My hypothesis (may be very wrong):
I think in most games with (insert powerful $5 card here), both player's will buy it which skews the win rate towards 50%, overall meaning top players like theory have a lower win rate than usual if a powerful card is in the setup, which hurts the effect with. I'm not easily going to accept an explanation of "some of the top player's need to work on how they play powerful $5 attacks".
Witch: +1.39
If your to go just on that, I'm far better at playing Witch then all the player's you mentioned...
You are mis-intepretting the stat.
All it says is that david_with_witch - david_overall > other_player_with_witch - other_player_overall.
All Games
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Interestingly, I have a positive Effect Without for Familiar, which isn't true of any of the others, where I always benefit by buying (yes I'm aware that's not how it works).
Incidentally, I am apparently more likely to win games where I don't buy Provinces, Gold, Platinum, Colonies, Duchies and Silver. I'm not sure what all this says about me, but I like long action chains, and the cursing attacks disrupt that kind of playstyle.
I think I only skip it when there are other cursing alternatives and no other strong cards requiring Potion.Interestingly, I have a positive Effect Without for Familiar, which isn't true of any of the others, where I always benefit by buying (yes I'm aware that's not how it works).
You must be very good at seeing when you can skip it.
Well, I think there's a loser's buy effect on Duchy, in that it's the kind of card you buy when your opponent is ahead on Provinces. I rarely go for it as a positive strategy. I have a positive Effect With for Duke, Vineyards, Fairgrounds, Island and Harem, and negatives for Nobles and Great Hall. Mind you, my Effect Without is more positive for Duke and Vineyards than my Effect With. I also have a positive Effect With for Bishop and Goons, but negative for Monuments. I do tend to go for pile endings when I see them, though one of the main times I go for them is when there are cursing cards out.Incidentally, I am apparently more likely to win games where I don't buy Provinces, Gold, Platinum, Colonies, Duchies and Silver. I'm not sure what all this says about me, but I like long action chains, and the cursing attacks disrupt that kind of playstyle.
You REALLY like to end on piles, with VP or, with Gardens/Vineyards/Fairgrounds?
Hmm...my stats are:
Mountebank: 0.03
Witch: -0.29
Familiar: -0.49
Ghost Ship: 1.35
Ambassador: -0.02
Pawn: -0.45
I will note that I hardly ever buy Ghost Ship, so when I do buy it it must be for a good reason. Interestingly, I have a positive Effect Without for Familiar, which isn't true of any of the others, where I always benefit by buying (yes I'm aware that's not how it works).
The card I do worst with is Treasure Map. I have a -3.03 Effect With and a -1.59 Effect Without. My best Effect With is Treasury at 2.19 (and -1.76 Effect Without). Royal Seal is the card with the strongest positive effect on my record regardless of whether I buy it.
Incidentally, I am apparently more likely to win games where I don't buy Provinces, Gold, Platinum, Colonies, Duchies and Silver. I'm not sure what all this says about me, but I like long action chains, and the cursing attacks disrupt that kind of playstyle.