be good for us to look at more than just one person. And it was also lucky that others joined both my votes.

And Jake should share his target. If they get doctored by scum then they become an IC.

But preferably we just lynch scum today for the flawless victory

Jake? Assuming you mean Dylan, I agree with this. That way if his kill is blocked, we know who he attacked even if Dylan is killed. Of course, that's assuming we know there's at least one town PR shot left. There probably is, but do we know for sure that the additional shot we got from Space's death can't have been used the same night we got it?

And yeah, hopefully we can just lynch scum today., although, I'm not sure it's quite a flawless victory given the vig killed a townie.

21
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (D3)
« on: August 02, 2017, 08:13:02 pm »
Also. Luckat has been amazing. I say we wait for luckat to place a vote then just all sheep that.

Thanks, but I've really just been lucky. Not sure how long that luck can last.

Dylan obviously keep who you are shooting to yourself because even if you hit a townie that the mafia doesn't doctor we auto win.

Again I would suggest random.org to remove any potential mafia advantage of WIFOMing your posts/reads.

Mafia would have to do the same. so it would be 1/3*1/3=0.1111. So we have a 0.8888 chance of winning outright and the case of the 0.1111 we would still have a good chance of hitting the mafia themselves based off reads/etc.

If I were mafia, I would be tempted to white flag it here, but ultimately wouldn't (let down to team members even if odds are long). As town, I would just prefer to get it over with sooner rather than later. But do anticipate being the lynch unfortunately.

The math here looks wrong. If Dylan shoots randomly, he has a 2/3 chance of hitting town, and scum has a 1/2 chance of hitting the same town (since they can't protect themselves anyway so they only have two possible targets) and blocking the kill, so the chance of no kill is 2/3*1/2=0.3333. So it's only a 0.6666 chance of winning outright.


I'm actually considering the possibility that Dylan should say who he plans to shoot. Just trying to type out what I'm thinking and see if it makes sense.

22
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (D2)
« on: July 29, 2017, 09:59:29 pm »
Okay. I just have a bias that finds him scummy.

TWM is also towny for me. 

Could literally lynch anyone else.

The real vig would have shot him if he was giving a false claim (or should have if he's not mentally challenged).

Except then the doctor would have protected him, thereby wasting a town PR shot. (I do think the real vig would have come forward by now if Dylan wasn't it.)

Point taken, but its not a Doc, its a JKer.

Umm, I meant the scum doc would have protected the fake vig from the real vig. (Granted, it would have meant an extra scum shot used too, and a town shot only would have been wasted if the real vig thought like you, but this is all hypothetical anyway.)

23
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (D2)
« on: July 29, 2017, 08:41:15 pm »
Okay. I just have a bias that finds him scummy.

TWM is also towny for me. 

Could literally lynch anyone else.

The real vig would have shot him if he was giving a false claim (or should have if he's not mentally challenged).

Except then the doctor would have protected him, thereby wasting a town PR shot. (I do think the real vig would have come forward by now if Dylan wasn't it.)

24
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (D2)
« on: July 28, 2017, 01:35:39 am »
I don't have time right now to post much, and I'm going to be busy this weekend, so sorry in advance if I don't say much.

I doubt both remaining scum were on the IDP wagon: I'd guess either there's one on and one off or both off. So looking most closely at those who were off is a good idea (for today, at least). That means Cuzz, schadd, e, TWM, and mcmcsalot.

I've been getting townie vibes from TWM and I was for mcmcsalot too, at least earlier (I probably need to reread D1 though), so I'd rather look at the others first.

Cuzz looks a bit suspicious, as other have pointed out, but he already has three votes on him.

e wasn't really on much toward the end of D1. He only voted for schadd during D1, at that without real explanation. I'm not really suspicious of him, but I'm not really townreading him either.

schadd had a single vote on QS all of D1, never changing it. He was present for the wagon, and, well, there's this post shortly before Dylan hammered:

yeah intent

i kind of want to be not voting him because i think he will flip town and then people will observe "hey, schadd wasn't voting for that guy who was town" though

It just seems weird to me. Like, if he's town, he's saying he'll push the lynch through on someone he mistakenly thinks is town, while also thinking about how he'll look afterward. But if he's scum, he's trying to make it look like he's town by being wrong about the upcoming flip and expressing willingness to lynch someone who will be revealed as scum, while also avoiding actually voting for his partner. I'm mostly just confused by him right now.

vote: schadd


I feel like I shouldn't just ignore the people who were on the wagon, but I'm too tired to look at them right now.


Anyway, on another topic:

Yes. I apologize. I had missed that rule. I should have written them in a PM to myself instead.

No, you shouldn't have done that at all. That's exactly what the rule is designed to prevent.

Wait, there's a rule against composing and storing a post in a place only you have access to and posting it later? Because that's what it looks like Awaclus is saying here. I thought that rule was designed to prevent proving the role/alignment the mod gave you or proving in-game communication with other people based on exact wording or something similar.

25
Mafia Game Threads / Re: M104: Mafia Games Mafia (D1)
« on: July 24, 2017, 01:40:38 am »
Would someone make a real case against robz instead of just voting and/or saying they think he's scummy...

Well, I went back and reread Robz. Here's the main things I noticed from him:
  • He was the first to bring up setup discussion.
  • He posted some reads, including that he though TWM was town.
  • He got kind of defensive when someone thought his reads left something to be desired.
  • He voted for WW because he was suspicious of Eevee based on intuition.
  • He voted for TWM because he though mcmc was town.
Other than that, there's not much real content. While he has plenty of posts, they're often one-liners and several are off topic.

Starting off the setup discussion makes him look a bit like town in my eyes since it started some actual game discussion. On the other hand, the other stuff doesn't look very good. In particular, his vote for TWM without any actual reasons other than sheeping, when before TWM was basically his only town read (without any reasons there either), doesn't feel like genuine town. It seems a bit like scum voting opportunistically without giving any kind of progression in thought process. So I can see how he's getting votes if that's what people are noticing.


Anyway, I still want to look at everything between TWM and mcmc more closely because I don't remember the arguments there well enough, but it's late right now and I need to be up early tomorrow. Hopefully I'll get more time to look at things tomorrow afternoon. I should be on around deadline.

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